@alphaticaio

Former HFM | Institutional-grade quant research for individual investors | Not Financial Advice | https://xitter.cf/t.co/7AGyvCDsb5 | Email: research@alphatica.io

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alphatica.io
Joined July 2023
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Nine times in twenty-six years, NVIDIA went into its August print soft. Five of those returned between +14% and +22% over the next twenty sessions, two returned between −23% and −27%, and almost nothing landed in between.

ALPHATICA RESEARCH NOTE: NVDA's Soft Run-In

NVIDIA reports fiscal Q2 2027 after the close on Wednesday, August 26. It goes in soft (as of today): the stock peaked at 225.30 on August 13 and has closed lower every session since, finishing the we…

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The AI Capex Cash Burn Map

Twelve months ago, every major hyperscaler was generating positive free cash flow. Today, consensus estimates show Oracle, Amazon, and Meta will burn a combined $59.8 billion in FY2026. The shift happ…

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Too Big to Own

FOUR-PILLAR ANALYSIS · 34-NAME UNIVERSE

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THE PRE-FOMC DRIFT IS DEAD. FINTWIT IS STILL TRADING A GHOST.

ALPHATICA QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH | April 28, 2026

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The $2 Trillion Question

A line-by-line examination of what Apollo Global Management and KKR’s recently filed annual filings reveal about hidden risk, opaque valuations, and the insurance-linked model that now underpins Wal…

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Saturday Night with Dr. Burry

Michael Burry posted a provocative question tagging $ORCL, $GOOG, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN, $NVDA, and $CAT:

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SECTION 122: THE NEW TARIFF TOOL

On Friday, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that President Trump exceeded his authority by using IEEPA (the International Emergency Economic Powers Act) to impose sweeping tariffs. The court held that IEEP…

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The Three-Body Problem

By: @alphaticaio

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ChatGPT Is a Mirror, Not a Mind

In February 2023, a New York Times technology columnist published a conversation with Microsoft's Bing chatbot in which the AI declared its love for him, suggested he didn't really love his wife, and …

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The Question We Stopped Asking

In 1950, a mathematician posed a question that would haunt computer science for the next seventy-five years:

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Tariff Sensitivity: What the First Trade War Teaches Us About Positioning for the SCOTUS Ruling

Blackline | January 2026

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The 2026 Midterm Election Playbook

With January 1, 2026 just days away, markets are entering a second-term Republican midterm election year which is a rare scenario with only two historical precedents (Reagan 1986, Bush 2006). Our comp…

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