AFLalytics (@AFLalytics) profile picture

Amateur data scientist. Professional footy fan.

Joined January 2018
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Redoing my dashboards for this season and just got my AFLW one going. Click here for predictions and charts! aflalytics.com/apps/seasonDa… Some explanations in this thread...
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There’s been no footy for the past two months. So Max Barry (⁦@SquiggleAFL⁩) and his mates - @Stattraction, @fuzzybluerain, @aflalytics and @AflLadder - stepped in to create Virtually Season 2020. Ken Hinkley can only dream of a year like this! afl.com.au/news/435062
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Love this by @SquiggleAFL and stoked to be able to contribute simulated match results. This is definitely gonna help me get through this break in footy.
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Clicking a row in the live win prob tab brings up a win probability chart for that match. Here's the Freo vs Geelong game from today.
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Anyway that's it, hope people find it useful. Keen to hear thoughts and tips too :)
New blog post: A new way to think about scoring in the AFL and breaking down how matches are won and lost. aflalytics.com/blog/2020/1/n…
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Something I've been looking at for a while and finally got around to posting! Some words, equations and graphs on modelling home ground advantage in AFL, including a look at venue dimensions and club membership figures. aflalytics.com/blog/2019/12/…
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AFLalytics retweeted
I'm looking for someone to scrape sports data...possibly several projects if work is good/affordable. Includes AFL Tables, but more @ESPNcricinfo and Sports-Reference. Any recommendations? @insightlane @MatterOfStats @TheArcFooty @SquiggleAFL @AFLLab @GRAFTRatings @AFLalytics
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That's a wrap for 2019, after a rocky start to the year it ended pretty well for the AFLalytics model: On @SquiggleAFL: 1st in bits, 3rd in MAE, 10th in tips. On Monash: 1st in Gaussian, 2nd in bits, 16th in Normal. Congrats to all the tippers and all the best for 2020!
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We've got 3 close games and not much chance for Essendon in 2 weeks time.
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My thoughts on the AFL data landscape - if you are part of the small minority - I'd appreciate a share with the community for what its worth, this is a collection of thoughts based on my experiences - Tag all those worthy of hearing some thoughts docs.google.com/document/d/1…
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AFLalytics retweeted
Is an AFL team coming off the bye disadvantaged? Some believe this to be true. But as human beings, we tend to over value recent information, so is this effect real? Check out my latest post where I use statistics to find out aflgains.com/post/does-the-b….
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