Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto) header
Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto) profile picture

Current: @uniud @EFB_EU @collegeofeurope @SAISHopkins & @EUI_EU Former: @EU_Commission, @bruegel_org & @ChathamHouse. RT not endorsement, views personal

Joined September 2012
Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)Photo by Benedicta Marzinotto (@bmarzinotto)
Highly relevant! "Endogenous monetary policy effectiveness" by Valerio Scalone and Silvana Tenreyro. "How does the effectiveness of monetary policy vary over the policy cycle? Do tightenings and loosenings have symmetric effects on the macroeconomy? This paper addresses these questions using a nonlinear empirical framework that allows financial exposure to evolve endogenously in response to macroeconomic conditions and monetary policy changes. We provide new evidence on how monetary policy effectiveness varies over the policy cycle and across economic states. We find that i) monetary policy transmits more strongly to the real economy in periods of elevated private-sector financial exposure; ii) tightening cycles increase financial exposure in the short run, which in turn amplifies the effect of further interest rate increases, whereas loosening cycles lower financial exposure, increasingly dampening the effect of interest rate cuts; iii) tightening during economic downturns further intensifies debt-servicingpressures, making monetary policy even more potent; instead, when the tightening occurs during expansions, monetary policy effectiveness is not materially affected." ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps…
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New paper is out! We connect the saving glut of the rich to the shift in the way the US finances redistribution: From imflation (unfunded) to debt backed from future taxation (funded) – at Stanford, CA
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP21912 Fiscal Policy and the Saving Glut of the Rich @Francesco_Bia @JohnsHopkins, @LeonardoMelosi @EUI_EU @EUI_ECO, Nicoló Ceneri @nyuniversity, Alessandro Villa @forket86 @ChicagoFed ow.ly/k9hp50ZKnyI #CEPR_MEF #CEPR_MG #EconTwitter
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New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP21743 The Geography of Financial Frictions Alexander Haas @MonashUni, Rustam Jamilov @RustamJamilov @UniofOxford ow.ly/SvXY50ZnMeO #CEPR_IMF #CEPR_MEF #EconTwitter
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This seems like a very useful new data set: Small-Area Global Elections (SAGE). The main benefit is the combination of extremely fine-grained geographical election data, broad international coverage, and harmonised information across countries and elections.
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Only three days remaining to submit your papers to the exciting Frontier Research on Fiscal Policy conference, in the the beautiful Tuscan Hills on October 15-16. Keynotes by Marios Angeletos, Benjamin Born, Roberto Perotti. cepr.org/events/frontier-res…
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Measuring capital account openness: Why intensity matters Wenjie Li @IMFNews ow.ly/B4oP50Z245t
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🚨 Public Good Alert 🚨 Two years of development. Zero funding. 𝟲,𝟲𝟵𝟯 𝗼𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝟱𝟭 𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗯𝗮𝗻𝗸𝘀. #TextData Today, we are opening the doors to it all for free 🚀 Visit our website: centralbanktexts.github.io/ 🧵1/12 #NLP
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Reconfiguring Europe in a fractured global economy: The Florence Report Marco Buti, Giancarlo Corsetti, Anna Peychev @EUI_EU @EUI_ECO ow.ly/KmFf50YSjoN
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Europe isn’t powerless: you’re just looking at it wrong. The EMU Lab Florence Report 2026 - Reconfiguring Europe in a Fractured Global Economy is now out! The Report is a collaborative effort to address EU’s challenges and the outcome of a 2-year project by a team of 40 experts.
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🔴 LIVE EVENT: Launch of the April 2026 Fiscal Monitor, with an overview of public finance developments and fiscal implications of policies relevant to the global economy. xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1jGXgezvw…
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Not all capital flows carry the same risks. The new IMF FinOpen Index shows that opening to equity before debt leads to more stable external financing, especially in countries with stronger institutions. Watch our Analytical Corner on April 13 at 4:00 PM ET. imfconnect.org/content/imf/e…
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✍️Register now for the 5th Finance and Productivity (FINPRO) Conference! This year's theme: Corporate Finance and Productivity in Times of Geopolitical Fragmentation 📆24-25 April 2026 | 📍Tokyo, Japan and Online 🗣️Keynote speaker: Laura Alfaro @HarvardHBS @the_IDB ow.ly/pQFZ50Ypx10
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Firms commonly face multiple tight credit constraints. This prevents expansion after monetary easing but amplifies the response to tightening, explaining the well-documented asymmetry in monetary policy transmission. federalreserve.gov/econres/f… #FEDSPaper #EconTwitter
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Designing fiscal consolidation to achieve fiscal sustainability and the sustainable development goals Karan Bhasin @ualbany, Prakash Loungani @LounganiPrakash @JohnsHopkins ow.ly/SHFH50YAvZe
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Applications are open for my course on "Monetary and Fiscal Policies for Productivity Growth" at the @bse_barcelona/@CREIResearch Macroeconomics Summer School bse.eu/summer-school/crei-ma…, to be held in Barcelona on July 6-10. Please reach out if you need more information.
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The EU's new fiscal rules: First gaps between hopes and outcomes Pieter Hasekamp & Martin Larch @EFB_EU ow.ly/b3Ik50YvH1T
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Super interesting! "AI Meets Fiscal Policy: Mapping Government Spending Actions Across 64 Countries" by Shuvam Das, Davide Furceri, Nikhil Patel, and Adrian Peralta-Alva. "We build the first global quarterly narrative database of discretionary government spending actions by applying a fixed GPT–4.1 prompt to Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) Country Reports. The resulting series identifies exogenous spending shocks—expansions and contractions—for an unbalanced panel of 64 countries from 1952:Q1 to 2023:Q4. We validate the database by (i) replicating expert narrative coding in Romer and Romer (2019), (ii) showing that the identified shocks predict subsequent movements in measured government spending, and (iii) establishing alignment with action-based consolidation measures in Adler et al. (2024). Using country-by-country proxy SVARs that treat the narrative indicator as an internal instrument, we estimate cumulative government spending multipliers. The median multiplier is about 0.7 at horizons up to two years, with substantial heterogeneity across countries and states. Multipliers are larger in countries that are less open to trade, under fixed exchangerate regimes, during downturns, and at the zero lower bound. Political conditions also matter: multipliers are smaller when broad economic policy uncertainty and fiscal policy-specific uncertainty is high, but weak political support is associated with larger conditional multipliers." elibrary.imf.org/view/journa…
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