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SNF TD Cheat Sheet (Week 6): our top anytime TD bets with the best price at the books 🏈
Javonte Williams Anytime TD -185 · Marshawn Lloyd Anytime TD -121 · Christian Watson Anytime TD +125 · Tucker Kraft Anytime TD +183 · Ceedee Lamb Anytime TD +129
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PropsEdge retweeted
SNF DvP Cheat Sheet, DAL @ GB: how both defenses rank vs every position, to find your best prop matchups, send it to your group for tonight 📲
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🏈NFL POTD🏈
📈Cam Skattebo over 55.5 rush+rec yds. Books have this about even; the rest of the evidence leans over. NO allows the most rush + rec yards to RBs this season (160.8 a game, league average 122). 4 for 5 this season. Median of 90 over his last 10.
PropsEdge retweeted
⚾MLB POTD⚾
📈Yandy Diaz over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis. Books set this at 1.5. At PrizePicks' 0.5 it's about -241 with the juice removed; a PP leg only needs -118. 123 for 165 this season. 29 for 42 vs CLE.
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Perfect Props (Week 6), led by Xavier Hutchinson and Darren Waller: props players have hit every game, still priced at the books, to build parlays from 🏈
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PropsEdge retweeted
NFL Sharp Money Week 6 (9 sharp bets), led by DAL ML and OVER 42.5: where the money is going against the public bets, to see which sides the sharps are on 🏈
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PropsEdge retweeted
Week 6 Sheets (Sun, Oct 18), led by Matthew Stafford and Josh Allen: our best passing, rushing, receiving and TD props with the matchup behind each one 🏈
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PropsEdge retweeted
⚾MLB POTD⚾
📈Jose Ramirez over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis. Books set this at 1.5. At PrizePicks' 0.5 it's about -239 with the juice removed; a PP leg only needs -118. 95 for 133 this season. 44 for 60 vs TB.
PropsEdge retweeted
HR Props Cheat Sheet (Fri, Oct 16): today's best home run bets with odds and matchups ⚾️ drop your card below
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PropsEdge retweeted
TNF Parlay Pieces, SEA @ DEN: the props each player has hit in 7+ of his last 10, to build your parlays, send it to your group for tonight 📲
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TNF TD Cheat Sheet (Week 6): our top anytime TD bets with the best price at the books 🏈 drop your card below
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PropsEdge retweeted
🏒NHL POTD🏒
📈Adam Fox over 0.5 points. Books make this a -120 favorite with the juice removed; a PP leg only needs -118. NJD allows the 5th-most points to defensemen this season (3.17 a game, league average 2.07). 6 for 8 this season.
❤️ IF TAILING
PropsEdge retweeted
TNF DvP Cheat Sheet, SEA @ DEN: how both defenses rank vs every position, to find your best prop matchups, send it to your group for tonight 📲
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HR Props Cheat Sheet (Thu, Oct 15): today's best home run bets with odds and matchups ⚾️
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PropsEdge retweeted
TNF Play #2 | 10/15 🏈
Courtland Sutton 25+ Rec Yards/DEN +10.5
FD -119 | 1u
Pivoting to a combo play here. Sutton has covered in 2/5 to start the year but the targets have been there (25) and he sits 2nd behind Waddle in target share at 16.8%. Another guy that is due for a positive uptick in his catch% imo.
4+ targets in 4/5 games and is currently juiced over 2.5 receptions (-220). With just 2-5 receptions he’s covered this line in 16/L20 games. Holds an 11.0 aDOT this season which I love. We all know he has big play ability when it comes to contested catches downfield. We’ve seen some similar WR builds do well in this matchup already this year:
Evans - 113
Johnston - 44
McLaurin - 77
Hollins - 51
He should have a size advantage on the majority of Seattles secondary. Hard to believe he won’t see 4-5 targets as a floor in this one. Over this line in 14/L20 with 4-6 targets. Hes beyond due and like I mentioned he has upside to cover this line in 1-2 receptions if Bo finds him.
Adding Broncos +10.5 as the pair. I don’t do this too often but I see this as a matchup the Broncos can win outright and if they do end up losing I like them to keep it within 3-10 points at worst especially in a low scoring game with just a 40.5 total. We are 3-1 on primetime combos so far this season. Let’s cash another!
❤️ if your tailing!
📊 L10 games with 2+ receptions
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PropsEdge retweeted
My Favorite TNF Play | 10/15 🏈
AJ Barner Over 21.5 Rec Yards
Bet365 -115 | 1u
Collab w/ @FrannysPlays 🤝
I like this matchup for Barner. Over in just one game this season but he’s had 3+ targets in three straight games and 2nd on the Seahawks in target share this season at 14.1% (20 targets) behind JSN. Due for some positive regression in that catch% imo.
The matchup is solid. Denver is allowing 5.4 receptions - 7.8 targets - and 62.6 rec yards per game to TEs which is the 8th most in the league.
Kelce - 71
Higbee - 62
Kittle - 70
Kolar - 37
That’s 4 TEs that have cleared this number with ease so far in this matchup. 65% of Barners targets come in zones where the defense is soft/favorable. His snap% has been locked above 88% in 4/5 games this year. Clear TE1 option.
Overall a solid spot. The snaps and route volume should be there. Worth noting JSN has been limited in practice with an ankle injury. Barner has covered this number in 7/9 games with just 2+ receptions vs defenses that rank 21st - 29th in rec yards allowed to TEs. Give me the over.
❤️ if your tailing!
📊 L10 vs defenses that rank 21st - 29th in rec yards allowed to the TE position
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Week 6 Matchup Heatmap: every defense ranked in the stats you bet (green = allows the most), to spot your best prop matchups 🏈
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