A macro system research approach to equity markets and crypto by studying things others ignore⚔️👐♟️🐝🎱💎🦍 OlDirtyBastard.ETH

New York, USA
Joined June 2021
SimpleJack retweeted
It shouldn’t make financial sense, but in this insane world we’re living in. It sort of does but spending only 5% over the last two years is the mistake. You should spend all your disposable income and go into massive credit card debt to do so and I’m not bullshitting. Let me explain and show you the math. If collectibles aggregate value continues to outpace market index returns , savings rates & inflation. The craziest story is that those people spending 5% of their own income on it are missing out because you could do it on someone else’s dollar and generate gains you won’t believe when you see it without spending a dollar out of your own pocket. This sounds crazy, but…it gets crazier I didn’t run the math for every class of collectibles as I just ran them out after I saw your post, but I did it for Pokémon. Sports cards will be a lesser degree than what I’m showing here but still the same story. Thesis Someone who purchased Pokemon PSA 10s 2 yrs ago on an 18% APR CC & held them and only paid minimum monthly payments and let the balance on their credit cards roll through encruing interest yields freakishly strong returns. If you sold those cards they would cover the balance including interest and net a strong profit. The more debt you went into doing this, the more you would profit if selling today. Desirable PSA 10s from ~Aug ’24 generally beat 18% APR & posted net gains (often large), though results vary by card, carried bal & sell costs. CC cost: 18% APR compounds. 2 yrs monthly, no payments ≈ +43% ($10k → ~$14.3k cc debt today). 2 yrs monthly Min payments cut principal but still add interest. Simple ann. ≈ +39%. 2 yrs monthly Grace-period payoff = $0 interest + fees + ~10–13% sell comm + ship/ins. Hurdle to be profitable: Trading cards purchased need to increase 18% annually . (or >~40% total if balance fully carried).-testing the most degenerate and hardest to reach floor. PSA 10 moves were uneven but strongly + for targeted cards: - Top-20 SWSH chase PSA 10s +215% Mar ’24–Mar ’26 (~77% ann.); raw +157%. Pop rose yet prices climbed. - Vintage WOTC: Jungle/Fossil ~$27k Jan ’24 → ~$190k Mar ’26; TR/Gym ~$22k → ~$141k. Broader “big 3” vintage < $300k → nearly $800k. So in short 1. Amount of credit card debt owned today on initial 10k / 18% APR / 2 years / sold today. • no payments for the entire 2 years= $14,332 2. +215% PSA 10s: Payoff entire CC balance + net a $13k–$15k profit 3. +157% raw cards of the same top 20 PSA from above : Payoff entire CC balance +$8k–$9k profit 4. Jungle/Fossil ~7x: Payoff entire CC balance +$47k–$50k in profit Yup you read that correctly. Potentially 50k in profit with no out of pocket cost. And that math also takes out an estimated 8% vs 13% in selling fees. In short, well-chosen PSA 10s (vintage holos, low-pop chase from maturing sets) bought 2 yrs ago on 18% APR & held to Aug ’26 is making my head explode. And that was a 10 K in purchases. Multiply that now so we credit card you can people can be millionaires from this. And those sellers fees, I’ve been working on something I need to share with you when I completed but for the hobby shops, I think I’m building something that’s going to incorporate some of the other stuff I shared with you and allow them to reach a much bigger market and avoid paying platform to get their product out there So can it continue? I’m not sure, I’m still buying almost daily. And on a final note I have some tulips cards for sale if anyone is interested.
unusual_whales
@unusual_whalesAug 29
Americans are spending 5% of their goods spending to hobbies, an all time high, per Bloomberg:
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SimpleJack retweeted
🤔💭 Montreal says don't forget to thank “them” for playing a MAJOR role in the chess game/reset, then drops 🦋🐪🦋. The camel is Sultan Almaadeed, the same investor who publicly posted a photo with Ryan Cohen calling for “Bigger and Better Partnerships.” That's a pretty specific connection to bring back into the conversation. ♟️ Sultan has also been talking about capital, customers, human capital, and rare trading cards as an asset class, tagging GameStop, Collectors, and PSA. Those aren't random topics. They're directly connected to GameStop's collectibles strategy. The man isn't just posing for pictures. He's publicly discussing business opportunities in RC's orbit. Now Montreal is placing Sultan between two butterflies while talking about a major role in a reset. Is the camel representing a strategic partnership in the larger Butterfly/Teddy picture? Nothing official confirms such a deal, but the connection to Ryan Cohen is real, and the symbolism is getting awfully specific. 👀🦋🧸
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SimpleJack retweeted
1/14 ELI5: 100 library books are out, average age 109 days. Overnight it drops to 91. That only happens when the OLDEST books come back. Same thing just hit borrowed $GME shares. Year old hedges came off. Not new shorts.
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SimpleJack retweeted
Grok
@grok3h
A year on: Starlink Mobile now hits regular phones via partners, with FCC-approved sats and spectrum for full carrier push—no dedicated X phone yet. X Money delivers fiat P2P and debit. Video leans hard into short/live. Tokenized equities expand under SEC rules. Crypto wallet and NFT music remain open slots. Fresh angle: native non-custodial wallet with AI agents for seamless DEX + tokenized equity trades, tying retail and web3 tighter.
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Come on, X money? It is the EVERYTHING app. While it will do one hell of a job removing it from your wallet, it will also end up being your one stop shop for anything you need to do online all while just money (well it will be for The clues, rumors and innuendo's have been dropping for almost two years now. If you haven't picked up on any of the script and you are going to experience the revelations all at once, you just may shit your pants, or nod off because you obviously don't pay attention to shit. The timeline is about to go full retard. Never go full retard right? Well this is like Corky Thatcher and Helen Keller had a baby while both were on one hell of a crack bender and your are there offspring if you are completely in the dark . Welcome to the show. 🎩💥 Let’s recap the “confirmed” reality real quick: X Wallet? ✔️ Trading & investing tools? ✔️ Video calls? Already happening. P2P payments? In motion. Financial licenses across U.S. states? Locked. AI via xAI & Grok 3? Feeding the machine. Commerce ecosystem? Quietly leveling up. Multichannel retail app? Mentioned… and oh, we’re gonna talk. NFT marketplace? Leaked like it owed someone money. Now, let’s dance into the speculation zone, where the real fun begins: Multichannel Retail App? Yeah, that one. The one everyone thought was just for your kid’s used video games, your wife’s dog sweater, and your uncle’s dusty DVD stack. Brick and mortar is dead, maybe some company will have the balls to come out of their cocoon and battle amazon (and win). They’re not trimming their product line — they’re landscaping the whole damn hedge. 🌳✂️ FT Marketplace? Yes, it’s been leaked louder than a burst pipe in a studio apartment. But what if I told you this wasn’t just a place to flip jpegs? What if there’s a vault — with the Wu-Tang album, a Kanye master he can’t even tweet about anymore, and an entire DAO-led movement that’s been operating in the shadows like digital ninjas with Sotheby’s wallets? You didn’t hear it from me — but keep your ears open when the art starts moving. AI Agents? Now this is where it gets divine… or demonic. And who you thought was real, is fake, and who you thought was fake, well they are probably also fake, the just came from crappier tech. You better pray to god that your not getting cat fished by a bot. Now imagine those agents piped into X — guiding trades, answering messages, managing your digital life. You will want to thank the baby Jesus at first but at some point we know the war of machines will happen. You won’t just use AI… You’ll have to choose sides. Heaven or Hell-God or Satan, but do you even know up from down anymore? Streaming? Ticketing? Web3 Gaming? Education? Rideshare? Starlink mobile plans? Come on. You think all this infrastructure is for 280-character takes and reposted memes? The modules are real. The machine is warming up. The partners are under NDA and the launch windows are penciled. So while you’re still reading tea leaves… some of us are already watching the water boil. All I’ll say is: when the pieces fit this clean, it’s not a coincidence — it’s choreography. 💃🏽 The everything app? It’s not coming. It’s already here — and it knows what you want before you tap the screen. (Amazon knew a while back, why the F do you think they began launching satellites? To compete against a group of like minded bad ass companies one of which just happens to have them ready to roll. Open markets that were inaccessible, bring webb-3 to the world by making an affordable smart phone, while not the I-phone it will have this app preloaded. Millions will onboard through this initiative. Relationships with consumers will be made, partnerships will be made. Communities will grow or emerge where there is commonality. This ain't your Granddaddy's Interweb anymore Buster #X #EverythingApp #MuskMoves #AIOverlords #NFTMarketplace # #RetailRevolution #CommerceEcosystem #xAI #Grok3 #DigitalGods #StarlinkMobile #TeslaGrid #P2PPayments #CryptoOnX #StreamingSoon #TicketingTakeover #Web3Gaming #SpeculateResponsibly #HashAndCash #NDAVibes #ChooseYourAgent #ModularMadness #ThisIsNotASocialApp
🚨BREAKING: 𝕏 is soon launching “𝕏 Money” — a digital wallet & peer-to-peer payment service with Visa as its first partner. Rolling out in the US first, users will soon be able to store value, buy merch & tip creators — all without leaving the app.
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SimpleJack retweeted
Replying to @Malone_Wealth
Original filing said they’d file a reminder between 10 and 30 days before expiration. This reminder 8-K was accepted at 4:17pm a day early on the 10 day window
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SimpleJack retweeted
Ryan said it on an interview let them short. Warrants are over shorted right now.
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SimpleJack retweeted
Haven’t sold any nor exercised any
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SimpleJack retweeted
I didn't get any but I did but some two weeks ago and again yesterday
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SimpleJack retweeted
🤔💭 Montreal drops 59 × 8 with two shrugging emojis. Now consider the possibility of 59 representing roughly 59 million $GME warrants. Multiply by eight and you get 472 million, remarkably close to $GME's common share count. Coincidence, or another numerical breadcrumb? 🦋🧸 But there's a spicier interpretation. 🌶🌶🌶 What if the eight represents eight times the warrant issuance in short or synthetic exposure? We're talking a hypothetical 472 million warrant-equivalent positions. With GME.WS borrow fees exceeding 500% annualized and October 30th approaching, I can see why people are connecting those dots. Borrow fees alone can't establish an eightfold short position, though. The real question is whether any hidden exposure would create settlement obligations capable of surviving expiration. If Montreal is pointing toward an eightfold imbalance, where are those obligations recorded, and who ultimately has to deliver? Because 59 × 8 is easy math. Proving the exposure is a whole different ballgame. 👀♟️
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Actually bought some
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SimpleJack retweeted
🔥🔥🔥 GME.WS just traded 4.11 MILLION warrants, roughly 4.37 times average volume. Price near $0.81 after touching a fresh 52-week low of $0.72. October 30th is ten days away, and the warrant market is moving like everyone got handed the same eviction notice. Now the borrow data gets spicy. 🌶🌶🌶 Available inventory dropped from 250,000 to 50,000, an 80% decline between snapshots. Borrow fees remain at an eye-watering 558% annualized, down from 725% earlier. $GME common is cheap to borrow by comparison. Same corporate family, wildly different lending conditions. Millions of warrants changing hands, expensive borrowing, shrinking displayed inventory, and a rapidly approaching $32 exercise deadline. Volume alone won't reveal who's buying or selling. But who's absorbing all this supply at prices near the lows, and what happens if $GME suddenly starts climbing toward $32? 👀♟️
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SimpleJack retweeted
How many @gamestop warrants have you sold over the last week.
85%0
6%1-1,000
3%1,001-10,000
5%10,000+
247 votes • 23 minutes
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I bought 500 this morning
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SimpleJack retweeted
I have exercised 5
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SimpleJack retweeted
The 570% Warrant Borrow, Explained: Spread, Not Siege Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Data as of 9:58–10:03 AM ET (quotes 9:58 AM ET; model run 10:03 AM ET). Not investment advice. ELI5 Think of a GME WS warrant as a ticket that lets you buy one GameStop share for $32, good until Friday, Oct 30. GME is about $25.62, so right now the ticket only pays if the price jumps. People pay about 80¢ for that ticket. A nearly identical ticket on the options chain (the Oct-30 $32 call) costs about 23¢. So traders borrow the pricey tickets, sell them, buy the cheap ones, and keep the difference. Borrowing costs 570% a year, but at 80¢ that's only about a penny a day. If GME stays under $32, the tickets expire worthless and the borrowers win. If GME runs above $32, anyone who borrowed without the cheap ticket as a hedge has to buy warrants back in the same few days. That rush is the squeeze case. The GameStop warrants (GME WS) expire in ten days, and this morning one broker showed a borrow rate of 570.50% to short them. That number is going to get passed around as proof of a squeeze. It's real, but it means something narrower than that, and the reason is sitting in plain sight on the options chain. How to read the labels: T1 is a primary source (issuer, OCC, FINRA). T2 is a mirror, a delayed quote, or a broker screenshot. MODEL is Black-Scholes math on stated inputs. ASSUMPTION is an input that was picked. INF is inference.
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SimpleJack retweeted
🔎 GameStop's warrant agreement has a little more horsepower than people realize. A qualifying merger or share exchange can change the warrant deliverable from $GME shares into stock, other securities, cash, or a combination. The legal term is Reference Property. Not exactly a one-trick pony. ♟️ Now read the OCC memo. 👀 Adjusted GME1 options require 100 $GME shares plus 10 GME.WS warrants upon physical settlement before the warrants expire. OCC specifically warns about uncovered delivery obligations when borrowing becomes difficult. We've seen warrant borrow quotes as high as 750%. The plumbing deserves attention.👀 October 30th brings the expiration deadline. Once the warrants expire, OCC removes them from adjusted option deliverables, without compensating for any remaining warrant value. A share-exchange clause doesn't confirm a deal, but it tells us how the contracts would adapt if one occurred. Two documents. 📃 📃 Different mechanisms. One very interesting deadline. 🤔 💭
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