david button (@davidbutton13) profile picture

comms & insights consultant. Xing sporadic politics, geek, polls, armchair football mgmt, comedy & snark several hrs/days after event. My views etc

London, England
Joined July 2009
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Cometh the hour, cometh the Assistant to the Prime Minister
EXC -MPs loyal to Starmer have said they will rally round Darren Jones if the PM decides to resign - to prevent a Burnham coronation. “He would have the numbers of the PM does not run,” one MP said. The coordination has been done with those who signed a loyalist letter in May
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Would be a bold step if they did, especially as that was one of the reasons they delayed the 4 mayoralty elections that should have been this year.
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I believe changes to voting systems usually come into effect for the next “normal” voting day, which is May… but either way the govt would probs abide by the Gould Principle (electoral law shouldn’t be changed within 6 months of the election it effects).
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Replying to @electionmapsuk
This is insanely useful thanks. You’ve saved me hours of work.
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This is really interesting - is the dataset available - particularly keen to see the full inner vs outer results. Thanks!
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Replying to @NAJ562
It’s rare that I would stick up for something ZS has said but, to be fair, she specifically said parliamentary spokesperson. Presumably has to be an MP if it’s the party’s spox in Parliament?!
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Replying to @callumtprice
Worst time is reception season. I once ran the Local Govt Reception, Eric Pickles was DCLG SoS & our speaker. Reshuffle ongoing, rumours abound about him & no word from his team. He bounded in with mins to spare: “have you heard I’m getting Defra?! First change: badger amnesty…”
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My hunch is most ppl don’t know about the EU’s impact on nationalisation of rail or ZHCs or GB Energy - and without the context they can only be read in isolation as policies. Not a judgement on EU membership (esp as there’s no accounting for trade-offs)
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Replying to @richardmarcj
Appreciate the clarification. With that in mind I’d be really interested in your take on this as a “vindication” of Brexit as some are describing it. Cos without that context surely this can only be seen as a judgement on the situ now? (Cont)
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Replying to @richardmarcj
I can 100% see where you’re coming from with this and with that context in mind. Genuine Q tho: was that context (EU impact on that policy area, or extent of impact) was given before the question? It’s not incl in the dataset version.
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For example
Conveniently you don't point out that average for 'UK govt making decisions alone ' is much lower for international policy areas than domestic: trade, immigration, fishing waters. In fact, 9/10 of policy areas that have any i'national angle are in the bottom 10 for UK Govt alone
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Conveniently you don't point out that average for 'UK govt making decisions alone ' is much lower for international policy areas than domestic: trade, immigration, fishing waters. In fact, 9/10 of policy areas that have any i'national angle are in the bottom 10 for UK Govt alone
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Replying to @richardmarcj
Interesting but surely not surprising? Most of highest “gb govt alone” scores are for purely domestic issues - eg nationalising rail or GB energy. “Seek international agreements” score higher in almost all relevant Qs (and you could argue that option 1 covers this anyway)
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I did wonder about that. Is there a cut off point? Eg do they have to get it done by pre-election period? In theory May is enough time for the Bill to get through, so I’m assuming it has to be done earlier.
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Replying to @MikeJGWright
Hi Mike. There was talk earlier today that this would be from 2027, but apart from the commencement for the schedule not being specified I haven’t seen anything else. Is there any reason why they’d delay this to 2027, and risk the 6 next year going Reform?
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Isn’t the Sussex mayoral election in 2026? These changes don’t seem to apply to that set
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Replying to @UnlockDemocracy
Do you have any insight the reports that it'll be only for 2027 elections onwards? I can't see anything about 2027 in the Bill or explanatory note? Is there any reason it can't be used for the new 2026 mayors?
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Replying to @electoralreform
Do you have any insight the reports that it'll be only for 2027 elections onwards? I can't see anything about 2027 in the Bill or explanatory note? Is there any reason it can't be used for 2026?
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