@TimAllmanWriteri
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Still swimming in the cesspit that used to be Twitter, head just above the surface. Ragebait accounts will be permanently blocked. #ElonMuskIsATwat #AvoidGrok
Joined April 2020
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T Allman retweeted
I'm going to say this again in clear, simple terms so there can be no equivocation:
Prior to Brexit, immigrants very rarely came to the UK in small boats because it is an extremely dangerous mode of transport. They came in lorries. Organised smuggling gangs knew that because there was free movement of goods between EU countries that there was a high chance that a lorry concealing immigrants would not be searched.
I am sure you all remember that terrible case of a lorry-load of migrants from China and Vietnam that was abandoned in Essex. 31 men and 8 women died.
The onset of Brexit meant that gradually, from approx 2018 onwards, more and more stringent checks began being carried out on lorries, as well as increased security at ferry ports - even Newhaven-Dieppe are surrounded with high barbed wire security fences, and every vehicle leaving Dieppe is opened and checked, so I imagine it must be pretty much the same at Calais and Boulogne as well.
We have no idea how many people a year arrived in the UK unlawfully by lorry. The reason for this is because they were literally untrackable. Occasionally you would see a lorry stopped by the M2 or the M25 with a handful of people standing behind the safety barrier while the police had the blue lights on. But they certainly could not track what they didn't know about.
The likelihood is that there were a great many more people getting into the country. The overwhelming majority of them would disappear into the undergrowth, never to be seen again until either
a) they committed an offence
b) they were caught in raids working illegally
c) they either walked into a police station to claim asylum almost immediately or
d) they popped over the parapet several years later because they wanted to regularise their status, either by marrying, or because they had children, or under the Long Residence rules - it used to be 15 years but is now 20 years. If you can prove you have been in the UK continuously for 20 years and have otherwise kept your nose clean, you are entitled to limited leave to remain. Eventually you might get settlement after 30 years - again, if you can prove you have always been in the country in that time. You will not get nationality if you entered the country illegally these days, though, unless you can show that there is something exceptional about your contribution to society.
The small boats are different. The small boats are highly visible. The small boats - and their passengers - are very easy to spot, and very easy for the Coastguard and Border Force to track. A man from the BBC used to spend all his time stood on a cliff counting them post-Brexit.
Yes, there will be the occasional one that slips through undetected. But that is the opposite of the way it was with lorry smuggling, where it was the occasional one that was actually detected, and the majority slipping through un-noticed.
The irony of Farage, Lowe, Robinson, Tommo and all the other far-right screechers claiming we are unsafe because of "fighting age men" arriving on these boats is hilarious if it wasn't so desperate. When the boats arrive, every person is fingerprinted, screened and vetted as best we can, although another irony of Brexit is we no longer have automatic access to Europol except if we have grounds to suspect someone is a criminal rather than just an asylum seeker, so well done Brexit for that as well.
Also, as we are no longer party to what's called the Dublin Agreement, whereas before we could make an application to France to take them back, and take responsibility for the asylum claim, now we are out of the EU we can't do that either.
But at least we know who is here, we have their fingerprints, and we know who they are.
In short, we are arguably safer from the "fighting age men" now that at any time in the past 30-odd years. The numbers are reducing. The numbers of crossings are reducing.
I hold no candle for Labour these days, but at least they are processing the backlog the Tories (deliberately?) built up and those who don't have the right here are being deported as well.
Boris Johnson is as full of shit as he always was.
Feel free to share this.
Before you shout 'Stop the boats', read this :
I'm going to say this again in clear, simple terms so there can be no equivocation:
Prior to Brexit, immigrants very rarely came to the UK in small boats because it is an extremely dangerous mode of transport. They came in lorries. Organised smuggling gangs knew that because there was free movement of goods between EU countries that there was a high chance that a lorry concealing immigrants would not be searched.
I am sure you all remember that terrible case of a lorry-load of migrants from China and Vietnam that was abandoned in Essex. 31 men and 8 women died.
The onset of Brexit meant that gradually, from approx 2018 onwards, more and more stringent checks began being carried out on lorries, as well as increased security at ferry ports - even Newhaven-Dieppe are surrounded with high barbed wire security fences, and every vehicle leaving Dieppe is opened and checked, so I imagine it must be pretty much the same at Calais and Boulogne as well.
We have no idea how many people a year arrived in the UK unlawfully by lorry. The reason for this is because they were literally untrackable. Occasionally you would see a lorry stopped by the M2 or the M25 with a handful of people standing behind the safety barrier while the police had the blue lights on. But they certainly could not track what they didn't know about.
The likelihood is that there were a great many more people getting into the country. The overwhelming majority of them would disappear into the undergrowth, never to be seen again until either
a) they committed an offence
b) they were caught in raids working illegally
c) they either walked into a police station to claim asylum almost immediately or
d) they popped over the parapet several years later because they wanted to regularise their status, either by marrying, or because they had children, or under the Long Residence rules - it used to be 15 years but is now 20 years. If you can prove you have been in the UK continuously for 20 years and have otherwise kept your nose clean, you are entitled to limited leave to remain. Eventually you might get settlement after 30 years - again, if you can prove you have always been in the country in that time. You will not get nationality if you entered the country illegally these days, though, unless you can show that there is something exceptional about your contribution to society.
The small boats are different. The small boats are highly visible. The small boats - and their passengers - are very easy to spot, and very easy for the Coastguard and Border Force to track. A man from the BBC used to spend all his time stood on a cliff counting them post-Brexit.
Yes, there will be the occasional one that slips through undetected. But that is the opposite of the way it was with lorry smuggling, where it was the occasional one that was actually detected, and the majority slipping through un-noticed.
The irony of Farage, Lowe, Robinson, Tommo and all the other far-right screechers claiming we are unsafe because of "fighting age men" arriving on these boats is hilarious if it wasn't so desperate. When the boats arrive, every person is fingerprinted, screened and vetted as best we can, although another irony of Brexit is we no longer have automatic access to Europol except if we have grounds to suspect someone is a criminal rather than just an asylum seeker, so well done Brexit for that as well.
Also, as we are no longer party to what's called the Dublin Agreement, whereas before we could make an application to France to take them back, and take responsibility for the asylum claim, now we are out of the EU we can't do that either.
But at least we know who is here, we have their fingerprints, and we know who they are.
In short, we are arguably safer from the "fighting age men" now that at any time in the past 30-odd years. The numbers are reducing. The numbers of crossings are reducing.
I hold no candle for Labour these days, but at least they are processing the backlog the Tories (deliberately?) built up and those who don't have the right here are being deported as well.
Boris Johnson is as full of shit as he always was.
Feel free to share this.
This sheds a light on why the mega-wealthy running the private company Reform UK keep trying to present themselves as 'anti-establishment'
westcountryvoices.co.uk/harb…
Listen to Ryan, twitter
One thing that's so frustrating about climate skepticism is that it holds back the public from discussing actual points of contention within the natural and social sciences of climate change...
Instead of debating whether Earth is warming (it is); or whether anthropogenic GHG emissions are the predominant cause (they are); and whether we should be trying to reduce emissions (we should); we should be debating more interesting questions, like...
- How exactly should we define Net Zero, and how sure are we that bringing emissions down to Net Zero will be sufficient to stop additional warming (what conditions would make this so or not so)?
- Are ocean and land carbon sinks becoming less efficient than originally expected?
- What is the true nature of cloud feedbacks, and to what extent is it the primary driver of declining albedo in recent years?
- How effective are aerosols exactly at cooling the Earth?
- How likely are various Earth Systems Tipping points to be breached (and can we reduce uncertainty there)?
- What are the precise contributions of various factors (like cloud feedbacks, aerosols, land use changes, snow/ice melt, black carbon, etc.) to recent increases in Absorbed Solar Radiation?
Or, on the social side:
- What policies are the most effective for driving deep emissions cuts at lowest cost *while also taking public legitimacy into account*?
- What are the most likely trends in energy demand over the coming decades (and generally how will the Kaya identity evolve over the remainder of this Century)?
- How will electrification efforts fare, and how can clean energy be most effectively deployed?
- How will climate change contribute to costs? What about transition policies? What kinds of socio-cultural effects will these costs have?
- How might climate change work at amplifying tensions between different political or territorial adversaries?
Etc, etc...
Those, in my humble opinion, are just some of the questions that are of interest to me and that I wish we could have more discussion and (respectful) debate about.
Yet instead .. here we are... having to respond to JoeBlow2838494838238321's viral post about how we should increase atmospheric CO2 to commercial greenhouse levels because aLl pLaNtS lOvE Co2!
T Allman retweeted
Not sure who's sillier on this site, Elon Musk for claiming history's most infamous far right dictator was a socialist, or the climate change sceptics for saying this temperature in May is fine because a few million years ago the surface of the planet was molten lava.
Goodwin the foreign asset?
NEW 👀
The Reform candidate at this month’s byelection claims he wants to put Britain first, but is he still on the payroll of Viktor Orbán’s far-right propaganda unit?
goodlaw.social/cgs3
T Allman retweeted
Apparently @elonmusk hates this Banksy.
Would be awful if we kept sharing it...
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
This is not a Banksy. This is a digital alteration of a work by a French artist in Lyon.
reuters.com/fact-check/mur…
T Allman retweeted
"I might disagree with Mandelson on his politics, but he's a very intelligent man and would be good choice for ambassador".
@Nigel_Farage, Dec 2024 – at Burton upon Trent, England
T Allman retweeted
Replying to @EastEndJoe