'@DraftKings exchange (DKeX) filed two CFTC submissions today that change what it charges, both effective Nov 2: 1. Maker fee rate on Combination Contracts (multi-leg) doubles at every price. Coefficient 0.035→0.07, max $0.0175 per contract at $0.50. Taker fees unchanged. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I… 2. Market Maker Program ends the maker-fee waiver for pre-game trading in covered full-game NFL moneyline and spread markets. DKeX's reason: liquidity there is "well established before the start of the event." cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

NEW: Another sports-focused exchange moves into federally regulated event contracts. @Sporttrade has been approved by the CFTC as a DCO. We assume their DCM will be approved soon as well. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

Based on CFTC filings posted this morning, @ProphetX has self-certified to begin offering markets on the Circa Survivor contest (and weekly Scorigami NFL outcomes).

Based on recent CFTC filings, it appears @DKPredictions (DKeX/Railbird) may soon be adding for both NFL and NBA. NFL: cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc1006… NBA: cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc1014…

Dated yesterday, but posted on the CFTC's site today, volume data markets were also added for Novig and Underdog exchanges. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

Earlier today, @ProphetX self-certified various contracts related to competitor DCM volume figures (DKeX, Polymarket, and Rothera). Prophet previously certified similar contracts on Kalshi's volume data. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

Per NFA records, @fanduel's New Venture III LLC is now an NFA member and a registered FCM (Swap Firm approved), six months after applying on 4/9. It's FanDuel's second FCM, after FanDuel Prediction Markets, its JV with CME. nfa.futures.org/BasicNet/bas…

'@ProphetX (via Milbank) met CFTC staff on 9/29 to discuss its comments on the prediction markets NPRM, two months after comments closed. Its letter backed the proposal and asked for 4(c) class exemptions, bans on six contract types and a retail PM office. regulations.gov/comment/CFTC…

Another incentive program update: @Polymarket filed changes with the CFTC to amend its market maker program (FKA 2026 Market Maker Program), eff. ~10/15. Rebates are a % of the taker fees charged on a maker's qualifying fills, under an aggregate monthly cap. Eligible markets are limited to sports, crypto prices and politics; any new categories will require a new submission to the CFTC. A multiplier based on when a fill occurs is dropped. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

On 10/1, a new Sports Event Contract Market Maker Incentive Program was submitted by @OG_com Markets (NADEX/CDNA). The submission appeared this morning on the CFTC's website. While most of the program details are redacted, the Program is comprised of two independently assessed market maker incentives: (i) a Designated Market Maker incentives for designated sports event markets, subject to specified pre-game and live depth and uptime requirements; and (ii) Combo incentives requiring a Market Maker to achieve certain obligations on executed combo contracts in a weekly review period. Effective 10/16/2026, participants must be market makers. cftc.gov/filings/orgrules/ru…

On 9/14, Jump Trading sent its Head of Policy and Director of Policy & Govt Affairs to the CFTC to discuss the agency's rulemaking on affiliated market makers (comments closing 11:59 PM ET on 10/5). Just a few days before Citadel met with the CFTC (which was first reported by @dan_bernstein_ ). regulations.gov/comment/CFTC…

@OG_com (NADEX) asked the CFTC today to approve rules for perpetual single-stock futures: cash-settled, no expiry, 1-share contracts, 24/5 trading, and a funding rate paid between longs and shorts. NADEX filed with the SEC 9/14 to register as an exchange for security futures, which under the Exchange Act is effective on filing. CFTC filing: cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I… SEC filing: sec.gov/files/rules/other/20…

In its conflicts-of-interest analysis, DKeX says the change "will reduce rebate expense and result in the collection of the generally applicable Combination Contract Maker Fee." It adds that "those financial effects do not displace the regulatory basis for the decision."

Today DKeX (@DKPredictions) filed to end its combos market maker rebates and maker fee waiver, from Oct 7. The stated reason: participating firms "would be profitable on Combination Contracts even before application of those incentives." DKeX Submission #26-28 cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

Today CFTC staff defined "Mention Markets": will a named person say a word, show up, shake a hand. DMO staff may view them as presumptively readily susceptible to manipulation under Core Principle 3 and expect a heightened showing on materiality, scrutiny, insider controls. No. 26-27 cftc.gov/csl/26-27/download

'@coinbase has a new DCO filing that hit the CFTC website today backdated to 11/14/2025. Per the exhibits: -Fully collateralized -Would clear for DCMs and SEFs that agree to its rules -Direct clearing access, plus FCM customers cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I… This appears to be the application The Clearing Company filed in Nov 2025 (but never appeared on the CFTC site), pitched as a stablecoin-native clearinghouse for prediction markets. Coinbase announced the acquisition of the Clearing Company in December 2025. The exhibits show it renamed and 100% under Coinbase Global. They name no products.

New NFA filing: Hypestrat Markets LLC (NFA ID 0581525) filed as a pending Futures Commission Merchant on 9/14/26. Address is 477 Madison Ave 22F, NYC — same as Hyperliquid Strategies (@HyperliquidX ) HQ.

Per an update from the NFA this morning, the social casino operator, @playongains, was approved for their Introducing Broker and Swap Firm registrations on 9/10. PMP has no tracked partnerships to FCMs/DCMs, but we would expect an announcement soon. nfa.futures.org/BasicNet/bas…

'@ProphetX appears to be expanding outside of sports: The CFTC website shows nine (9) political-related self-certifications have been submitted as of this morning. (Backdated to 9/2). cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…