I spent 16 years in the British Army, leaving the Parachute Regiment as a Major. I served three tours in Afghanistan, one attached to US Army Special Forces, as well as tours in Bosnia, Northern Ireland and the Middle East. I later taught military theory and leadership at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst. Academically, I have an LLB in Law & Politics, an MA with Distinction in War Studies & Military History and an MSc with Distinction in Psychology. I also hold postgraduate qualifications in Leadership & Strategic Management and Higher Education, and I am now completing a PhD in War Studies examining what Ukraine and the post-7 October wars can tell us about the future of warfare. Since leaving the Army, I have spent a great deal of time going to the wars I write about. I visited Gaza twice in 2024, went inside captured Hezbollah tunnels in Lebanon, visited the Ukrainian front lines, and in 2025 became the first neutral researcher invited to observe the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation distribution sites. My research has produced substantial reports on casualty statistics, human shields, information warfare, humanitarian operations and the tactical lessons emerging from Gaza. You can find them at @HJS_Org I make no apology for advertising to you that this is an unusually strong background for analysing contemporary conflict. There are not many conflict analysts who combine command experience in war, formal study of war, law and psychology, experience teaching future Army officers, think-tank research and repeated fieldwork inside the conflicts they analyse. Those different disciplines also catch different mistakes. Military experience makes it harder to mistake a map arrow for a feasible operation. War Studies forces tactical events back into their political and strategic context. Psychology matters when propaganda, perception and behavioural manipulation have become part of the battlefield. Law matters when almost every contemporary campaign is simultaneously fought through international institutions, courts and competing claims about legitimacy. Fieldwork is the final check because people who actually fight wars have a habit of complicating theories developed by chairborne researchers from several thousand miles away. That is what I try to bring to my Substack. I am less interested in telling readers who “won” yesterday than in working out what happened, why it happened, what the participants were trying to achieve, whether they possessed the means to achieve it, and what the consequences are likely to be. Tactical success, military effectiveness and strategic success are not synonyms. Much bad analysis begins by treating them as though they are. I will get things wrong. Anyone analysing wars in real time will. The promise I can reasonably make is that I will go to the evidence, go to the people involved where I can, change my assessment when the evidence changes, and tell you what I think rather than what my supposed political tribe would prefer me to think. There is an enormous quantity of geopolitical commentary available for free. I think the combination behind mine is genuinely unusual. If that is the sort of conflict analysis you want to read, please check out: mrandrewfox.substack.com

After claiming credit for crime stats being down and telling Torontonians we’re just imagining lawlessness and disorder, @OliviaChow wants us to believe she’ll be the one to restore public safety to #Toronto. We know better—for a safer city, vote for @BradMBradford.

A friend of mine had their @BradMBradford sign stolen from the front of their lawn. Are @oliviachow supporters so desperate that they resort to this? Is this a reflection of how badly they think their candidate’s chances are or is this just who they are? Pathetic. Despicable. Desperate.

It is not necessary to be a reactionary to dissent from the conventional wisdom that a Democratic wave will sweep the midterms. In the fury and venom of Trump-hate, which has been, along with truly absurd Islamo-Marxist nostrums, the only discernible offering of the Democratic Party for the last two years, strategists may imagine that descent into political total war is an attractive option to the American electorate. It isn’t. Polling is unreliable and left-leaning; Trump’s low approval rating is likely underestimated and remains ~15 points above the approval rating of the Congressional Democrats. Republicans have a large financial advantage which will presumably be applied as the election proceeds, to tout the remarkable record of achievement of the Trump administration. Trump accounts, lower crime, massive reductions in illegal immigration and deportations, lower prescription prices, high economic growth, deregulation, escape from the climate-change obsession, and the assault on wokeness, DEI, and the intellectual corruption of universities and unionized schools, which more accurately resemble daycare centers where young people are taught to hate America. The more the country sees the field of Islamo-Marxist lunatics candidates who have been herded in from the fringe and now comprise the back-bone of the Democratic mainstream, the more appealing Trump becomes. After ten years the country is somewhat tiring of Trump, but he does pierce the pomposity of the political class. The question Americans will have to ask is whether temporarily elevated gasoline prices are an acceptable cost to keep nuclear weapons out of the hands of the Iranian terrorist theocracy. While Democrats continue to attempt to paint Iran as another Vietnam, Trump has rendered the Iranian currency worthless, driven inflation sky-high, forced gasoline rationing, and pushed the regime near bankruptcy. This is the most one-sided war in history between serious combatants—total U.S. combat-related deaths through this entire conflict have been no more than a bad weekend in Chicago. Trump’s record of achievement is eminently defensible and should weigh more heavily than the vagaries of his personality.

Thank you ❤️ תודה

For you Kevin, that kinda goes without saying by now... 🖖❤️🫡

ZIONISTS ARE THE WORST OF MANKIND… The Israeli army watching whilst the settlers kick and poison livestock.

My father, Elie Wiesel, received the Nobel Peace Prize for ensuring the Holocaust wouldn’t be forgotten. By honoring Navi Pillay, who accused Israel of genocide, the committee has betrayed his legacy. thefp.com/p/elie-wiesel-deat…

Canadians condemn the Nobel Committee’s decision to award Navi Pillay the 2026 Peace Prize. Her leadership of the commission accusing Israel of genocide and support for sanctions against Israel raising profound concerns about impartiality. We believe this selection rewards bias and undermines the prize’s moral authority. Coming two days after October 7’s third anniversary, it is an affront to victims and survivors. Peace requires truth, fairness and unequivocal opposition to terrorism. We urge the committee to reconsider and uphold equal dignity and justice for Israelis and Palestinians alike. @AnitaAnandMP @NobelPrize

Big win for @bnaibrithcanada and the entire community with the release of the unredacted Rodal report on Nazi war criminals suspected to have entered Canada after WWII. bnaibrith.ca/federal-governm…

🔺Latest: Reports coming in from the stadium that one of the Ireland back-room staff was spat at by an Israel player during that half-time clash. Fitness coach Damien Doyle has alleged he was spat as the teams went off for the break. Live updates here: irishtimes.com/sport/soccer/…

Patrick. Not a single so called IDF soldiers was verified. I’ve seen th propaganda film. That is all it is. Propaganda and an excuse for Jew haters to hate Jews. Israel is not going anywhere. Neither are Jews.

Imagine that. The former Islamaphobia czar for Canadas and former employee of Cair-Can (now NCCM) spreading anti-Israel propaganda. For the truth watch…. nazadocumentary.com/

Maybe have a look at the word accosted. Here you go: to approach and speak to someone in a bold, aggressive, rude, or threatening way

Say more. This is a new side of Sid for me.