Predictable with Stu is a smarter, more useful way to get the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and what's next.
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Ukraine launched more than 1,000 drones at Russia on Sunday, setting fire to an oil export terminal and depot in St. Petersburg, according to AP News. The local governor said one person was killed and five were wounded.
Trump criticized the strikes, accused Zelenskyy of not wanting to end the war, and said he was holding off on additional Russia sanctions to avoid driving Moscow from the negotiating table. Polymarket currently puts the chance of a signed Ukraine-Russia peace deal by Oct. 31st at less than 1%, with $23,672 in volume.
NEW: U.S. defense stocks are falling as investors weigh how a Democratic takeover of Congress could affect President Trump’s proposed $500 billion increase in military spending.
The Financial Times reports that the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF fell about 16% from July to mid-October, while the S&P 500 gained roughly 3.5%. Polymarket currently prices a Democratic sweep at 63%, with about $25.1 million in volume.
Elon Musk says he plans to give every child in the U.S. one SpaceX share next year, calling it “the first of many.”
The pledge could potentially be tied to Trump Accounts, tax-advantaged investment accounts for children under 18 that can receive contributions from the government, families, employers, and private donors.
Are Texas traders seeing something the rest of the country isn't?
Kalshi data shows a divide between how traders in Texas and those outside the state are viewing the Texas Senate race.
JUST IN: KFC is replacing Pepsi with Coca-Cola products across approximately 3,700 U.S. restaurants, ending a partnership that lasted nearly four decades. The transition begins in January 2027, with Coca-Cola products expected at all U.S. locations by spring.
NEW: Rhode Island grower Ron Wallace may have grown the world’s heaviest pumpkin, weighing in at 3,156 pounds at a New England contest. That would surpass the previous record of 2,857 pounds, set in England just a week earlier.
Democrat Troy Jackson and Republican Sen. Susan Collins clashed during a heated debate in Maine’s closely watched Senate race. Jackson told Collins to “shut up” after a dispute over a protester who interrupted the event.
The candidates also sparred over Collins’ relationship with President Trump and her voting record. The race is a key contest in the fight for control of the Senate.
