Your opportunity to choose your path!
Joined November 2023
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CryptoAbility retweeted
Everything is going exactly as I told you.
Bitcoin hit $87K, formed the higher high, and is now breaking back below $80K.
This is the move I was waiting for.
Most people are still positioned for another push higher.
I’m waiting for the move that LIQUIDATES THE LONGS FIRST.
My path for the next 3 months:
$82K → $79K → $75K → $89K → $100K
Save this tweet. We’ll come back to it soon.
Remember: I called Bitcoin’s last cycle top at $126,000 and told you to buy when Bitcoin was at $60K in June.
The next call could be even more important.
I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF
Everyone is talking about how Bitcoin went down $4,000 in 15 minutes.
Everyone’s posting about it…
But almost nobody is explaining what actually caused it.
Stop staring at the chart. Look at the flows:
Within minutes, wallets tied to Binance, Wintermute, Coinbase, and ETF-linked addresses all became active simultaneously.
Large blocks moving between exchanges.
MASSIVE market sells hitting thin order books.
Why?
To trigger PANIC, liquidate longs, and pull new shorts into the market.
Here’s what really happened:
– Liquidity was thin
– Leverage was heavily stacked
– Funding was already stretched
So price gets pushed lower aggressively.
But here’s the part almost nobody is watching:
On Friday, $16.2 BILLION in Bitcoin options expires.
And if Bitcoin had simply held around $86K, the path was opening toward:
$90K → $100K
The biggest call positions are sitting ABOVE price.
$85K → 10,000+ BTC
$90K → 10,000+ BTC
$100K → 7,500 BTC
At the same time, billions in leveraged long liquidity are sitting BELOW price.
More than $20 BILLION in options and leveraged liquidity is now in play.
And insiders don’t have to choose one side.
They can attack both:
Push Bitcoin lower. Liquidate longs. Trigger panic. Pull new shorts into the market.
Make everyone believe the bull run is OVER.
Then, once retail starts panic-selling and the leverage is gone…
BUY THE SAME BITCOIN BACK CHEAPER.
If you’re new to this market, understand one thing:
Bitcoin almost never makes violent moves like this because of headlines alone.
It moves toward liquidity.
Watch funding rates. Watch open interest. Watch the liquidation map.
Reminder: I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years.
I’m watching insiders in real time.
When they make the next important move, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on.
If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
CryptoAbility retweeted
Fresh Suspicious Whale
This wallet loaded $205,000 on this year's Brazilian elections
The account is only 1 month old and has been loading positions for almost its entire existence
Potential payout: $1,000,000+
CryptoAbility retweeted
Trump's approval hit new lows in two national polls
Polymarket had already priced it in
Democrats to win the House
91% a week ago → 91% now
36% of voters approve in the Fox News poll, Oct 9-12
The lowest Fox has found in either of his terms
34% of adults approve in the NBC News poll, Sept 28-Oct 12
Registered voters want Democrats to control Congress, 55 to 45
The Senate is the closer race
Democrats are at 65%, up 1 point on the week
Also in the news
＞ Early voting opens in Texas today
＞ Trump rallies for Sen. Roger Marshall in Kansas tonight
＞ The Justice Department sued California over mail ballots it says went to likely noncitizens
California says the government hasn't shown evidence
＞ NPR reports record midterm fundraising
If new lows in approval can't move the House price, what would?
CryptoAbility retweeted
SOMEONE MADE $2,000,000+ ON A SINGLE GAME
This trader made $2M+ on a LoL match
He hadn’t made trades this large before
He currently has $144K in positions, but his LoL trades are worth watching
CryptoAbility retweeted
I barely used LP over the last week
Sometimes you just have to wait for a better moment
There weren't much good launches, most of my liquidity is spread across slow cooking safe positions
Making me ~7% daily APR on my positions
At the same time I had a few losing trades that vamped my profits back
There's no wonder that >75% of all wallets that have ever touched LP are in negative pnls, they didn't figure out when to stop
Taking a pause for a while to discover other opportunities to make money from is the key
The biggest edge on Meteora most farmers sleep on is LP copy trading
In any other case with memecoins, most likely you'll be farmed as EL once you try to follow someone's trades
With Liquidity Providing the situation is much different
You basically take less risks to be dumped, since LP'ers tend to hold their positions opened for days and hours, not seconds
Millisecond latency doesn't matter as well, it's simply not as crucial here
Everything you need is just:
> Find a few consistently profitable wallets
> Find the tool that automatizes your copy trading
> Set up your sample and print same as your followed wallet does
Valhalla offers you all these 3 things: Tool + Wallets + Setup
Made by team that has been building products on sol for 4 years
In September only Valhalla has printed +$698,000 in pure user profits with $1.3M fees generated
> Valhalla: valhalla-bot.app/?ref=R57MOK
Find the link to their discord and pick a few top performing wallets from the chat
Circle back in a day and check how much it has printed
CryptoAbility retweeted
counting on a goal-filled MLS Saturday
5 games, both teams have to score in every one. if they do, this combo pays 6x😅
MLS 5-leg on @Polymarket:
＞ Orlando City SC vs D.C. United SC
＞ New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
＞ Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
＞ New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire FC
＞ Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City SC
round 2 update: 3W-13L, sitting at +$27.76
what are my chances on this one?
yesterday's Europa League 5-leg cashed too 😎
all 5 legs landed, +373%
hoping today goes just as smooth😅
3-leg on @UseAsta_App:
＞ Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln - BTTS
＞ Frosinone vs Sassuolo - 2+ goals
＞ Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante - BTTS
which leg scares you the most?
CryptoAbility retweeted
TradingView for charts
MarketSurge for stock ratings
Koyfin for research
Three subscriptions costing around $289/month
@alpharidge_ai brings charting, stock ratings, market-wide screening and strategy automation into one platform at a lower cost
The difference isn't just fewer tabs
Your trading rules can run inside the same platform where you research the market
CryptoAbility retweeted
$11B - Polymarket's real valuation?
Polymarket team is not happy that this information made it on CT
especially if it turns out to be true, Kalshi will definitely take the lead
I think Polymarket should get their lawyers involved to sort this out
CryptoAbility retweeted
EVERYONE ON YOUR TIMELINE IS CALLING BLACK MONDAY 2.0
NOW YOU CAN TRADE IT
Oct 19, 1987: the S&P 500 lost 20.47% in one day. this year Oct 19 is a Monday again
so i made a market on @xomarket : will the S&P 500 close down 5% or more on Monday?
[ beta.xo.market/event/will-19… ]
why 5%: a 5% down day is a real crash. the S&P has had 20 since 2000, the last on April 4, 2025
why everyone is talking about it
＞ Nasdaq -4.48% last week, chip stocks (SOX) -11.41%
＞ the S&P only -1.95%, and the Dow finished the week up 0.67%
＞ VIX jumped 21% on Friday to 19.99
the selloff is real, but it's a tech selloff. the Black Monday talk is mostly about the date
just a scary date, or a real crash? YES or NO?
CryptoAbility retweeted
If Anthropic goes public this year, it's about a coin flip to beat SpaceX's IPO
Polymarket gives it about a 38% chance at the biggest IPO of 2026, down from 55.3% a week ago
＞ 72.5%
The chance Anthropic goes public by Dec 31, down from 76.5%
If it doesn't, SpaceX almost surely wins
If it does, its odds are about 50-50
＞ $2.1T
SpaceX's market value at the end of its first trading day
That's the number Anthropic has to beat
This week, investors talked about a $1.5T valuation for Anthropic, down from about $2T
If it prices at $1.5T, it needs to jump about 40% on day one
If it prices at $2T, it needs about 5%
＞ 40%
None of the 12 biggest IPOs by money raised ended their first day up that much
Alibaba came closest, up 38% in 2014
SpaceX sold less than 5% of its shares and still rose only 19%
Is 38% too high or too low for Anthropic?
CryptoAbility retweeted
Memecoins 2024 vs 2026
If you think you missed the memecoin cycle
you have absolutely no idea what’s coming
WE ARE SO EARLY
CryptoAbility retweeted
Some of the updates announced at the recent Robinhood summit are already starting to go live.
For example, the status of perpetuals coming to U.S markets through Robinhood has moved from "Coming in months" to "Beginning to roll out". A lot of increased activity towards trading agents, the all-in-one social feed and the one-cancels-the-other orders for stocks are also very much in the fast track pipeline
For perps, you need to be an eligible U.S. customer with a futures account, and Robinhood notifies you when you're switched on. The cost is still 0.01% per trade, which is a 0.005% commission plus a 0.005% venue fee on trades/
Still very much in the works are weekend stock trading, earnings calls, 4x intra day margin, amongst a few others. If you'd like a full overview, you can check out our post from a few weeks back on the Hood Summit, where we discussed some of what to expect with the RH eco in the coming months.
CryptoAbility retweeted
1.4 billion cached tokens in five days on one graphics card.
A developer ran a single AMD R9700 on a week-long coding project, driving Qwen 3.6 35B at a 220k context window through the Claude CLI. Across 46 sessions and five active days, the terminal logged:
• Input: 20.7M tokens ($82.80)
• Output: 3.2M tokens ($64.00)
• Cache reads: 1.4B tokens ($280.00)
• Estimated Claude Opus 5.5 equivalent: $426.80
Prompt cache reads accounted for 65.6% of the theoretical cloud bill. Without prompt caching, those 1.4 billion tokens would have theoretically cost $5,600 on Opus at standard input rates.
The catch is operational. A 35B open-weights model is nowhere near Opus reasoning. As the 220k context filled up, Qwen suffered lost tokens and confused workflow commands, requiring multi-turn code reviews to get things right. The setup only worked because the developer broke work down into bite-sized implementation steps rather than expecting one-shot execution.
Yet local hardware changes the math where it hurts most. Cloud providers bill you every time an agent re-reads context and drop your cache after short periods of inactivity. A local KV cache never expires when you pause, and reading it costs nothing.
Local silicon does not need to beat frontier models at complex architectural planning to pay for itself. It just has to absorb the massive cache tax that makes long-context agent loops prohibitively expensive.
CryptoAbility retweeted
.@entropyIO listed $PRL
but something else in this announcement caught my attention
$PRL is still illiquid, so @entropyIO is using a different pricing method for now
once $PRL gets listed on a sufficiently liquid venue, they'll switch to the standard Hyperliquid crypto oracle
I like that they're taking this into account instead of treating every market the same way
2/ PEARL is currently an illiquid asset. We have applied pre-listing methodologies to the current listing, and will transition to a standard crypto perp when more liquid venues exist. More on our exact methodology can be found in our Docs.
docs.entropy.io/asset-direct…
CryptoAbility retweeted
Polymarket's token $POLY talk is back
look where the money comes from first
since Sep 1, per @DefiLlama:
＞ Polymarket US: $13.9B traded, about $100M in fees
＞ Polymarket International: $6.2B traded, $44.8M in fees
＞ Perps: $757M at the mid-September peak, $341M last week
the US app runs on KYC, dollars and a CFTC license
the international app and perps are closed to US users. a token built on that side would be too
Bloomberg says Polymarket is choosing between equity and a token
the part that earns the most already works without a token
and the crypto market structure bill stalled in the Senate in September
i think an IPO is the safer move for the business until US token rules are clear
what would $POLY give Polymarket that the US app isn't already giving?
Polymarket is facing a quandary over choosing between traditional equity and a token launch. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
CryptoAbility retweeted
Three Democrats running for Senate won't commit to Schumer
The Senate Majority PAC, closely aligned with him, has put millions into their campaigns
He'll probably keep his job anyway
In Maine, Troy Jackson has said he won't back him for leader
In Kansas, Adam Hamilton told CBS he wouldn't support him as majority or minority leader
In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed won't commit
Maine and Michigan are on the Democrats' path to a majority
Democrats are 63.5% to win the Senate on @trylimitless
The reason is how Senate Democrats pick their leader
They vote behind closed doors, and their rules say not before December
If anyone runs against him, the ballot is secret
In a 51-seat majority, he needs 26 votes
Even if every nominee refusing to back him wins, that's nowhere near 26
So far, no one has stepped up to run against him for leader
"It's hard to lose if no one else is challenging you," Sen. Ben Ray Lujan told the AP
In 2024 Democrats lost four seats and the majority, then re-elected Schumer unanimously
In 2022 Rick Scott challenged Mitch McConnell after a weak midterm and lost 37 to 10
A win in Kansas would put Hamilton in the room
It would also make Schumer the leader who won back the majority
His real risk is a bad night
If Democrats take the Senate, do his critics fall in line?
CryptoAbility retweeted
For anyone looking to participate in @papertrade_xyz, pre-deposits are now live.
Pre-deposits allow traders deposit funds much earlier than the official launch on October 10 in order to reduce the effect of trading txn pressure on deposit time
Incase you don’t know what Papertrade is,
It’s basically an exchange built on top of Hyperliquid that lets you trade up to 1000x leverage in which a $1 loss can help you mine 100 $Paper, but only while the pool’s total winnings are under $2 million so the earliest losers get the most tokens
The edge cases come from the same design. With zero fees and fills at the mid-price, the pool makes money only when traders are wrong. A group of good traders, or someone who sees prices on another venue first, can drain it and earn $Paper
Some interesting incentives to say the least.
