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United States
Joined November 2020
OTHER KEY STATES In states that will decide the Senate, Republicans hold solid leads, with wide margins in Texas, Ohio, and Montana.
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ATLAS POLLS - SWING STATES Among the battleground states, Trump leads in Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, while narrowing the 2020 margins in Virginia and Minnesota. However, Georgia and Pennsylvania, two of the most valuable states in the Electoral College, are close.
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Statewide Races with @thehill AZ: Gallego (D) 50%, Lake (R) 45% MI: Slotkin (D) 49%, Rogers (R) 45% NV: Rosen (D) 50%, Brown (R) 44% NC: Stein (D) 52%, Robinson (R) 40% PA: Casey (D) 47%, McCormick (R) 47% WI: Baldwin 51% (D), Hovde 45% (R) emersoncollegepolling.com/no…
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FINAL SWING STATE POLLS with @thehill 2024 Presidential Election AZ: Trump 50%, Harris 48% GA: Trump 50%, Harris 49% MI: Harris 50%, Trump 48% NC: Trump 49%, Harris 48% NV: Harris 48%, Trump 48% PA: Trump 49%, Harris 48% WI: Trump 49%, Harris 49% emersoncollegepolling.com/no…
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#NEW @POStrategies Polls VIRGINIA DeSantis 44% Biden 44% . Biden 48% (+7) Trump 41% MINNESOTA Biden 45% (+2) DeSantis 43% . Biden 48% (+8) Trump 40% NEW MEXICO Biden 45% (+2) DeSantis 43% . Biden 49% (+11) Trump 38% COLORADO Biden 44% +3 DeSantis 41% . Biden 49% +10 Trump 39%
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🚨 Poll Release Notice: Marquette (@MULawPoll) to release: - #WIGov (confirmed) - #WISen (confirmed) Wednesday, November 2 Details:
Final pre-election @MULawPoll will be released Wed. Nov 2, 12:15pm Central. Results posted to web at 1:15. Details here: marquette.edu/news-center/20…
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Update | From an Emerson spokeswoman: "We weighted New Mexico data based off a voter registration model rather than a likely voter model, so that's reason for any discrepancy between CD #s and actual results." "We did not use old districts; we used the newly drawn... districts."
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🚨 Poll Release Notice: Suffolk University (@Suffolk_U) to release: - #NVGov (expected) - #NVSen (expected) Tuesday, November 1 Details:
Oh, what the "heck," we're in the field in Nevada y'all. Trick or treat. Talk to you next Tuesday.
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With our new “Poll Adjuster,” you can see how polling errors would change the 2022 Senate races. Users can choose the polling error or set every state to have the same error as it did in 2016, 18, or 20, to see how past errors would affect 2022. elections-daily.com/2022/10/…
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Alaska Senate: Murkowski (R-inc) 41% Tshibaka (R) 39% Chesbro (D) 16% Kelley (R) 4% . Round 2: Murkowski (R-inc) 42% Tshibaka (R) 41% Chesbro (D) 17% . Final Round: Murkowski (R-inc) 57% (+14) Tshibaka (R) 43% Alaska Survey Research, 1,282 LV, 9/25-27
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#AKAL: Peltola (D) 49% Begich (R) 26% Palin (R) 23% Bye (L) 2% . Round 2: Peltola (D) 50% Begich (R) 26% Palin (R) 24% . Final Round: Peltola (D) 54% (+8) Begich (R) 46% Alaska Survey Research, 1,282 LV, 9/25-27
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Alaska Governor: Dunleavy (R-inc) 43% Gara (D) 28% Walker (I) 21% Pierce (R) 7% . Round 2: Dunleavy (R-inc) 48% Gara (D) 29% Walker (I) 23% . Final Round: Dunleavy (R-inc) 53% (+6) Gara (D) 47% Alaska Survey Research, 1,282 LV, 9/25-27
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Replying to @PollProjectUSA
This was on the first sheet of the file that should have accompanied the results. In all Waves, Trump voters were underrepresented, so we added extra weight to get 2020 Voter Preference in alignment.
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GAME ON & WOW: In last #GOP poll before primary by most accurate pollster in #2020, @Data_Orbital, here are the highlights: @KariLake up 39%-35% over momentum infused @Karrin4Arizona. @brnoforaz drops to 3rd in Senate race: Masters 29%-Lamon 16%-Brno 15%.
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🚨 Election Alert! 🚨 There are 10+ elections today: Statewide - CO Primaries - IL Primaries - MS Primary Runoffs - NY Primaries - OK Primaries - SC Primary Runoffs - UT Primaries U.S. Senate - OK Special (Primary) U.S. House - #NE01 Special (General)
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#IL15 internal poll shows Rep. Mary Miller up 5 points on Rep. Rodney Davis, 45% to 40%. The Cygnal poll has 15% undecided. Primaries in Illinois are next Tuesday-- Trump is campaigning for Miller this weekend.
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#TX34 Special Election Primary Poll: Mayra Flores (R) 43% Dan Sanchez (D) 34% Rene Coronado (D) 7% Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) 3% Undecided 13% @RRHElections/@PollProjectUSA ~ 484 LV ~ 6/8-6/11 dropbox.com/s/5u8kf9ryfiwrb7…
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Replying to @PollProjectUSA
@PollProjectUSA/@RRHElections poll for the #TX34 Special Election Flores (R) 43% Sanchez (D) 34% Coronado (D) 7% Cantu-Cabrera (R) 3% Undecided 13%
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#TX34 Special Election poll from @RRHElections, @PollProjectUSA shows GOP’s @MayraFlores2022 in the lead. Still needs 50% to avoid a runoff. Mayra Flores (R) 43% Dan Sanchez (D) 34% Rene Coronado (D) 7% Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) 3% dropbox.com/s/5u8kf9ryfiwrb7…
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