Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://xitter.cf/t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - now out https://xitter.cf/t.co/uPuWlb39R3.

Joined January 2009
Sam Freedman retweeted
New post: Over the next year there a series of European elections where the radical right could gain more power than ever. How will this play out? We have 30 years of evidence that tells us they will struggle. Obituries for liberalism are premature. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
Radical right always fail after getting power, if they maintain the democratic institutions. They simply can't deliver what they promise The best way to ensure that a right wing doesn't only win elections, but gets a mandate to do the radical changes is to offer it an enemy 1/2
New post: Over the next year there a series of European elections where the radical right could gain more power than ever. How will this play out? We have 30 years of evidence that tells us they will struggle. Obituries for liberalism are premature. samf.substack.com/p/the-stra…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
To give an indication of the problem here's a chart of 12 government agencies around the world and numbers of applications / appeals / complaints etc... The dotted grey line is when ChatGPT was invented.
On the substack this week... I looked at how states are being increasingly overwhelmed with AI written slop. It's gumming up every process. Britain is particularly vulnerable. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning…
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There's been a lot of talk in the last few weeks in edu circles about whether the trad education movement has failed, what it needs to do next, etc. This article is just the latest in a succession of examples that shows how us edu-trads have not been nearly as successful as we hoped in altering elite consensus on education. We have obviously seen with all the Labour party policies that we completely failed to convince Labour. But actually, it's not like we've really convinced the Conservatives either. This is Dan Hannan, major figure in Brexit, major figure in Conservative politics, presumably has some idea of who Michael Gove is - and here he is in the Telegraph confidently asserting that we no longer need to know things because we can look things up. (The ironies in this piece abound, by the way. He argues for lessons in spotting bad bogus arguments at the same time as building an article around the argument that memory doesn't matter any more. He argues that "identifying improbable claims" is a generic skill that can be taught in the abstract, at the same time as claiming that handwriting and geography are obsolete. He says that you can always just look up what you need, whilst signally failing to look up any of the evidence on the role of long-term memory...I could go on.) I wrote a few weeks ago that there was some evidence journalists at the Financial Times were waking up to all the evidence on cognitive science, its implications for schools, the international test evidence. But the elite understanding of this is a very thin layer, absolutely skin deep. The mass of second-hand dealers in ideas are still distilling their frenzy from Romantic pedagogy. Depressing. I honestly don't know what else we can do. We wrote the books. We had the debates. We built the schools. We aced the tests. And then it turned out nobody cared. Right now it is definitely a bleak time to be a trad. It feels like we are on Athelney Marshes, beset by vandals without and dissension within. BUT we have to keep the faith. Reality is an undefeated champion. Despair is a sin! What we do works! It may well be that for now, the New World with all its power & might etc., is going to have to step in to save our bacon for a bit. Maybe the momentum is shifting to @ehanford and Sold a Story, @rastokke and Chalk & Talk, @jettybe3 , etc. We have got to dig in. As Declan Rice said, it's not done!
Daniel Hannan
@DanielJHannanOct 17
The school curriculum has been painfully slow to adapt to the implications of AI. But @LucyMPowell is spot on about one thing: we need to teach kids to express themselves better. Paywall down. telegraph.co.uk/gift/5ac93c4…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
Increasingly feels like the world is in a state akin to a modern Seven Years War. Separate but related conflicts across the globe but no single primary adversary on either side to cement coherent strategies and stable alliances
New post from @LawDavF The chaos Trump has unleashed in the Gulf is spreading. The Saudis are under attack from the Houthis and the US is refusing to help them. How will it all play out? samf.substack.com/p/trumps-g…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
Latest post looks at the consequences of Trump’s disastrous war with Iran. Not only is Iran keeping oil prices high, but Saudi Arabia now faces a strategic predicament as it struggles to cope with the resurgent Houthis without much help from the US. (£/free trial), samf.substack.com/p/trumps-g…?
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Sam Freedman retweeted
New post: "Drowning in slop" Large parts of the state are being increasingly overwhelmed with complaints, appeals, objections.... written by AI. It's gumming up every process. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
This is good (and depressing) from @Samfr on how AI is turbocharging citizen complaints samf.substack.com/p/drowning…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
This is very very true. Having to deal with it myself. Every response is clearly being met with “respond to this letter - be aggressive” etc etc 2 mins later hits send.
New post: "Drowning in slop" Large parts of the state are being increasingly overwhelmed with complaints, appeals, objections.... written by AI. It's gumming up every process. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
My latest post looks at how the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, stuck between Poland and Lithuania, has become a flashpoint in relations between Russian and Europe, and a reminder of Russia’s vulnerabilities at a time when it seeks to project strength. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/watch-th…?
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Sam Freedman retweeted
When I say the politics will become increasingly obvious... I mean look at this. If you want to unite the left/centre and split the Tories, without a big spending committment there's no better option.
On the substack this week: I looked at the route back into the EU. It's going to become obvious that the politics works for a manifesto pledge. What are the barriers? What would a negotiation look like? How might another referendum play out? samf.substack.com/p/the-rout…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
I also looked at the Tories' attempted rebrand - and the three big problems they're going to have in winning back younger, better off, voters. samf.substack.com/p/the-thre…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
On the substack this week: I looked at the route back into the EU. It's going to become obvious that the politics works for a manifesto pledge. What are the barriers? What would a negotiation look like? How might another referendum play out? samf.substack.com/p/the-rout…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
New post: The Tory conference represented a clear change in strategy. But so far the shift has been largely superficial and rhetorical. There are three big problems with making the strategy work - and it is not at all clear they're resolvable. samf.substack.com/p/the-thre…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
A key point which few have noticed yet... Tory voters have already shifted a lot. Polling shows they back Burnham's pledge to consider closer relations. And a third back joining again. This is a major problem for Badenoch's supposed "recapture the centre" strategy.
New post: Burnham has opened the door to a "rejoin" manifesto pledge. The politics make more sense than a lot of people seem to realise. I look at what it would involve at every step from pledge to referendum. There are big barriers but it can be done. samf.substack.com/p/the-rout…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
New post: Burnham has opened the door to a "rejoin" manifesto pledge. The politics make more sense than a lot of people seem to realise. I look at what it would involve at every step from pledge to referendum. There are big barriers but it can be done. samf.substack.com/p/the-rout…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
Really great piece by @Samfr on how Burnham’s pledge could take Britain back into the EU, not just Closer Alignment/Customs Union/Single Market, by mid-2030s, & how to get over concerns with Free Movement/Euro/Le Pen etc. Let’s do it! samf.substack.com/p/the-rout…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
New post out from @LawDavF "Operation Vivaldi: The Four Seasons" What have we learnt from Ukraine's successful counter-attack in Donetsk? Looks at command, use of drones, and the Russian's endless capacity for self-deception. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/operatio…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
It is remarkable how badly the Russians treat their troops.
New post out from @LawDavF "Operation Vivaldi: The Four Seasons" What have we learnt from Ukraine's successful counter-attack in Donetsk? Looks at command, use of drones, and the Russian's endless capacity for self-deception. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/operatio…
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Sam Freedman retweeted
In this post I return again to Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi and what it can tell us about current tactics and technologies, and in particular the importance of information security and deception. (£/free trial). samf.substack.com/p/operatio…?
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