@deepvaluebettor

man in ✨ fínãnce ✨🥴 love to hate nyc 🐀🥀 building @sportfoliokings @bettorgpt

d*mes sq**re
Joined February 2021
deepvaluebettor retweeted
just stubbed my toe
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deepvaluebettor retweeted
Obama is perfectly displaying the concept of hallucination with LLMs here. He sounds so darn good and confident, while having absolutely no clue wtf he sayin.
🚨 OBAMA ON AI: "If we are thinking about AI just in terms of how do we cure cancer or get better energy, you can do that without having agentic AI and having it just roaming free in the internet. The reason you are doing that is because you have to market a product that people will pay money for. That’s a misalignment between what our society needs and the commercial imperatives that these companies are facing, not because necessarily they’re trying to do bad things, but because they’ve got to justify these valuations. So, that’s one more reason why it is really important for us to have a competent government and a serious bipartisan conversation around this issue, and we have to do it fast. And I would encourage voters to pay attention to this. If somebody does not have a serious plan for how to deal with this, then they’re not meeting the moment, and you should probably look for somebody else."
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deepvaluebettor retweeted
Replying to @tszzl
Not a bubble
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deepvaluebettor retweeted
I loved writing code by hand. I miss it.
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rewatch an entire NFL game in under 3 min , underpinned by @sportfoliokings interactive volatility surface && in-game trading analytics
Per our new NFL VIX model (measures in-game volatility), the number 1 most improbable comeback this century was this: 2003 ... Colts down 21 pts in Tampa ... 3:38 left 😲
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why this is mostly more bs misdirection :: 1 . dario , sam , && elon have been alarmist for yrs ( dario thought gpt-2 was too dangerous to release publicly ) 2 . the labs are running out of non-synthetic data ( the internet has been fully scraped ) 3 . the labs are facing major infrastructural constraints 4 . the labs need more time to find solutions to protect their IP fr the chinese , who continue to find clever ways of stealing it && using US frontier models to ramp up their own development 5 . the labs realize the normie public is already super antagonistic to data centers && ai in general , && the " slow down " ai narrative resonates well from an image perspective 6 . the labs also realize that using ai to train ai ( recursive self-improvement ) accelerates development but also causes them to lose control && visibility into what's going on && why . they all ack that to reduce pressure to do this they need coordinated commitment . end .
I agree with Dario that we need to pace the frontier. This has been a primary topic of discussions we've had at OpenAI in recent weeks. Committing to having independent evaluators with employee-like access is a great idea, and we will do the same. We'll have more to share soon.
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solid week 1 . advance w jags + jets 🏈
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100 entries in circa survivor lol . @JeffreyBenson12 bro just get rid of the 10 entries max rule when u have numerous dudes like this just circumventing && making a mockery of it . at least there would be more transparency .
This quoted post is unavailable.
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as 9/11 becomes less && less a lived memory for more && more ppl , it sadly devolves into just another unremarkable memetic historical anniversary w casual token gestures of remembrance which is why i think it's so important to keep showing in the most visceral ways possible how truly horrifying && sinister the violence was that day 🇺🇸🇺🇸
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the first time i heard the gator bait chant at homecoming in the swamp was the first time i really felt like a gator . still get goosebumps hearing it . so happy it's back .
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the comments 💀 prediction markets have fumbled public perception so profoundly that users who *should* be incredibly excited about them instead fucking *hate* them
Super excited to partner with @Polymarket
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deepvaluebettor retweeted
God forbid a girl take a risk and put herself out there creatively!
They’re really trying to push this right wing libertarian woman as a Gen Z short video media star so she can regurgitate decades old CATO Institute talking points like “Capitalism good commies bad :)” but I think she simply does not have It to sustain any success.
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these two gigachads leave jane street && then jane street loses $15 billion in a month 🔥
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🫵🤣 low-t shtcoin clickers like frank are the modern reincarnation of the strip mall penny stock griftlords of the 90s ... gutless low iq parasites on the outer most periphery of finance ... preying on the poor && gullible ... cloutless among anyone who actually matters && forever relegated not only to the trenches of ct but the trenches of society ✨🌈
“4 minute hold times” is the most 2024 unc take i’ve seen all week lol like all the top pnl wallets for the past few quarters hit asteroid, cash cat, ansem, vvv, stonkbroker, marscoin, etc. this guy is smart, but also a dickhead who cares more about engagement than accuracy
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if an intern turned this in for their end-of-summer project, they wouldn't be getting a return offer 🥀 every inference is misread && their own cited evidence logically implies the exact opposite of their conclusion 😭
Situational Awareness went from AI market darling to forced seller of its entire $16B equity book in 48 hours. This is the story of how Polymarket traders sniffed out the bust before mainstream media, and what they think happens next in the AI trade. poly.market/GmpGBeQ/
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deepvaluebettor retweeted
i am assembling a team of degenerates
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they all have the same ideas bc they are all the same larping striver archetype ... no talent , industry exp , or imagination of their own ... casino porn addicted ... && outsource al code / design / structure to claude ... so no sht they all look the same && suck ass 🥀
Another one bites the dust! There are 80+ Trading Terminals for prediction markets, according to @PredMarketWiki Now, they are increasingly shutting down. To quote an article by @allquantor on the rise and fail of terminals: It is a rite of passage. You look at the native Polymarket website, and you think: "I can do better. I can make the charts load faster. I can make the buttons a more reassuring shade of green. I can add a sidebar that aggregates tweets about the Pennsylvania Senate race." And so you build it. And then you discover that 49 other people had the exact same idea last Tuesday. Shout out to the builders at @fireplacegg - graceful shutdown. Good try! Up to the next one! Always respect the man in the arena! Here is the full write-up btw. nitter.cf/ZEITFinance/status/202…
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this is going to the supreme court && they are going to SHRED the cftc's asinine "swaps" argument how did sports betting get decriminalized in the first place ? uhh bc the court said states > fed on this issue i want sports exchanges to succeed , but this is a losing angle
3 days into its launch of sports prediction markets, Novig has sued 4 states--New York, Massachusetts, New Mexico, and Washington. What do these states have in common? They pursued TROs & PIs vs. DCMs in state court. Goal may be to tie up likely enforcing states in federal court.
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