@TradeVolatility

Market structure, options positioning & the macro that moves them. Gamma | Flow | 0DTE | Skew | Vanna | VIX/VXX/SVIX Stock & options trade automation.🇺🇸

stocks.tradingvolatility.net
Joined May 2010
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  • Followers33.9K
3.7KMedia

Selling Micron’s earnings premium without selling the upside

$MU reports Sept 30 with the market pricing about an 8.4% move. The richest options on the board are upside calls, so a bullish trade can sell them, as long as every short leg is capped.

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Can VIX calls hedge a 25–40% drop?

In our last post we priced out a hedge for @jam_croissant's SPX 25–40% drawdown call and landed on a June 2027 SPX 6970/4600 put spread, funded by a short call. The obvious follow-up question: why n…

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Pricing a 25–40% crash: what the SPX board charges, and how I’d hedge it

Cem Karsan put a hard number on his bear case in a recent interview: a 25% to 40% decline in the S&P 500 within roughly a seven-month window. I’m not here to argue the call. I want to answer two nar…

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Most jobs will be safe from AI

It will become technically feasible to automate a wide range of cognitive and administrative jobs.

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Reading the Options Tape: Behavior vs Positioning

Price doesn’t respond to options positioning. It responds to options behavior.

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The Market Regime Has Shifted. Here’s What Matters for the Next 90 Days

Last year in our articles we identified the drivers behind gold, emerging markets and tech as the spots to be for 2025. These have been great trades and it is time to update positioning as we look at …

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A Missive on Trading, Capitalist Markets, and the Pillars of a Thriving Society

Civil discourse hasn’t just stumbled -- it has capsized, sinking into a moral abyss where compasses spin wildly and reason drowns. We’ve reached a point where crowds cheer the liberty of terrorist…

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