Based on CFTC filings posted this morning, @ProphetX has self-certified to begin offering markets on the Circa Survivor contest (and weekly Scorigami NFL outcomes).

Based on recent CFTC filings, it appears @DKPredictions (DKeX/Railbird) may soon be adding for both NFL and NBA. NFL: cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc1006… NBA: cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc1014…

Dated yesterday, but posted on the CFTC's site today, volume data markets were also added for Novig and Underdog exchanges. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

Earlier today, @ProphetX self-certified various contracts related to competitor DCM volume figures (DKeX, Polymarket, and Rothera). Prophet previously certified similar contracts on Kalshi's volume data. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

'@ProphetX (via Milbank) met CFTC staff on 9/29 to discuss its comments on the prediction markets NPRM, two months after comments closed. Its letter backed the proposal and asked for 4(c) class exemptions, bans on six contract types and a retail PM office. regulations.gov/comment/CFTC…

Another incentive program update: @Polymarket filed changes with the CFTC to amend its market maker program (FKA 2026 Market Maker Program), eff. ~10/15. Rebates are a % of the taker fees charged on a maker's qualifying fills, under an aggregate monthly cap. Eligible markets are limited to sports, crypto prices and politics; any new categories will require a new submission to the CFTC. A multiplier based on when a fill occurs is dropped. cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/I…

On 10/1, a new Sports Event Contract Market Maker Incentive Program was submitted by @OG_com Markets (NADEX/CDNA). The submission appeared this morning on the CFTC's website. While most of the program details are redacted, the Program is comprised of two independently assessed market maker incentives: (i) a Designated Market Maker incentives for designated sports event markets, subject to specified pre-game and live depth and uptime requirements; and (ii) Combo incentives requiring a Market Maker to achieve certain obligations on executed combo contracts in a weekly review period. Effective 10/16/2026, participants must be market makers. cftc.gov/filings/orgrules/ru…

On 9/14, Jump Trading sent its Head of Policy and Director of Policy & Govt Affairs to the CFTC to discuss the agency's rulemaking on affiliated market makers (comments closing 11:59 PM ET on 10/5). Just a few days before Citadel met with the CFTC (which was first reported by @dan_bernstein_ ). regulations.gov/comment/CFTC…