Stattraction (@Stattraction) profile picture

Stattraction

@Stattraction

I'm trying to predict things that I don't want to be predictable. Covering AFL, Counter-Strike and Sport Climbing. (He/they)

 Australia
stattraction.au/
Joined November 2017
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Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)Photo by Stattraction (@Stattraction)
Most games in no. 12 for Fremantle: 1. Ebony Antonio, 70 2. Graham Polak, 67 3. Jonathon Griffin, 56 #AFLW
Fremantle Dockers AFLW (@freodockersAFLW) profile pictureFremantle Dockers AFLW@freodockersAFLW27 Nov 2025
an illustrious career from one of our original Freo Dockers comes to a close 💜 Ebony Antonio has tonight announced her retirement at our Fairest & Best, leaving behind an incredible legacy. thanks for everything, Epps! #foreverfreo
Image from Fremantle Dockers AFLW (@freodockersAFLW)
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Most points in an #AFLW final: 1. Adelaide 23 SF v Syd: 82 2. Fremantle 20 FW1 v GCS: 80 3. Carlton 25 SF v Haw: 79
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Essendon have just gone 1.2 (8) up to the Kangaroos' 0 points. This is the biggest deficit the Roos have faced this season, breaking the previous best of 6 points held by Geelong. #AFLW
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Here are the Koper #WorldClimbing final projections. Jakob Schubert has come roaring back to competition and he's the firm favourite. Anraku, Roberts, Ginés López and Ondra are all good chances of taking the title as well.
A table showing predictions of the IFSC Koper 2025 men's lead final. The list of athletes and their chances of winning are as follows: 1. Jakob Schubert 23.4% 2. Anraku Sorato 16.5% 3. Toby Roberts 14.8% 4. Alberto Ginés López 14.1% 5. Adam Ondra 11.6% 6. Suzuki Neo 8.7% 7. Yoshida Satone 8.3% 8. Putra Tri Ramadani 2.7%

ALT A table showing predictions of the IFSC Koper 2025 men's lead final. The list of athletes and their chances of winning are as follows: 1. Jakob Schubert 23.4% 2. Anraku Sorato 16.5% 3. Toby Roberts 14.8% 4. Alberto Ginés López 14.1% 5. Adam Ondra 11.6% 6. Suzuki Neo 8.7% 7. Yoshida Satone 8.3% 8. Putra Tri Ramadani 2.7%

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And here are the women's projections. Janja Garnbret is once again the rampaging favourite to take it. Seo, McNeice and Rogora are in a good position to pounce if she doesn't. #WorldClimbing
A table showing predictions of the IFSC Koper 2025 women's lead final. The list of athletes and their chances of winning are as follows: 1. Janja Garnbret 44.8% 2. Seo Chaehyun 17% 3. Erin McNeice 15.2% 4. Laura Rogora 12.4% 5. Lucka Rakovec 5.6% 6. Rosa Rekar 2% 7. Heloïse Doumont 1.9% 8. Lucija Tarkus 1%

ALT A table showing predictions of the IFSC Koper 2025 women's lead final. The list of athletes and their chances of winning are as follows: 1. Janja Garnbret 44.8% 2. Seo Chaehyun 17% 3. Erin McNeice 15.2% 4. Laura Rogora 12.4% 5. Lucka Rakovec 5.6% 6. Rosa Rekar 2% 7. Heloïse Doumont 1.9% 8. Lucija Tarkus 1%

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IFSC Koper is about to kick off! Here's what I've got for results. Anraku, Ginés López and Roberts are the favourites for the men's lead. Suzuki and Yoshida aren't far behind either. #WorldClimbing
Table showing predictions for IFSC Koper 2025. Following is the top 5 athletes and their win percentages in men's lead. Anraku Sorato 21.1% Alberto Ginés López 19.6% Toby Roberts 17.4% Suzuki Neo 10% Yoshida Satone 8.7%

ALT Table showing predictions for IFSC Koper 2025. Following is the top 5 athletes and their win percentages in men's lead. Anraku Sorato 21.1% Alberto Ginés López 19.6% Toby Roberts 17.4% Suzuki Neo 10% Yoshida Satone 8.7%

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For the women's lead, Janja Garnbret is of course the runaway favourite since Mori Ai isn't in attendance. Seo, McNeice, Rogora, Pilz and Kim are all decent shots. #WorldClimbing
Table showing predictions for IFSC Koper 2025. Following is the top 6 athletes and their win percentages in women's lead. Janja Garnbret 47% Seo Chaehyun 13.4% Erin McNeice 12.6% Laura Rogora 8.6% Jessica Pilz 6.6% Kim Jain 4.3%

ALT Table showing predictions for IFSC Koper 2025. Following is the top 6 athletes and their win percentages in women's lead. Janja Garnbret 47% Seo Chaehyun 13.4% Erin McNeice 12.6% Laura Rogora 8.6% Jessica Pilz 6.6% Kim Jain 4.3%

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As always, more details are available on the ol' site. stattraction.au/climbing-kop…
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Most goals in an #AFLW game while leading hitouts: 1. M Scholz, 4 (PA, Rd 3 2025) =2. E King, 3 (NM, Rd 4 2019) =2. E King, 3 (NM, Rd 1 2021) =2. M Scholz, 3 (PA, Rd 10 2023) =5. 9 players, 2
AFL Women's (@aflwomens) profile pictureAFL Women's
@aflwomens30 Aug 2025
Plus: 8 marks, 16 hitouts and 7 inside 50s and 6 clearances 😮‍💨 Have yourself a game, Matilda! #AFLWPowerSuns
Image from AFL Women's (@aflwomens)
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#AFLW players to lead (or jointly lead) goals, hitouts, clearances, inside 50s, metres gained and score involvements in one match: Matilda Scholz (PA, Rd 3 2025) (Erin Phillips x2, Dana Hooker, Mon Conti and Mim Strom have each lead 5 of these 6 categories)
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This is Grierson's second career goal. Her first was Melbourne's first goal in the #AFLW, back in round 1 2017.
AFL Women's (@aflwomens) profile pictureAFL Women's
@aflwomens30 Aug 2025
That is Jasmine Grierson's first goal in 10 YEARS 🤯 #AFLWCatsSwans
There's a new version of this post
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#AFL Benchwarmers of the Year 1. Angus Sheldrick (SY), estimated 17h 50m spent on the bench 2. Harry Sharp (ME) 17h 49m 3. Cooper Lord (CA) 16h 30m 4. Jacob Konstanty (NM) 14h 56m 5. Josh Sinn (PA) 14h 34m
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Lucia Painter is now only the 4th AFLW player to kick 3 goal on debut and the first since 2019. Darcy Vescio (2017) and Courteney Munn (2019) kicked 4, Erin Phillips (2017) kicked 3 in their first games. #AFLWEaglesSuns
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Highest disposal counts in the 2025 #AFLW practice matches: 40: Georgie Prespakis (GE) 35: Laura Gardiner (SY) 33: Ash Riddell (NM) 31: Ebony Marinoff (AD) 30: Alyce Parker (GW) 28: Eliza McNamara (ME) 27: Kiara Bowers (FR), Madeleine Guerin (CA), Anne Hatchard (AD)
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This week: a look into what makes up a contested possession and whether they really matter. Huge thanks to Andrew (@andrew_whelan @WheeloRatings) for collaborating on this one. Wheelo is about the best single source for AFL stats right now. abc.net.au/news/2024-07-19/a…
Are contested possessions a 'key indicator of success' or just a 'fancy term' in the AFL?

Are contested possessions a 'key indicator of success' or just a 'fancy term' in the AFL?

The contested possession has increasingly gained prominence in recent years, but there is much debate in the AFL world about its value.

abc.net.au
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Image from Stattraction (@Stattraction)
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For the betterment of statistical understanding, he's actually the 4th. Matthew Lloyd also did it in addition to Franklin and Kennedy. Just because he started his streak of 70 games in 1999, it doesn't mean that we can just ignore the 61 straight games in 2000-02.
Carlton FC (@CarltonFC) profile pictureCarlton FC
@CarltonFC29 Mar 2024
50 consecutive games with a goal. The third player to accomplish the feat in the 2000s. Charles. #AFLRoosBlues
Image from Carlton FC (@CarltonFC)
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Just to prove that I have completely lost the plot, I've now got a model for sport climbing, covering the @ifsclimbing season. Right now, it's just Bouldering, but I will cover Lead once that season kicks off in earnest.
Image from Stattraction (@Stattraction)
Image from Stattraction (@Stattraction)
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My inspiration for this is that the tournament formats allow for a lot of inconsistency in the final standings of each tournament. A lack of podium finishes doesn't mean a climber can't compete against the best. I'll have a blog post up soon covering the specifics soon.
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Stattraction retweeted
Liam 🐦 (@crow_data_sci) profile picture
Liam 🐦@crow_data_sci16 Jun 2023
For a limited time only. Threat rating and Retention Rating for 190k kicks since 2021 with my modelling and everything you need to model it yourself. You can also plot, analyse and summarise for any players/teams you want drive.google.com/file/d/19xG…
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