β€œI am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me.” (John 14:6)

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JL@aggou58m
🚨 NEW HANOVER COUNTY β€” MONDAY EARLY VOTE Update #5 πŸ—³οΈ 2,435 votes today as of 12:51 PM +783 since 11:33 AM πŸ“Š MONDAY PARTY TOTALS: πŸ”΅ DEM: 891 (36.6%) βšͺ UNA: 913 (37.5%) πŸ”΄ REP: 603 (24.8%) Other/Unaccounted: 28 πŸ“ˆ CHANGE IN MONDAY’S SHARE: πŸ”΅ DEM: +0.6 pp βšͺ UNA: -1.8 pp πŸ”΄ REP: +0.8 pp πŸ“Š LAST 783 VOTERS: πŸ”΅ DEM: +296 (37.8%) βšͺ UNA: +264 (33.7%) πŸ”΄ REP: +206 (26.3%) Total early vote: 12,372.
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JL@aggou1h
🚨 NEW HANOVER COUNTY β€” MONDAY EARLY VOTE πŸ—³οΈ 1,652 votes today as of 11:33 AM +588 since 10:34 AM πŸ“Š MONDAY PARTY TOTALS: πŸ”΅ DEM: 595 (36.0%) βšͺ UNA: 649 (39.3%) πŸ”΄ REP: 397 (24.0%) Other/Unaccounted: 11 πŸ“ˆ CHANGE IN MONDAY’S SHARE: πŸ”΅ DEM: +0.5 pp βšͺ UNA: -0.4 pp πŸ”΄ REP: -0.1 pp πŸ“Š LAST 588 VOTERS: πŸ”΅ DEM: +217 (36.9%) βšͺ UNA: +227 (38.6%) πŸ”΄ REP: +141 (24.0%)
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JL@aggou2h
New Hanover County NC Monday Update #3 πŸ—³οΈ 1,064 votes today as of 10:34 AM +486 since 9:39 AM πŸ“Š MONDAY PARTY BREAKDOWN: πŸ”΅ DEM: 378 (35.5%) βšͺ UNA: 422 (39.7%) πŸ”΄ REP: 256 (24.1%) Other/Unaccounted: 8 πŸ“ˆ DAILY SHARE SHIFT SINCE 9:39 AM: πŸ”΅ DEM: 36.3% β†’ 35.5% (-0.8 pp) βšͺ UNA: 40.7% β†’ 39.7% (-1.0 pp) πŸ”΄ REP: 22.0% β†’ 24.1% (+2.1 pp) πŸ“Š OF THE 486 NEW VOTERS: πŸ”΅ DEM: +168 (34.6%) βšͺ UNA: +187 (38.5%) πŸ”΄ REP: +129 (26.5%) Total early vote: 11,011.
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JL@aggou3h
🚨 NEW HANOVER COUNTY, NC β€” MONDAY EARLY VOTE πŸ—³οΈ 578 votes cast today as of 9:39 AM +429 since 8:38 AM πŸ“Š MONDAY'S PARTY BREAKDOWN: πŸ”΅ DEM: 210 (36.3%) βšͺ UNA: 235 (40.7%) πŸ”΄ REP: 127 (22.0%) Other/Unaccounted: 6 πŸ“ˆ SHIFT SINCE FIRST UPDATE: πŸ”΅ DEM: 39.6% β†’ 36.3% (-3.3 pp) βšͺ UNA: 34.2% β†’ 40.7% (+6.4 pp) πŸ”΄ REP: 24.8% β†’ 22.0% (-2.9 pp) πŸ“Š OF THE 429 NEW VOTERS: πŸ”΅ DEM: +151 (35.2%) βšͺ UNA: +184 (42.9%) πŸ”΄ REP: +90 (21.0%) Unaffiliated voters increased their share of Monday's turnout by 6.4 percentage points in the past hour.
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JL@aggou4h
1st New Hanover County NC update for the day. πŸ—³οΈ 149 votes cast so far today As of 8:38 AM | October 19 πŸ“Š TODAY'S PARTY BREAKDOWN: πŸ”΅ DEM: 59 (39.6%) βšͺ UNA: 51 (34.2%) πŸ”΄ REP: 37 (24.8%) Other/Unaccounted: 2 (1.3%) I'll update with % shifts and vote shifts as the later updates come in. Again, this is the only county in NC which updates hourly.
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JL@aggou5h
Replying to @cemjcemj
We’ll find out! My estimate is around 650k Reps will Vote early
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JL@aggou5h
🚨 NC EARLY VOTE: WHO’S STILL LEFT TO VOTE? As of Oct. 18, here’s NC’s remaining active electorate by voter propensity. 4/4 voters: πŸ”΅ DEM: 650,627 πŸ”΄ REP: 771,468 βšͺ UNA: 674,218 3/4 voters: πŸ”΅ DEM: 317,464 πŸ”΄ REP: 374,253 βšͺ UNA: 385,345 2/4 voters: πŸ”΅ DEM: 295,708 πŸ”΄ REP: 324,001 βšͺ UNA: 394,926 1/4 voters: πŸ”΅ DEM: 269,949 πŸ”΄ REP: 300,648 βšͺ UNA: 463,188 0/4 voters: πŸ”΅ DEM: 234,874 πŸ”΄ REP: 225,511 βšͺ UNA: 617,062 πŸ“Š TOTAL REMAINING: πŸ”΅ DEM: 1,768,622 πŸ”΄ REP: 1,995,881 βšͺ UNA: 2,534,739
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JL@aggou5h
🚨 NC EARLY VOTE: DAY 4 PROPENSITY SHIFTS How has NC’s remaining electorate changed from Oct. 17 β†’ Oct. 18? Based on participation in the last 4 general elections (2018–24): 4/4 voters remaining: πŸ”΅ DEM: 650,627 (↓7,855) πŸ”΄ REP: 771,468 (↓1,676) βšͺ UNA: 674,218 (↓5,059) 3/4 remaining: πŸ”΅ DEM: 317,464 (↓1,699) πŸ”΄ REP: 374,253 (↓451) βšͺ UNA: 385,345 (↓1,384) 2/4 remaining: πŸ”΅ DEM: 295,708 (↓1,110) πŸ”΄ REP: 324,001 (↓231) βšͺ UNA: 394,926 (↓855) 1/4 remaining: πŸ”΅ DEM: 269,949 (↓631) πŸ”΄ REP: 300,648 (↓176) βšͺ UNA: 463,188 (↓873) 0/4 remaining: πŸ”΅ DEM: 234,874 (↑1,457) πŸ”΄ REP: 225,511 (↑388) βšͺ UNA: 617,062 (↑1,843) The increase in 0/4 reflects me updating the voter registration file last night.
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JL@aggou5h
🚨 NC EARLY VOTE: DAY 4 β€” SUNDAY, OCT. 18 24,257 voters recorded Sunday (IPEV + Mail). Sunday’s party breakdown: πŸ”΅ DEM: 12,605 (52.0%) πŸ”΄ REP: 2,163 (8.9%) βšͺ UNA: 9,431 (38.9%) Other: 58 (0.2%) πŸ“Š TOTAL VOTED SO FAR: πŸ”΅ DEM: 222,614 (45.8%) πŸ”΄ REP: 95,845 (19.7%) βšͺ UNA: 166,072 (34.2%) Other: 1,000 (0.2%) πŸ—³οΈ TOTAL: 485,531
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JL@aggou16h
Replying to @Neelhippal17
Union voted yesterday but they didn't vote today. Use this for checking into Union carolinaelections.com/tracke…
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JL@aggou17h
🚨 DURHAM COUNTY, NC β€” EARLY VOTE UPDATE πŸ—³οΈ TOTAL: 24,812 Previous: 21,616 NEW: +3,196 πŸ“Š PARTY β€” NEW VOTERS: πŸ”΅ DEM: +1,967 (61.5%) πŸ”΄ REP: +106 (3.3%) βšͺ UNA: +1,117 (35.0%) Other: +6 Cumulative party share shift: πŸ”΅ DEM: -0.26 pp πŸ”΄ REP: -0.18 pp βšͺ UNA: +0.44 pp πŸ“Š RACE β€” NET CHANGE: β€’ White: +1,686 (52.7%) β€’ Black: +961 (30.1%) β€’ Undesignated: +251 β€’ Other: +163 β€’ Asian: +127 Cumulative racial share: β€’ White: -0.44 pp β€’ Black: +0.06 pp Unaffiliated voters continue gaining share of Durham's early electorate.
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JL@aggou18h
Which is exactly what it would become
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JL@aggou19h
🚨 WAKE COUNTY, NC β€” SUNDAY EARLY VOTE πŸ—³οΈ TOTAL IPEV: 65,984 Sunday added: +9,860 πŸ“Š SUNDAY PARTY BREAKDOWN: πŸ”΅ DEM: +4,716 (47.8%) πŸ”΄ REP: +903 (9.2%) βšͺ UNA: +4,219 (42.8%) Cumulative share shift: πŸ”΅ DEM +0.17 pp πŸ”΄ REP -0.47 pp βšͺ UNA +0.32 pp πŸ“Š SUNDAY RACIAL BREAKDOWN: White: +5,715 Black: +2,172 Asian: +594 Other: +543 Undesignated: +747 Cumulative share shift: White: -1.09 pp Black: +0.38 pp Asian: +0.33 pp ⏰ Sunday: 1,972 voters/hour Approximately +40.6% vs. Saturday’s
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JL@aggou19h
🚨 MECKLENBURG COUNTY, NC β€” SUNDAY EARLY VOTE πŸ—³οΈ Sunday: 7,040 voters ⏰ Hours: 1–5 PM (4 hours) πŸ“Š TOTAL IPEV: 54,100 πŸ“¬ Approved Mail: 3,280 βœ… COMBINED: 57,380 VOTERS PER HOUR: Thursday: 1,539* Friday: 1,551* Saturday: 1,647* Sunday: 1,760 πŸ“ˆ Sunday hourly pace: +6.9% vs. Saturday +13.5% vs. Friday Sunday had the strongest hourly turnout of the first four days
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JL@aggou19h
Replying to @SamHerndon79338
They don’t show partisan data in their evening postings so we won’t know until the morning.
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JL@aggou19h
🚨 ORANGE COUNTY, NC β€” SUNDAY EARLY VOTE πŸ—³οΈ Sunday: 2,014 voters ⏰ Hours: Noon–5 PM (5 hours) πŸ“Š TOTAL IPEV: 13,022 VOTERS PER HOUR: Thursday: 373* Friday: 362* Saturday: 364* Sunday: 403 πŸ“ˆ Sunday hourly pace: +10.7% vs. Saturday +11.2% vs. Friday Despite fewer total ballots Sunday, Orange County recorded its highest hourly voting pace of the first four days
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JL@aggou19h
🚨 CUMBERLAND COUNTY, NC β€” SUNDAY EARLY VOTE πŸ—³οΈ Sunday: 1,187 voters ⏰ Voting hours: 2–5 PM (3 hours) πŸ“Š TOTAL IPEV: 12,294 VOTERS PER HOUR: Thursday: 432* Friday: 371* Saturday: 269* Sunday: 396 πŸ“ˆ Sunday vs. Saturday: +47.2% hourly πŸ“ˆ Sunday vs. Friday: +6.8% hourly Despite fewer raw votes Sunday, turnout was stronger per hour than both Friday and Saturday.
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JL@aggou20h
Honestly, it’s baffling. If you’re saying you want folks to lie (if they can in fact walk) to use something set aside to help those in need. Not sure what she’s thinking.
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JL@aggou23h
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JL@aggouOct 18
I can see if that’s possible to access
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