Snow38 retweeted
The EPCR Challenge Cup is back, and Round 1 promises some exciting clashes across Europe!
Our Round 1 predictions, powered by Rugby4Cast, are in, with Edinburgh backed to edge Toulon in a closely contested encounter, while Lyon are tipped to narrowly defeat the Sharks 27-24 on home soil.
The Scarlets, Harlequins and Bayonne are predicted to make strong starts, with the Cheetahs facing a difficult trip to France. Meanwhile, the Ospreys are backed to overcome Black Lion, and Ulster are tipped to secure an away victory against Zebre.
With several matches predicted to be decided by narrow margins, there could be plenty of surprises in the opening round!
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Which prediction do you disagree with, and who do you think will cause the biggest upset in Round 1?
#ChallengeCupRugby #Rugby
Snow38 retweeted
Saturday games predictions
What does our model say?
Explore that and much more on Puntrr 👇
App.puntrr.ai
Snow38 retweeted
$BTC and Alts
Thus far, price has largely played out as anticipated and in line with how I've positioned tactically.
Nowadays, I use charts more as a compass to frame areas of interest. Execution itself comes down to reading flows, positioning and how participants respond at key inflection points.
As for Bitcoin, keeping things relatively simple.
The September 21 breakout origin around 81.7k fuelled by short liquidations saw price push into 87s.
We've since rotated back into that area and tested it several times - (confluent with mondays lows)
In a market showing genuine upside conviction, you'd generally expect buyers to defend that origin and establish acceptance higher. Repeated tests without meaningful upside displacement aren't particularly encouraging from a tactical perspective.
Doesn't necessarily mean we break down, but it does raise questions about the underlying strength of demand....
For now, I'm positioned and hedged for potential downside continuation.
Acceptance back above the 85s would have me reassess and begin rolling off the hedge.
Equally, I'm interested in buying opportunities, but I'd want to see a shift in momentum, evidence of buyers stepping in with conviction and an ability to sustain higher prices....
Ultimately, no attachment to a directional bias. It's about recognising where the balance of control sits, how that changes and positioning accordingly.
If looks like a range, trades like a range then it probably is a _ _ _ _ _
Cheers
The StochRSI
When an indicator remains overbought for weeks without convincing price expansion or high-volume continuation, I become increasingly cautious of downside risk...
The indicator isn't actionable in isolation, but helps me determine when to be aggressive versus defensive...
I generally use it as a mechanical oscillator along with htf supply and demand zones
But ultimately - a trade strategy and its execution is what is more important.
Bitcoin and various alts... exhibiting signs of the weekly stoch remaining overbought at the moment...
Snow38 retweeted
I don’t understand why so many people let themselves be influenced by tweets, especially when it comes to macro scenarios.
The charts show clear levels at which to attempt accumulation, with equally straightforward invalidations.
$ETH, for example, remains very attractive to me: the 2,300–2,000 range could offer an interesting spot-buying opportunity, with the aim of selling above 3kand, potentially, towards 3,500
Could I be wrong? Yes! But this is how the mistake has the right risk-reward ratio
At the moment, the macro chart tells me this. The rest is just noise.
Snow38 retweeted
Les Stormers se veulent le club de l’Afrique du Sud et font comme les Boks en sortant une compo en avance.
Pas de Wilco Louw ni de Fouche pour ce match mais ils mettent quand même Sandi et Porthen. La profondeur de zinzin à la droite de la mêlée.
Senatla sort d’un très gros match contre les Sharks.
Banc en 6/2 avec des avants solides mais aussi très mobiles.
Très, très belle équipe.
Snow38 retweeted
$FET I do think macro has bottomed but I wouldn't try to long here, for me it's a roll of a dice 50%-50% probability
Key horizontal with potentia H&S pattern if we fail to hold the VAL - range lows.
High probability longs would come at 0.1784 and sfp of eql's at 0.1487
Snow38 retweeted
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Snow38 retweeted
On my count
It’s week number 9
Alts that were losing momentum and distributing are exhibiting signs of breaking down
Laggards - final few still running - musical chairs….
I’ve been quite vocal about my view on alt cycles…. More so the last few weeks from weeks 6-8…
To be convinced it’s any different this time around….
You’ll get the odd anomaly or two…
Week number 9 on Monday
Looking for that shift from altcoins being distributive to trending back down... fast
Remember that
#momentumshifts
Snow38 retweeted
Week number 9 on Monday
Looking for that shift from altcoins being distributive to trending back down... fast
Remember that
#momentumshifts
Week number 8
Remember that
Most alts that ran from weeks 1-6 haven’t done much but range during week 7.
Identify whether they are now going through a phase of re accumulation or distribution…
#momentum
Snow38 retweeted
$HYPE I still aim to see the lows 81 and 79 areas.
Aiming to short $HYPE in the next period then to take a long, if a clean setup develops, a retracement from here reads as likely
Potential H&S building, but previous supply is still holding as support,no trigger yet. Structure only, and structure alone and is not a reason to short, yet
