
State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 3
United States
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🚨FORECAST LAUNCH🚨
We have officially launched our state legislative forecasts for every state in the country.
We currently project Democrats (and Democrat-caucusing Independents) to have a net gain of 407 state legislative seats in November.
projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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State Navigate@StateNavigate14h
United States
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🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨
Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot
🔵Democrats +20
🔵59% Democrats
🔴39% Republicans
⚪️3% Undecided
⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024
articles.statenavigate.com/v…
🧵

State Navigate@StateNavigate14h
United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨
Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot
🔵Democrats +20
🔵59% Democrats
🔴39% Republicans
⚪️3% Undecided
⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024
articles.statenavigate.com/v…
🧵

State Navigate@StateNavigate14h
United States
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🔶Spanberger is the floor. Democrats are winning over voters who, at this point, planned to vote for Winsome Sears in 2025. Most people who were undecided in the 2025 gubernatorial race have already decided to vote Democratic.
🔶The undecideds overall skew Republican-leaning based on their previous vote choices.
🔶Most partisans kept their party ID the same, but Democrats have gained in party ID over time.

State Navigate@StateNavigate14h
United States
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🔶We have other great team notes, but this one is perhaps the most important: we did not find any Republican non-response bias in our poll.
State Navigate retweeted

Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombeOct 22
United States
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.@StateNavigate has an article slated for early next week that I have been working on for about two weeks now on 2024 presidential recall. Hoping Tuesday. You don't want to miss it.
State Navigate retweeted

Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombe23h
United States
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The @StateNavigate GA GOV poll goes into the field Friday, we expect results to be up by no later than Wednesday currently.
State Navigate retweeted

Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombeOct 20
United States
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The @StateNavigate forecasts have been updated tonight to remove Wedgewood's polls from our Governor forecasts. Not much has changed anywhere. NE w/the largest margin change at 1.1%. Everything else 0.1%-0.3%.
GA, IA, KS, MI, NE, NV, OH, TX, WI are the states where there were Wedgewood polls in our forecasts. All are out now.
State Navigate retweeted

Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombeOct 16
United States
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.@StateNavigate is now looking to raise funds for an upcoming Georgia poll we hope to start 1 week from now.
If you can make a tax-deductible donation to our polling fund, we would greatly appreciate it! We're trying to raise $2,000. I'll post updates:
statenavigate.org/donate/
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State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 15
United States
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🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨
SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
articles.statenavigate.com/p…

State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 15
United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨
SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
articles.statenavigate.com/p…
State Navigate retweeted
Excited to share that I'm starting a new role as the Data Manager @StateNavigate today! I'm really looking forward to working with such a great org to build out their datasets for 2026 and beyond.
State Navigate retweeted

Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombeOct 12
United States
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🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨
I wrote about the top 20 strangest state legislative races in 2026: 10 crazy, 10 interesting.
Arrested incumbents, write-ins, party-switchers, slurs, pedophiles, Nazis, and more.
Our best article of 2026. Enjoy!
projects.statenavigate.com/f…
State Navigate retweeted

Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombeOct 11
United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
👀
Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombeOct 10United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
I've written the best article I've made in a year, titled "The 20 Strangest State Legislative Elections of 2026." 10 races that are ridiculously crazy, and 10 that I find really interesting.
It's out Monday at 8 AM Eastern.
State Navigate retweeted

State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 8
United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLL🚨
PA SD-46 (Trump +28)
State Senate
🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) [inc] 43%
🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 43%
⚪️Undecided 14%
Governor
🔵Josh Shapiro (D) [inc] 51%
🔴Stacy Garrity (R) 42%
⚪️Undecided 7%
articles.statenavigate.com/p…

State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 8
United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
ICYMI: we now have a national state legislative forecast simulator. Plug in what you think will happen in the general election and how demographics will vote, and see how it stacks up against our forecasts.
projects.statenavigate.com/2…










