We’ve officially launched our new NEC Index. ✅ No paywall (FREE) ✅ 327 teams ranked ✅ Updated every matchday Named after 🇳🇱 NEC Nijmegen — one of the most enjoyable, attack-driven teams in Europe — this rating measures a team’s true offensive identity and scoring environment. NEC blends: • Shot volume • Goal production • High-total match tendencies • Real betting performance (Over & team total history) Find teams for FREE —-> datagaffer.com

They’re back 🥹 (lost two years off my lifespan)

🇳🇱 Eredivise with some positive regression this week. We’re all waiting on you NEC.

The last time 🇳🇱 NEC went four consecutive matches without hitting over 2.5 goals was October 10, 2022. NEC, go back to what got you to the dance: high octane, high risk football, and one center back. Let’s see some goals.

Today’s shot-quality projections, sorted by team shot accuracy 🎯 Includes projected shots, shots on target, shot accuracy, shot conversion and SOT conversion. Shot accuracy is the percentage of a team’s shots that hit the target. Shot volume means little if a team cannot test the goalkeeper. For finding overs, shots on target matter far more.

Today’s Last 6 H2H Data 🇪🇸 Real Betis & Barcelona have seen BTTS hit in all 6 matches and over 3.5 goals hitting 5/6.

Today’s top projected goals after 10,000 simulations

Never experienced a league like the Bundesliga 2 before. Quite literally the definition of a gamble, the most inconsistent league in world football and there isn’t a close 2nd.

And then there was one… 🇩🇪 Frankfurt are the only team to hit over 3.5 goals in every league match this season. Their opponents, Köln, have seen BTTS in every match. 👀 Hopefully both streaks continue today

Today’s top Pace Scores 📈 These are the best projected goal environments of the day.

Today’s 100% Team Trends *Al Ittihad match postponed

🍀 Today’s Win Outlook DataGaffer.com

🇮🇹 Inter 3–4 Club Brugge 🇧🇪 was one of the biggest attacking games in our 2026 dataset: 🥉 8.19 combined xG 
🥈 9.28 combined xGOT
🥉 48 shots
🥈 37 shots inside the box And an Italian team was involved. Serie A looks far more attacking this season. The rule changes may be helping, but they can’t explain everything. Teams are taking risks and showing more attacking ambition. Inter and Venezia are both in the top 15 of our Pace Rating this season. For perspective, last season there wasn’t a single Italian team in the top 100. Anyone know what’s happening right now in Italy?

⏰ UCL Minute Timeline See when each team is projected to score throughout today’s matches.