Research Fellow and Andrew W. Marshall Fellow @CSETGeorgetown & @AWMFoundtn | Ex: @CarnegieChina
Joined January 2019
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1/ In @ForeignAffairs, @EmmyProbasco , @colemcfaul, and I examine the Chinese military’s AI ambitions.
BLUF: The PLA is making progress on “intelligentization,” its third phase of military modernization.
Thread below:
Sam Bresnick retweeted
How is China challenging the U.S. in outer space? In @ForeignAffairs, @CSETGeorgetown's @KathleenCurlee and @SamBresnick examine the growing space competition and its implications for U.S. national security.
Read more: bit.ly/4z4dgI4
Sam Bresnick retweeted
Ever wondered what the difference b/w killer robots, autonomous weapons systems, lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS), and AI-enabled weapons? In our latest visual explainer for @CFR_org @mchorowitz and I created a taxonomy to break it down.
cfr.org/articles/the-autonom…
Sam Bresnick retweeted
Money quote from @SamBresnick & @KathleenCurlee essay
"SpaceX is an enormous asset to the United States, but its near monopoly is a risk."
China’s Next Frontier foreignaffairs.com/china/chi… via @ForeignAffairs
Sam Bresnick retweeted
My first @ForeignAffairs piece is out today, coauthored with @SamBresnick!
In it, we deep-dive into China's space launch progress and how it will impact U.S. space superiority.
foreignaffairs.com/china/chi…
Sam Bresnick retweeted
“China’s development as a space power should be a wake-up call for the United States,” write @KathleenCurlee and @SamBresnick. “The era of unassailable U.S. space power is ending, and Washington has no choice but to adapt.”
foreignaffairs.com/china/chi…
1/ New piece in @ForeignAffairs with @KathleenCurlee
on China’s rise as a space power and what it means for the United States.
BLUF: The era of unassailable U.S. space dominance is ending, and Washington has no choice but to adapt.
4/ The military angle is particularly concerning. The PLA has 500+ ISR satellites and has spent years developing ways to jam, blind, or destroy US satellites. The US military depends on space for almost everything it would need in a fight in East Asia.
5/ Our recs: prepare US forces to operate without reliable satellite access, reduce dependence on SpaceX by supporting more launch providers, fund space priorities consistently across administrations, and work more closely with allies. Link below:
foreignaffairs.com/china/chi…
Sam Bresnick retweeted
1/ China reportedly proposed reciprocal visits to nuclear test sites & national labs—a potentially significant and surprising step given active developments at Lop Nur & CAEP facilities.
What might explain this seeming softening of Beijing’s resistance to nuclear engagement?
cnn.com/2026/10/06/politics/…
Sam Bresnick retweeted
Public discussion of state-backed influence often treats discrete networks of fake accounts on social media as if they're the whole game.
In @ForeignAffairs, Renée DiResta (@noUpside) and I argue this is the wrong way to see things.
Sophisticated states often combine overt AND covert tools, on both broadcast AND social media, in what we call "full-spectrum propaganda."
Important story from @mackhawk on how/why Nvidia's products keep making their way to China. We @CSETGeorgetown are meticulously tracking PLA requests for export-controlled chips. More on this soon, but check out our recent update on the topic:
eto.tech/blog/pla-procuremen…
Sam Bresnick retweeted
China has cracked down on AI relationships. Is it ahead of the game? bbc.in/46YQfKq
Awesome new report on AI chip location verification from three great @CSETGeorgetown colleagues!
Check it out 👇
Should the U.S. track AI chips to reduce smuggling?
Congress is debating it now, and in a new CSET report, @HannaDohmen @KyauMill21 and I weigh in.
We find ping-based location verification is the best option—but complexity and cost leave us unconvinced it’s worth it.
🧵 (1/12)
Sam Bresnick retweeted
New in @ForeignAffairs: Iran proved that precise mass is here. Cheap missiles and one-way attack fired at scale outperformed expectations, and no one can keep intercepting $35K Shaheds with $4M Patriots. The US has to build and change for this, not deny it foreignaffairs.com/iran/how-…
Sam Bresnick retweeted
.@SamBresnick shared with @BBCWorld his thoughts on the status of #AI safety discussions between the U.S. and China.
Sam Bresnick retweeted
Happy to share my new @CarnegieEndow paper on managing China’s nuclear relations with the United States and its allies.
Published just ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, it seeks to help Washington and Beijing turn their commitment to “strategic stability” into practical progress.
Sam Bresnick retweeted
#China is positioning itself to become a leading #space power. According to @KathleenCurlee and @SamBresnick, the U.S. space lead is not guaranteed. Their op-ed in @NikkeiAsia lists recommendations for preserving U.S. leadership. asia.nikkei.com/opinion/chin…
