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Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
If you want North Carolina to look like France in the future, vote for Cooper.
I’ll be voting for Whatley.
Just some reasons I will never vote for Cooper:
1. COVID shutdown: churches closed, ABC stores open.
2. He vetoed the Parents' Bill of Rights.
3. He vetoed the Fairness in Women's Sports bill.
4. Opposed restrictions on gender-transition treatment for minors.
5. Allowed destruction of Raleigh during George Floyd riots.
6. Marched with protesters.
You may not like Whatley, but this is not about who you like, it's about who will best reflect your values and represent our state.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Shut the fuck up.
You spied on Trump with a bullshit Russia hoax, weaponized the IRS against conservatives and had your DOJ hound political opponents for years.
Now you’re out here crying about “selective targeting” because someone looked into Ilhan Omar’s citizenship claims?
You’re a lying fucking bastard who spent eight years treating the government like your personal hit squad.
Spare us the lecture, faggot.
It is a basic principle of American democracy that the government can’t selectively target individuals simply because of their political beliefs or what they say. But that’s exactly what the Trump Administration is doing to Congresswoman Ilhan Omar of Minnesota.
To understand why this is so appalling, it’s important to know the facts. Congresswoman Omar came to this country with her father when she was 12 years old. Five years later, her father became a naturalized citizen. If Ilhan had been 18 at the time, she would have had to apply for citizenship separately. But because she was 17, she became a naturalized citizen automatically.
Congresswoman Omar went on to graduate from college, work as a community organizer, become the first Somali-American legislator elected to public office in the U.S., and win a seat in Congress. There, she has been one of the Trump Administration’s fiercest critics, which has led the president to repeatedly single her out as someone who he believes does not belong in this country.
Now the Administration is actively trying to deport Congresswoman Omar, seemingly based solely on the unsubstantiated theory that she was actually 18 when her father was naturalized, and therefore is not a citizen. Federal agents have raided her home, confiscated personal records, and seized her phone — all to try and uncover a nonexistent smoking gun from 20 years ago that will somehow make their case.
Think about that. The full weight of the federal government is being brought down on a law-abiding elected official because she has dared to criticize the president. And it’s not the first time this has happened. Under President Trump, the Justice Department has repeatedly gone after those he considers his political enemies — from the Attorney General of New York, to the former head of the FBI, to members of the Federal Reserve.
In those cases, the prosecutions either stalled or were dismissed for having no basis in law, and the same is likely to happen in this case. But not before Congresswoman Omar’s life has been turned upside down, her legal bills have piled up, and she’s been forced to spend time fighting unsubstantiated charges instead of serving the people of Minnesota.
The fact that any president, or any administration, is willing to engage in such transparent efforts to intimidate someone should outrage all Americans, regardless of how they feel about Congresswoman Omar’s political views. Because if this becomes the new normal, there’s no reason to believe it will stop with her — or that future presidents, in either party, won’t do the same.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Half of our Congress was on the take with Ukraine
We have a right to know who they are
Trump has stated that the classified report contains information that would “collapse both parties” and implicate multiple lawmakers. The report contains evidence of systematic corruption involving U.S. aid. Ukraine funding is no more than a laundering operation to enrich corrupt politicians. Release and indict those responsible.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Just some reasons I will never vote for Cooper:
1. COVID shutdown: churches closed, ABC stores open.
2. He vetoed the Parents' Bill of Rights.
3. He vetoed the Fairness in Women's Sports bill.
4. Opposed restrictions on gender-transition treatment for minors.
5. Allowed destruction of Raleigh during George Floyd riots.
6. Marched with protesters.
You may not like Whatley, but this is not about who you like, it's about who will best reflect your values and represent our state.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Senator Amy Klobuchar has been quietly preparing her staff for her exit from politics after a direct link between her, Congresswoman Ilhan Omar, and the Somali "refugees" who stole billions from Medicaid was uncovered.
Sources say Klobuchar is expecting that both she and Omar will have to resign and that there's a distinct possibility of both state and federal charges.
The investigation that was started by citizen journalist Nick Shirley has grown into one of the most explosive political scandals in a decade.
What's your response to this......??👀
MAKE THIS GO VIRAL ON X. LET’S GO 👏
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Thank you, President Trump, for hosting my family and me in the Oval Office and for the generous gifts you gave my children on my son’s birthday. It was an unforgettable honor.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
There's the reason I didn't see this one! Incorrect handle showing that @UnsinkableDoll is suspended. My account is @UnsinkableDolly
So wonderful to see you, Nancy, and thank you for the top chair even though I'm not there! But the thought was. Very sweet.
Miss you here and hope we can catch up soon. Hope this finds you and yours well and happy.
🌹👉@NancyMar2025👈🌹
Love you lots, Sis 🩷
🤖 Made with AI
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
The Bush dynasty is so washed they can’t even pretend anymore. Barbara Bush just cut a check to the super PAC propping up James Talarico against Ken Paxton. Same family that spent decades calling themselves Republicans now openly funding the left.
Call it like you see it. All swamp donkeys.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
You can be mad at the GOP and still vote red.
Spineless leaders are better than strong bolsheviks.
Go vote. Red all the way down.
🇺🇸🗳️ 16-Oct North Carolina Early Voting Update: Day One, and It's Bad for Republicans 🗳️
In-person early voting opened yesterday. I've been saying early in-person voting where the real signal starts. It started, and it's bad for Republicans.
The DataRepublican NC map now defaults to all early voting (mail + in person) against the same point in 2022. It updates every morning.
Benchmark first: at this point in 2022, the early vote was D+13. It finished D+7, and Republicans still won every statewide race. A Democratic lead in the early vote is normal. What matters is how big the lead is compared with 2022.
Day 1 in person, against Day 1 in 2022:
🔵 D+27.6 (2022: D+6.0, 2024: D+1.5)
🔵 That's a 21.6-point shift toward Democrats
All early voting so far, mail + in person, against the same point in 2022 (19 days out):
🔴 R share: −9.1
🔵 D share: +5.1
🟡 I share: +4.0
Raw D–R margin: 🔵+14.2 shift toward Democrats (D+27.4, against D+13.2)
With independents split by each county's R/D ratio: 🔵+22.2 (D+40.8, against D+18.6)
Raw counts so far (2022 same point in brackets):
🔴 R : 46,341 [54,195]
🔵 D : 111,482 [79,117]
🟡 I : 79,716 [56,063]
🟡 I leaning 🔴 R: 23,954
🟡 I leaning 🔵 D: 55,762
Turnout is up 25% over 2022 overall and up 47% for in person alone. Republicans are the only group that went down. Republican in-person ballots fell 12% while Democratic ones rose 78%.
It isn't only blue counties:
🔴 R-registration counties (65): R+13.8 in 2022 → D+8.3 now
🔵 D-registration counties (35): D+26.8 → D+44.0
Republican raw count below 2022 in 62 of 98 counties. Margin moved toward Democrats in 89.
Who's voting:
⚫ Black share of in-person ballots: 26.1%, against 19.4% in 2022 and 21.3% in 2024. That's 56,057 Black early voters so far, up from 34,128.
⚪ White early voters: D+7.7, against R+5.8 in 2022. That's a 13.5-point swing among white voters. Republican white ballots are down 17%, and Democratic white ballots are up 27%.
👴 65+: 58.5%, against 59.6% in 2022. This isn't an older electorate than 2022. It's the same mix of ages with different people showing up.
Mail is a sideshow now. It's 36k ballots against 202k in person. On its own it's D+26.4, against D+32.1 in 2022, still a modest shift toward Republicans like last month.
Can Republicans explain this away?
• "Day 1 is always the most Democratic day." True, but statewide the drift is small. In 2022, in-person went from D+6.0 on Day 1 to D+5.5 at the end of early voting. In 2024 it went from D+1.5 to R+1.5. Even a drift twice as large as either year leaves 2026 about 15 points worse for Republicans.
• "Republicans are saving it for Election Day." That's the only real way out, and Day 1 data can't rule it out. But asking a midterm electorate to stay home until Election Day in a race this close is a bad bet.
• "Registration labels are stale." In the rural east, registration is moving away from Democrats, as old conservative white Democrats re-register R or unaffiliated. That makes a Democratic gain in labels harder to get, not easier. The few counties that shifted toward Republicans (Hyde, Gates, Anson, Duplin) are tiny, and the shift there is re-registration, not turnout.
• "Helene." That could explain some of the drop in western NC. It doesn't explain Wake or the R-registration counties in the east.
Caveats:
• It's one day. In 2022, NC cast about 2.2M early votes and 3.8M total.
• Party registration isn't a vote. Unaffiliated voters broke R in 2024. The independent split above assumes they break the way their county's D and R voters do, and so far that means Democratic.
• 2024 was a presidential year with far higher turnout, so the useful comparison to 2024 is the margin, not the counts.
Last time, I said the mail numbers neither ruled out a Democratic wave nor showed one. Day 1 in person looks like a Democratic wave. If Monday still comes in above D+20, this is no longer a Day 1 story.
What does this mean for other states?
States like OH and GA have no true party label, so we've been estimating via demographics there. This NC D+22.2 advantage comes despite similar demographics as 2022. So OH and GA are not necessarily signals that this is isolated to NC.
What we've been seeing is that Republicans are doing well in mail voting. Republicans did well in mail voting in NC, NV, PA, and FL, but that advantage got wiped out in the first day of IPEV.
Clark County and Florida start their in-person early voting soon. We will see if these two states follow NC's steps.
Website link below: 👇
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Yes, working on some pretty shocking discoveries today. They plan on leveraging a 2026 win into creating an orchestrated hellscape in 2027 which they will blame on Trump. And then 2028 in turn will use 2027's events to leverage the Presidential election discussion into a structural reform of America (aka, multilateral democracy with socialistic elements).
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Nothing better than waking up to find a gorgeous Rolls waiting to be driven! What a beauty!
Good morning and thank you for the tag, Tim. Wishing everyone a wonderful weekend.
U.S. Navy Veteran
🇺🇸👉✝️@TJLakers01 ✝️👈🇺🇸
💞Dolly💞
🤖 Made with AI
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
If you are on this platform and live in NC, you know Roy Cooper is bad for this state.
Please go vote for Michael Whatley.
It matters.
The polls are open for Early Voting, North Carolina!
I’m asking you to get out, cast your ballot, and help us build a winning margin TODAY.
Let’s defeat Roy Cooper, and keep North Carolina RED.
Vote early: gowhatley.co/ev1
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
🔴RED_Remember Everyone Deployed_Friday🔴
Solemn day for us as we pray for our deployed Brothers and Sisters safety.
Please do not copy/steal handles or add any handles. Immediate Block 🚫🚫
@UnsinkableDolly - USAF
@Dolly4Vets
Grateful for all the support—some of you repost 50+ of my daily posts, and that means a lot. I truly couldn’t do this without the civilians, so please keep reposting. Your help during the week makes a difference, and I add people then. RED Friday trains are for Veterans who repost my work and my two constants @bdonesem and @Tim1Thames.
U.S. Veterans
U.S. Air Force
@chuckbev1985
@dewtxaf
@SonnyCook26073
@WheelerMan
U.S. Army
@PapierMich47737
@Roadking0222
@ScottMorgan1950
@sdwhitney68660
@TB_TexasVet
U.S. Coast Guard
@grampa_Tex
U.S. Marine Corps
@MagaGrunt1
@nywrecker
@SgtDang64
@sixxtoesbrah
U.S. Navy
@CreekSailors
@D4rkR0b
@DDG43Navy
@MikeBales
Supporting Patriots
@bdonesem - Partner
@Tim1Thames
🤖 Made with AI
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
🔴RED_Remember Everyone Deployed_Friday🔴
Solemn day for us as we pray for our deployed Brothers and Sisters safety.
Please do not steal handles or add any handles. Immediate Block 🚫🚫
U.S. Veterans
U.S. Air Force
@F15sRdaBest
@RealRandyWade1
@SirFlyzalot
@TxJollyRoger
U.S. Army
@Armyvet4ev
@PaulSnafua
@RagingStorm2872
@SDSLLC_USA
@thegrandpatoby
U. S. Marines
@BarronKath37868
@CrynUSMC
@Charles85801277
@dennis_haub
@nywrecker
@SXSGeneral
U.S. Navy
@ben2know
@JackJoh31076781
@Jelwoodv
@JoeF_Volusia
@TJLakers01
Supporting Patriots:
@bdonesem - Partner
@Tim1Thames
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Good morning ☀️ Day maker! Aren’t you kind🌹. Didn’t expect this. Couldn’t be in better company and share the spotlight with U.S. Army Veteran @mcain1954
Very thoughtful of you @BiologicalWoma2 - KellyJo is no stranger to hard work either. There’s no short of work to be done for Americas finest:
U.S. Veterans - I’m partial to Team @Dolly4Vets Team #DD214
If I live to be 100, I hope we see some positive changes - and it starts with upending our @DeptVetAffairs . Our wonderful warriors are still not receiving what they are entitled to. I get requests for help frequently and it seems my plea for help falls on deaf ears. I’m going to get loud and this is my next mission. We need an ombudsman who can resolve these health related claims.
They’ve all expressed disappointment with the job that that @SecVetAffairs Doug Collins is doing. We had high hopes when President @realDonaldTrump appointed him. Appears to be business as usual.
I will put my soul into this important issue. We work to prevent 22 per day and now I’m wondering if what our wounded warriors are put through to have their claims approved isn’t partially to blame for these loss of lives.
We have to do better.
Thank you again @BiologicalWoma2 for recognizing our respective work. It’s an honor to work on behalf of my fellow Veterans.
Respectfully,
💞Dolly💞
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
RED Friday, Red 1957 red Ford Fairlane and my favorite color! Going to be a red hot Friday!
Thank you, Tim for the add to your Beautiful ride this morning; always appreciated. Thank you again for the time you spend searching for these beauties to share with us.
🇺🇸👉 @TJLakers01👈🇺🇸
U.S. Navy Veteran
Wishing everyone a Happy RED Friday as we pause to pray for our deployed Brothers and Sisters and that they return safely to us.
Phrog Chief 46 retweeted
Hey North Carolina, get out and vote. Here is a reminder why Cooper is a bad choice:
1. While governor, Cooper vetoed 104 bills – nearly three times the combined totals of all previous governors. He cannot work across the aisle.
2. Cooper consistently aligned with the Biden administration on immigration and refused to work for a stronger border.
3. Cooper did not join other governors in publicly condemning Biden’s handling of the border.
4. In 2019, Cooper vetoed a “born-alive” abortion bill that would have required medical care for infants born alive after a failed abortion procedure.
5. The NC legislature passed a bill known as the Fairness in Women’s Sports Act (2023) requiring school and college sports teams to be designated by biological sex at birth. Cooper vetoed the bill.
6. In 2023, Cooper vetoed a package of bills related to transgender youth, including restrictions on gender-affirming care and sports participation.
7. Cooper has consistently opposed voter ID (photo identification) requirements for voting in North Carolina,
8. On Tuesday, Feb 24, 2021 Cooper vetoed a bill giving parents the ability to opt out of school mask mandates.
9. In 2021 Cooper, as governor, allowed early release of 3500 prisoners. Nearly half of them reoffended.
10. Former Governor Roy Cooper tries to present himself but his lack of criticism indicates he would not offer opposition to the extreme left wing part of his party.
11. If Cooper is elected to the U. S. Senate it is almost certain that he will vote for Chuck Schumer to head the Senate.
12. In Sept 2024 Cooper vetoed a bill that would have expanded funding for private school voucher programs.
13. Teacher Zoe Welsh was brutally murdered in her home. The accused murderer had twenty previous arrests but had been released to the public by a Cooper appointed judge. Cooper is consistently soft on crime.
🇺🇸🗳️ 16-Oct North Carolina Early Voting Update: Day One, and It's Bad for Republicans 🗳️
In-person early voting opened yesterday. I've been saying early in-person voting where the real signal starts. It started, and it's bad for Republicans.
The DataRepublican NC map now defaults to all early voting (mail + in person) against the same point in 2022. It updates every morning.
Benchmark first: at this point in 2022, the early vote was D+13. It finished D+7, and Republicans still won every statewide race. A Democratic lead in the early vote is normal. What matters is how big the lead is compared with 2022.
Day 1 in person, against Day 1 in 2022:
🔵 D+27.6 (2022: D+6.0, 2024: D+1.5)
🔵 That's a 21.6-point shift toward Democrats
All early voting so far, mail + in person, against the same point in 2022 (19 days out):
🔴 R share: −9.1
🔵 D share: +5.1
🟡 I share: +4.0
Raw D–R margin: 🔵+14.2 shift toward Democrats (D+27.4, against D+13.2)
With independents split by each county's R/D ratio: 🔵+22.2 (D+40.8, against D+18.6)
Raw counts so far (2022 same point in brackets):
🔴 R : 46,341 [54,195]
🔵 D : 111,482 [79,117]
🟡 I : 79,716 [56,063]
🟡 I leaning 🔴 R: 23,954
🟡 I leaning 🔵 D: 55,762
Turnout is up 25% over 2022 overall and up 47% for in person alone. Republicans are the only group that went down. Republican in-person ballots fell 12% while Democratic ones rose 78%.
It isn't only blue counties:
🔴 R-registration counties (65): R+13.8 in 2022 → D+8.3 now
🔵 D-registration counties (35): D+26.8 → D+44.0
Republican raw count below 2022 in 62 of 98 counties. Margin moved toward Democrats in 89.
Who's voting:
⚫ Black share of in-person ballots: 26.1%, against 19.4% in 2022 and 21.3% in 2024. That's 56,057 Black early voters so far, up from 34,128.
⚪ White early voters: D+7.7, against R+5.8 in 2022. That's a 13.5-point swing among white voters. Republican white ballots are down 17%, and Democratic white ballots are up 27%.
👴 65+: 58.5%, against 59.6% in 2022. This isn't an older electorate than 2022. It's the same mix of ages with different people showing up.
Mail is a sideshow now. It's 36k ballots against 202k in person. On its own it's D+26.4, against D+32.1 in 2022, still a modest shift toward Republicans like last month.
Can Republicans explain this away?
• "Day 1 is always the most Democratic day." True, but statewide the drift is small. In 2022, in-person went from D+6.0 on Day 1 to D+5.5 at the end of early voting. In 2024 it went from D+1.5 to R+1.5. Even a drift twice as large as either year leaves 2026 about 15 points worse for Republicans.
• "Republicans are saving it for Election Day." That's the only real way out, and Day 1 data can't rule it out. But asking a midterm electorate to stay home until Election Day in a race this close is a bad bet.
• "Registration labels are stale." In the rural east, registration is moving away from Democrats, as old conservative white Democrats re-register R or unaffiliated. That makes a Democratic gain in labels harder to get, not easier. The few counties that shifted toward Republicans (Hyde, Gates, Anson, Duplin) are tiny, and the shift there is re-registration, not turnout.
• "Helene." That could explain some of the drop in western NC. It doesn't explain Wake or the R-registration counties in the east.
Caveats:
• It's one day. In 2022, NC cast about 2.2M early votes and 3.8M total.
• Party registration isn't a vote. Unaffiliated voters broke R in 2024. The independent split above assumes they break the way their county's D and R voters do, and so far that means Democratic.
• 2024 was a presidential year with far higher turnout, so the useful comparison to 2024 is the margin, not the counts.
Last time, I said the mail numbers neither ruled out a Democratic wave nor showed one. Day 1 in person looks like a Democratic wave. If Monday still comes in above D+20, this is no longer a Day 1 story.
What does this mean for other states?
States like OH and GA have no true party label, so we've been estimating via demographics there. This NC D+22.2 advantage comes despite similar demographics as 2022. So OH and GA are not necessarily signals that this is isolated to NC.
What we've been seeing is that Republicans are doing well in mail voting. Republicans did well in mail voting in NC, NV, PA, and FL, but that advantage got wiped out in the first day of IPEV.
Clark County and Florida start their in-person early voting soon. We will see if these two states follow NC's steps.
Website link below: 👇