Don't fight the tape. Never own the narrative

Rosario, Argentina
Joined March 2018
Merval CCL perdiendo 1er soporte de la ultima suba vertical Hasta ahora, no hubo 2 dias como el de hoy seguidos. Hay q ver como reacciona el mercado si se da. Yo x mi parte desde la semana pasada no tengo RV argy salvo un pucho de Loma q me quedaron de clavel y unas vist que quedaron gratis
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This is fascinating from Ray Dalio. Gold ETFs currently account for 87% of his portfolio. As he likes to say: “If you don’t own gold, you know neither history nor economics.” tavicosta.substack.com/p/sho…
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Dasouza retweeted
La transparencia tan declamada por LLA duró tan poco que nadie alcanzó a notarla, arrancaron robando, les encantó el vicio y ahora no paran de tener negocios sucios a cada paso que dan. El mismo malandra que dijo: "voté a Alberto porque el gobierno de Macri fue un desastre"
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debate animado em menos de 1 min pra quem nao conseguiu asssistir
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Back from the IMF Annual Meetings in Bangkok. One takeaway, four asset price implications, seven market denials. Thread.
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Disparada é a maior manifestação que o Brasil já viu. As imagens comprovam. Agora é Flávio 22.
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The craziest thing about that flying car is that Donald Trump raped kids with Jeffrey Epstein.
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Dasouza retweeted
De los relatores de Recesiones en USA llega: "La burbuja de la IA". Donde algunos cen burbujas yo veo buenos precios...
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BREAKING: TRUMP ON TAKING MONEY FROM VENEZUELA: “You know how much money we're taking out of Venezuela? Hundreds of billions of dollars we're taking out of Venezuela.”
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🚨BREAKING: Russia’s special envoy to Vladimir Putin has posted an image depicting the United States & Russia teaming up to defeat Europe. This comes after the U.S. President gutted the new “Lindsey Graham” Russia Sanctions Act last night.
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Miners are literally printing money right now. Average cost basis is $1800 with spot gold at $4170.
Gold miners’ earnings surge but valuations lag: Sprott Gold producers aren’t getting full credit from investors for stronger profits and tighter spending discipline, Sprott Asset Management says. The NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index traded at 5.7 times expected operating earnings at Sept. 30, about 22% below its roughly 7.3-times average over the past 20 years. Its forward earnings-per-share measure has climbed to more than four times its level at the end of 2023, according to the Toronto-based investment manager. “We believe that major gold miners favour capital discipline and profitability, which has at least been partly reflected in their balance sheets and rising shareholder distributions,” Director of Research & Investment Strategy Kenny Zhu said in an emailed reply to The Northern Miner. “Net debt levels have fallen to their lowest point in the past 20 years, even as return on capital rises and shareholder distributions increase.” (Northern Miner)
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Meanwhile… If gold miners were a standalone sector, they would be the cheapest group in this comparison of US equities. Roughly a 10% free cash flow yield. No other sector shown comes close. tavicosta.substack.com/p/sho…
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Dasouza retweeted
Si LLA hubiera sido "apenas diferentes" a los peronchokukas que están en el gobierno, el país hubiera mostrado mejoras que al menos insinuaran algo diferente. Populismo de zurda o derecha implica que te roban con distinta mano. Un país que desde lejos se ve peor de lo que es
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State of Geopolitics in a Meme
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Eleições | Eventos recentes e comentários Por Dan Kawa Flávio segue liderando as pesquisas, mas sua vantagem diminuiu nos últimos 10 a 15 dias, refletindo uma campanha mais passiva do candidato, enquanto Lula adotou uma postura mais proativa e populista. Nas últimas 72 horas, contudo, alguns acontecimentos podem alterar essa dinâmica. Lula cometeu erros relevantes na sabatina da Globo, especialmente ao afirmar desconhecer a ausência de reajustes do Bolsa Família durante seu governo, tema que deverá ser explorado pela oposição. Além disso, suas declarações sobre Minas Gerais, após a eleição de Cleitinho, e o confronto com a Globo criaram novos desgastes políticos. Por outro lado, embora Flávio ainda mantenha uma postura relativamente passiva, sua participação na sabatina da Globo foi considerada satisfatória. Sem uma performance excepcional, conseguiu evitar erros relevantes em temas sensíveis, deixando a percepção de um desempenho superior ao de Lula. O cenário, portanto, continua apontando para uma vantagem estreita de Flávio, mas, após o movimento de convergência das últimas semanas, os acontecimentos recentes podem favorecer uma nova mudança marginal de tendência em seu benefício nesta reta final.
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Coreweave CEO Michael Intrator says the market is acting irrationally by selling his stock. A run through SEC filings reveals Michael Intrator has been “acting irrationally” as well, selling $907 million worth of $CRWV shares this year alone. His cofounders Brian Venturo and Brannin Mcbee have also been acting irrationally. The trio has sold a combined $3.3 billion of stock since the IPO. Venturo is the second biggest insider seller of any American company this year. Their benefactors at Magnetar Capital have also been acting irrationally. They have sold more than $5.5 Billion of Coreweave stock since the IPO. A lot of people seem to be acting very irrationally.
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Dasouza retweeted
Elon Musk flips a vehicle upside down and everyone claps and cheers. But when I do it, suddenly I'm "recklessly endangering children" and "unfit to be a school bus driver".
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🇺🇸🇻🇪 | La Nobel de la Paz, María Corina Machado, denuncia que EEUU la ha dejado fuera de todas las negociaciones con Venezuela.
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Voces elogian a Milei por el superávit comercial (explicado por el petróleo). Voces explican que la inflación mayorista de septiembre >3% es por el petróleo (no por Milei). Para todo servicio.
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La bazooka de deuda para "secar la plaza" esta matando a la economía real.
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Evidentemente la emisión monetaria del Gobierno está fuera de control.
Replying to @fede_machado_b
Fede la inflación mayorista correlaciona mucho mejor con el fenómeno monetario que la minorista que se ve afectada por recomposición de precios relativos como en los servicios públicos. Una cosa es el índice y otra muy diferente el fenómeno monetario que induce el alza general de los precios. Seamos honestos de verdad!
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