CFA | RIA | Halal Investor I manage client portfolios at https://xitter.cf/t.co/qDtJfajzik and share my model portfolio, trades, and investment research at https://xitter.cf/t.co/rk2ZrhqcUU. NFA

Dallas, Texas
Joined June 2021
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Interest destroys wealth. Charity increases it. Here is what interest does at scale: Those who can borrow cheaply lend and invest the excess. Their wealth compounds. Those with the least pay the highest rates. Their debt compounds. The gap does not just persist. It widens. We are watching it happen in the US and around the world. Asset owners keep getting richer while working families struggle to afford the basics. And it eventually turns on itself. When most people can barely cover essentials, they stop spending. The businesses the wealthy own start earning less. Concentrated wealth slowly erodes the very economy it depends on. Add the frustration and unrest that come with it, and the whole society becomes fragile. Now look at Charity (sadaqah). The money goes to those who need it most. Their needs are met. The pressure that fuels unrest eases. And they spend it. On food, rent, clothing, services. That money flows right back into businesses, which keep earning and keep hiring. What looks like a loss for the giver becomes a gain for the whole economy, including the giver. That is how charity grows. In the hereafter, and here too. Building sustainable wealth means growing what you have through real ownership, then giving from it, trusting that nothing given for Allah is ever lost.
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Allah, who knows us better than we know ourselves, tells us that humankind was created of haste. Not that we sometimes act in haste. That it is woven into how we were made. In its original context, this ayah was addressed to people demanding that Allah’s signs and promised outcomes arrive on their timeline. Show us now. Prove it now. And the response is gentle but firm: they will come. Do not ask Me to hurry them. We think about this verse a lot as investors. Almost every costly mistake we have seen or made, in our own decisions, comes back to the same root. Selling a good company because it went nowhere for sometime. Buying something because everyone else already made money on it. Checking prices five times a day and calling it research. Wanting the result before the process has had time to work. The markets did not create this impulse. They just expose it. What we find beautiful about this ayah is that it does not shame us for being hasty. It names it, and then asks us to trust anyway. The signs are coming. The outcome is in Allah’s hands. Our job is to do what is right, consistently, and let time do what only time can do. That is what building wealth the halal way actually looks like. Not a lack of ambition, but ambition with patience attached to it. Know your nature. Then build habits that protect you from it.
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The biggest surprise in $TSLA's earnings wasn't EPS. It was CASH. Wall Street expected Tesla to burn nearly $5 BILLION. Instead, Tesla generated $1.53 BILLION in free cash flow. That's a $6.5 BILLION surprise. But there's another number investors shouldn't overlook: 1.74 MILLION FSD subscriptions. Tesla isn't just selling cars anymore. It's building a recurring software revenue stream on top of its installed vehicle base. And unlike selling another car, selling another software subscription doesn't require building another factory. Here's what stood out: • Adjusted EPS beat expectations: $0.48 vs. $0.44. • Gross margins reached 19.6%, beating estimates. • FSD subscriptions surged to 1.74 million. • Free cash flow dramatically exceeded expectations. The catch? Operating income fell 56%, and lower capital spending contributed to the cash flow beat. My takeaway: The real Tesla bull case isn't selling more cars. It's making every car worth more after it's sold. This is playing out before our eyes.
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yes. biggest improvement is that any scholarly body that is paid by the same parties they regulate should be considered null and void.
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The most dangerous thing that can happen to an investor is making money on a bad decision. One investor buys a trending stock. It doubles. He thinks he's a genius. Another studies the business, estimates its fair value, and buys at a discount. The stock falls 30%. Who made the better decision? A good outcome doesn't prove good judgment. A bad outcome doesn't prove bad judgment. Surah Al-Asr reminds us to hold firmly to truth and patience. 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗿𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗿𝗲𝘀 𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗶𝘀𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝗯𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘂𝘀𝗲 𝗶𝘁 𝗶𝘀𝗻'𝘁 𝗮𝗹𝘄𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗺𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗹𝘆. Investing tests the same discipline. Markets can reward recklessness and punish sound reasoning in the short term. But if you abandon sound reasoning whenever it fails to pay off immediately, you're no longer following principles. You're following immediate outcomes which leads to disaster. Judge your decisions by the quality of your reasoning, not the next move in a stock's price. Because the greatest danger of making money on a bad decision is that you'll keep making it.
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Common sense is the starting point for any good process. Blindly accepting something because "the scholars approved it" is how we ended up with some highly questionable "halal mortgages" and now Palantir being labeled Sharia compliant. Scholars deserve respect, but their judgments and the methodologies they endorse are not infallible. At some point, we need to ask ourselves whether we're honoring the spirit of Islamic finance or just finding technical ways around its principles.
Palantir is deemed Shariah compliant by several globally recognised Shariah screening standards Including AAOIFI. The Shariah board at AAOIFI comprises the most experienced and renowned Scholars in the world Either you accept Palantir is Shariah compliant or you stop using “the scholars approved it” as a defence for Islamic products. Pick your lane.
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The S&P 500 has NEVER posted a negative return in the 12 months following a US midterm election since 1950. 19 elections. 19 positive outcomes. The average return? +15.4%. The next midterm election is November 3rd, just two weeks away. My interpretation: Elections create uncertainty. Once they're behind us, one source of uncertainty disappears. Of course, 19 historical observations don't guarantee a 20th. But with investors worried about inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, this historical pattern is worth paying attention to.
🤖 Made with AI
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Microsoft just walked away from a 50 MW AI data center deal with Nscale. Why? The UK electricity grid couldn't guarantee power until the 2030s. I think this is bullish for three stocks I've been following closely: $KEEL, $DRK and $BE. Here's why: Microsoft didn't stop needing AI compute. It just couldn't afford to wait years for electricity. This is becoming the defining bottleneck of the AI boom. And three companies stand to benefit in different ways: $KEEL : Already has hundreds of megawatts of energized capacity and a much larger development pipeline. Power availability is its competitive advantage. $DRK : Recently doubled its contracted power capacity to approximately 100 MW in the TVA region. A much smaller, speculative company positioning itself to convert power access into AI infrastructure. $BE : Offers an entirely different solution. Its fuel cells allow data centers to generate electricity onsite, reducing dependence on delayed grid connections. Three different business models. One enormous opportunity. Of course, power access alone doesn't guarantee profits. These companies still need customers, financing and successful execution. But here's my takeaway: For years, investors focused on who could supply the most advanced AI chips. Increasingly, the question is becoming: Who can actually power those chips? And I suspect the market is still underestimating the value of having electricity available TODAY.
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The main reason you should be bullish is simple: The United States cannot afford a prolonged bear market. Think about it: AI investment is becoming a major driver of economic growth. With over $40 trillion in federal debt and rising interest expenses, America desperately needs that growth. Can stocks fall further? Absolutely. But I suspect this administration will do almost everything in its power to prevent a prolonged market collapse. Not because it cares about your portfolio. Because the American economy is becoming increasingly dependent on the very investments a bear market would threaten.
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The FDA approval of $IRD's presbyopia treatment is a major de-risking event that I don't think the market fully appreciates. Here's why: 1- Regulatory risk has been eliminated for this indication. 2- Approval triggers a milestone payment from Viatris. 3- $IRD stands to earn royalties ranging from the low double digits to the low 20s on US sales, without having to fund commercialization itself. 4- Presbyopia affects roughly 90% of Americans over 45. The addressable market is enormous. The question is no longer "Will the FDA approve it?" but "How much can Viatris actually sell?" Commercial execution remains a risk, but the potential royalty stream could become a meaningful asset for a company of IRD's size. Our base-case valuation remains $6.65/share, with a bull case of $10 to $12 , assuming successful commercialization and continued pipeline progress. At $3.84, we see attractive risk/reward. We're maintaining our current position size and may add more if decline continues. pif.finance/reports/stocks/I…
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Jumma’a Mubaraka In Surat Al Kahf, Musa AS travels with Al Khidr, and three things happen that make no sense to him. Al Khidr damages a boat belonging to poor fishermen. He takes the life of a young boy. Then he rebuilds a falling wall for free, in a town that refused to feed them. Each time, Musa AS objects. Each time, it looks wrong. Then the hidden reasons come out: The boat: a tyrant king was seizing every sound ship. A damaged boat was a saved boat. The boy: he would have grown up to burden his righteous parents with rebellion and disbelief, and Allah would replace him with a better child. The wall: under it was a treasure belonging to two orphans, kept safe until they came of age because their father was righteous. What looked like loss was protection from something far worse. The market works the same way. The trade you missed. The stock you sold too early. The position that failed the halal screen and had to go. It stings in the moment. Sometimes Allah gives you a small pain to save you from a bigger one. Trust the process. Trust the One who sees what you can’t. 🤲
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Some people worship Allah on the edge. When life is good, they're content. When hardship strikes, they turn away, losing both this world and the Hereafter. (Surah Al-Hajj 22:11) Conviction that disappears when tested was never conviction. It's a useful reminder when investing. An even more important one when worshiping Allah.
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I understand the concern. Believe me I've thought about the matter of Tesla alot. But we're investing in Tesla the company, not Elon the person who owns ~15% of the company. Our ethical screening focuses on what a company actually does, what it sells, and what activities our investment supports. We cannot realistically require every executive or shareholder of every company we invest in to hold views we agree with. That doesn't mean Musk's statements are beyond criticism. It means we need consistent, objective standards for deciding which businesses are permissible to own.
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Replying to @Travell3r969
PIF is the solution for smaller accounts
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This is what happens when halal screening focuses on financial ratios while ignoring broader ethical considerations. At PIF, we've consistently argued that halal investing must go beyond debt ratios, interest income, and conventional business activity screens. HOW a company makes its money matters. WHO it does business with matters. WHAT our investments enable matters. We've published individual halal reports covering all five companies mentioned in this investigation: 🔎 Palantir ($PLTR) pif.finance/reports/stocks/P… 🔎 RTX / Raytheon ($RTX) pif.finance/reports/stocks/R… 🔎 Analog Devices ($ADI) pif.finance/reports/stocks/A… 🔎 Honeywell ($HON) pif.finance/reports/stocks/H… 🔎 Rolls-Royce ($RYCEY) pif.finance/reports/stocks/R… I encourage every Muslim investor, Islamic ETF provider, pension fund, and Islamic financial institution to read these reports when discussing the halal status of these companies. Our reports are publicly accessible. FREE. We welcome scrutiny, disagreement, and corrections. If we've missed something, tell us. If you disagree with our conclusions, challenge them. Our goal isn't to monopolize the definition of halal investing. It's to raise the standard of transparency and accountability across the industry. And if you'd rather have your investments professionally managed according to our stricter halal-conscious standards, we've built Halal Alpha: halalalpha.com Every holding in our managed portfolios undergoes our strict screening process, including financial, business activity, and ethical considerations. Muslims should not have to sacrifice their principles to grow their wealth. Halal should mean more than passing a spreadsheet test.
Exclusive: The UK’s largest “sharia-compliant” fund, HSBC’s Islamic Global Equity Index Fund, has purchased more than $100m worth of shares in 5 companies linked to the Israeli military in the first half of this year, a @MiddleEastEye analysis can reveal middleeasteye.net/news/hsbc-…
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Replying to @ibrakadabra132
with tokenization of real world assets including equities, the anywhere in the world argument becomes less compelling for Bitcoin. as for the winner, in what sense? in terms of returns, zcash is a much bigger winner than bitcoin this cycle.
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Replying to @Mawlena_
AI doesn't need to break SHA-256 or secp256k1 outright to expose serious vulnerabilities in Bitcoin. Advances in cryptanalysis could uncover weaknesses we haven't even considered. The fact that something hasn't been broken in 16 years doesn't mean it can't be broken tomorrow. See the recent math problems solved by Open AI as exhibit A. The cost per unit of compute can fall while demand for electricity, data centers, and high-performance infrastructure explodes. You're right that compute itself isn't a store of value. I'm arguing that ownership of scarce, productive AI infrastructure may prove a far better store of wealth than ownership of artificially scarce digital tokens.
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I think the market is making a MASSIVE mistake about bitcoin:native and AI. And OpenAI's latest mathematical breakthroughs have only strengthened my conviction. On October 6, OpenAI published hundreds of AI-generated mathematical results tackling problems that had challenged mathematicians for decades. Here's the question crypto investors should be asking: If AI can make breakthroughs in mathematics that humans couldn't, what makes you so confident the cryptography securing your Bitcoin is safe? Everyone is worried about quantum computing breaking Bitcoin. I think they're potentially looking in the wrong direction. AI could make breakthroughs in cryptanalysis that undermine today's cryptographic assumptions long before quantum computing becomes practical. Has that happened? No. But markets don't wait for a threat to materialize before repricing risk. And here's the bigger problem: AI can help develop stronger cryptography, too. But which moves faster? AI's ability to discover vulnerabilities, or Bitcoin's ability to coordinate and implement solutions? Bitcoin's decentralized governance is a strength, until rapid adaptation becomes essential. Now consider something even more fundamental. We've been told for years that Bitcoin is the digital store of value. I increasingly disagree. I think the defining digital economic resource of the future will be USEFUL COMPUTE. Compute that trains AI. Discovers drugs. Solves engineering problems. Generates economic value. Not trillions of calculations whose primary purpose is securing a ledger. Bitcoin is scarce by design. Useful AI compute is scarce because the world actually needs it. One derives value from monetary consensus. The other can generate cash flows from productive demand. And I increasingly favor the latter. My bet is that the next decade rewards productive compute more than speculative scarcity. I think AI may eventually force us to reconsider what a valuable digital asset actually is.
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Big Tech is spending hundreds of billions on AI. But who's actually collecting the money? Five major hyperscalers are projected to have roughly zero combined free cash flow. Meanwhile, forward free cash flow for four major chip and semiconductor equipment companies has climbed toward $420 BILLION. 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲'𝘀 𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲'𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘂𝗲. As investors, we're looking for opportunities on the receiving end of that spending. And for halal-conscious investors, some of the most obvious semiconductor names fail our screening standards. ❌ $NVDA: multiple R&D centers in Israel ❌ $AVGO: heavy debt from the VMware deal ❌ $MU: Israel presence ❌ $AMAT: major Israel operations That's why we're looking further down the supply chain: ⚙️ $TSM: Chip manufacturing ❄️ $VRT: Data center power and cooling 🔧 $FIX: Mechanical and electrical infrastructure ⚡ $BE: On-site electricity generation 💡 $AAOI: Optical networking 🏗️ $DY: Fiber and network infrastructure 🔌 $KEEL: AI infrastructure exposure Of course, these companies still face valuation, execution, and spending-cycle risks. But here’s the opportunity: 𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗱𝗼𝗻'𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗶𝗰𝗸 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲 𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗲𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸. Need to screen a company deeper than just financials, check out our halal reports in the first reply.
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