Senior Research Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford. Visitor @IAST1 Toulouse. Director @Talk2Machine
London, Oxford and Monbalen
Joined October 2011
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Ray Duch retweeted
Keynote 2 at #LLMSS2026: Meng Tianguang (Tsinghua) on AI simulation and the black box of government responsiveness in China.
“For the central leader, the most important one is central–local alignment. It’s not stability.”
Ray Duch retweeted
Now online: AI, Politics, and Political Science edited by @persily and @j_a_tucker with many chapters by great folks, including ours on the effects of AI on the online info ecosystem
Ray Duch retweeted
‼️📢 NEW PUBLICATION ALERT !
My paper Artificially Intelligent Opinion Polling, co-authored with @RayDuch is out at @RSocPublishing RSOS. Using a large corpus of tweets from the 2020 US election, we show that LLMs can...
eur04.safelinks.protection.o…
Ray Duch retweeted
We’re excited to invite researchers, postdocs, PhD students, and professors to the Political Economy and Political Science Early Career Workshop at LSE, taking place this Friday afternoon.
Full details can be found in the programme below. We would be delighted to see you there!
Ray Duch retweeted
🪙Do politicians signal partisan conflict only through what they say?
➡️ Using Danish parliamentary debates, @MathiasRask95 & @fghjorth show that changes in vocal pitch signal partisan polarization, revealing the strategic use of nonverbal cues cambridge.org/core/journals/… #FirstView
Ray Duch retweeted
Can foundation models make randomized experiments more precise—without breaking inference guarantees?
Excited to present our NeurIPS 2025 paper “Efficient Randomized Experiments Using Foundation Models”
⏳ Wednesday, 11:00 AM – 2:00 PM PT
📍 Exhibit Hall C,D,E #2503
Ray Duch retweeted
Job 🚨! PRL is looking for a postdoc based at Dartmouth College for next year. Candidates should bring advanced data skills and enjoy writing. Read more about our work at polarizationresearchlab.org/ and apply through Interfolio by February 15, 2026: apply.interfolio.com/175722
Ray Duch retweeted
You don’t have to wait a month to submit and our median time to first decision is 27 days!
📢 No summer break here! The journal is open in August ☀️
✅ We are accepting submissions throughout the month. This is a great time to send us your manuscript ✍️📚
cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Ray Duch retweeted
Excited to share that @AnthropicAI has launched its Economic Futures Program! As a member of their Economic Advisory Council, I’m thrilled about this initiative supporting research and policy development on AI’s economic impacts.
Research grants up to $50K available!
Ray Duch retweeted
We are thrilled to announce that the Board of Trustees have awarded Assistant Professors Carly Wayne (@CarlyNWayne) and Ted Enamorado (@TedEnamorado) tenure! Their award goes into effect July 1st. Congrats to both! Read more on our site: buff.ly/4q6665K
Ray Duch retweeted
Our latest election forecasting article focuses on political economy models in the US, UK, Mexico and Ghana. Check it out!
sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
Ray Duch retweeted
🚀Do external threats unite or divide Americans?
➡️Using real-world primes, @EddySFYeung & W.Xu find no evidence that threats from China shifted U.S. foreign policy preferences or worsened Democrats’ and Republicans’ affect toward each other cambridge.org/core/journals/… #FirstView
Ray Duch retweeted
Do you have new, exciting work on #PoliticalEconomy? Submit to the Pol Econ workshop at the #SummerForumBSE (coorganized w/ @renikolopov, @RDurante_2020, M Petrova, G Ponzetto, and M Reynal-Querol!)
📄 Call for papers: BSE Summer Forum 2025
(40+ workshops this year!)
⏰ Submission deadline: Feb 28
Visit the #SummerForumBSE webpage to download calls and submit your paper
➡️ bit.ly/4hcR5qA
ALT logo of the Barcelona School of Economics Summer Forum
Ray Duch retweeted
Just published on APSR First View: "Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia" by Erica DeBruin (@esdebruin), Gabriella Levy (@levy_gabriella), Livia Schubiger (@liviaisabella13) & Michael Weintraub (@miweintraub83). cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Ray Duch retweeted
How do you know when a mechanism is externally valid? In“Sign-Congruence, External Validity, and Replication," @tara_slough and @scottatyson develop a framework for accumulating evidence across multiple studies and develop theoretical foundations for replication.
Ray Duch retweeted
Eager to hear feedback from anyone who applies causal inference about this recent work with this amazing group of people @pdebartols @JavierAbadM
@Guanbo17 @DonhauserKonst @RayDuch and Issa Dahabreh.
Looking for a more efficient way to estimate treatment effects in your randomized experiment?
We introduce H-AIPW: a novel estimator that combines predictions from multiple foundation models with real experimental data.
arxiv.org/abs/2502.04262
Ray Duch retweeted
This is joint work with amazing collaborators: @JavierAbadM @Guanbo17 @DonhauserKonst @RayDuch @FannyYangETH and Issa Dahabreh.
Code: github.com/jaabmar/HAIPW
Ray Duch retweeted
🚨 LSE Postdoc Fellow in Political Behaviour 🚨
We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great team @LSEGovernment!
Please spread the word and reach out with questions!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/6…
Ray Duch retweeted
Please consider applying to present at the third edition of our Early Career Researchers in Law and Courts workshop. This year we will meet at @NuffieldCollege , Oxford. cc @michal_ovadek @DanielNaurin
Ray Duch retweeted
Guest edited by @MaryStegmaier & @p_mongrain, w/ contributions by @BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, @NadeauRichard3, @SCamatarri, @rayduch, @RobertoCerina, @pete_enns, @pollyvote, & others!