@PAMapper

Posting maps of PA with weird numbers of districts, & occasionally election analysis

Joined January 2022
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  • Followers3.3K
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Replying to @ECaliberSeven
Ron Johnson did the same thing against Russ Feingold in 2016.
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Replying to @mr_saltz
Me neither. And Kendra can do whatever she wants, she’s earned that.
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Replying to @mr_saltz
2031 sets up so well for a progressive mayor. This cycle I feel the focus should be on the 8th and maybe 4th districts.
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Replying to @mr_saltz
2024 occurred, notably, after October 2023
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Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
J.J. Abbott
@jjabbottAug 21
Excited by this week’s flip in PA? With 75 days to go, I’m helping launch 12 for a Trifecta — easy way to give to 12 key races so PA gets a legislature that can get more shit done with @JoshShapiroPA to make lives better. Let’s win! Donate and share now: secure.actblue.com/donate/tr…

I just gave to help create a Democratic trifecta!

Show your support with a contribution.

secure.actblue.com
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lmao
PA House Dems@PAHDCCAug 20
You’ve seen the memes – now own a piece of the Blue-berry victory 🫐 Hot off the presses, grab a set of stickers for yourself! Each purchase supports our fight to defend our newest member of the majority, Brandon Dukes, now available at store.pahdcc.com!
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Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
Noah 💫
@ntorok4Aug 19
CRANBERRY IS DEAD, BLUEBERRY IS ALIVE
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Tonight let us recognize Speaker Joanna McClinton, who for 42 months held together an ideologically diverse Democratic caucus to maintain a one-vote majority in the PA House. Surely one of the most talented legislative leaders in the country. Finally she has some breathing room.
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One of the last two precincts to report turned out to be Dukes' biggest overperformance. He now leads by 88 votes, a margin which provisionals and overseas ballots is very unlikely to change. Huge, huge result in the Pittsburgh exurbs, as Dems gain a foothold in Butler County.
Pennsylvania Maps@PAMapperAug 19
I have data on 25/27 precincts in HD-12. Dukes (D) beating his benchmarks in 13, Timko (R) beating his in 12. Very close.
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Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
VoteHub
@VoteHubAug 19
Pennsylvania State House District 12 Special Election 27 of 27 Precincts Reported: 🔵 Brandon Dukes – 8,434 (50.2%) 🔴 Scott Timko – 8,346 (49.6%) Trump won this district by 18 points in 2024.
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Estimating Timko would need to win the remaining vote by ~7% to pull off a comeback
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Replying to @JasonBarscheski
Yes
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I have a (not rigorous) odds guestimate in my model and it's giving Dukes a 69% chance of winning.
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I have data on 25/27 precincts in HD-12. Dukes (D) beating his benchmarks in 13, Timko (R) beating his in 12. Very close.
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All eyes on HD-12. Real chance Dems flip this seat.
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Replying to @DrewSav
So tired of people saying they’re “of Nazareth” to sound cool when they’re probably from some place like Bethlehem
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Replying to @ChazNuttycombe @StateNavigate
SD-6 has such a high density of competitive state legislative races. Great choice.
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Replying to @davidslosttt @ElectIndex
Really impressive feature! Heads up it looks like you have PA-08 coded as currently Dem-held
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Replying to @CoreyECohen
That's the conventional wisdom but I don't think it's that simple. Canvassing I talked to a woman who was waffling between Stanford and Rabb but had ruled out Street.
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50.5% of Stanford's votes came from precincts that gave Rabb more votes than Street Not a definitive answer to what would've happened under RCV, but an indication that Stanford's base wasn't a perfect overlap with Street's
Pennsylvania Maps@PAMapperJun 23
Before I reveal the answer... Did the majority of Ala Stanford's votes come from:
55%Rabb>Street precincts
45%Street>Rabb precincts
20 votes • Final results
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