Posting maps of PA with weird numbers of districts, & occasionally election analysis
Joined January 2022
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The Fall Line is an ancient geological feature. Lined by a string of waterfalls, it divides the hills of the Piedmont region from the Atlantic coastal plain.
Now, the line is a near-perfect boundary between left-trending & right-trending areas in Metro Philly.
Why? A thread:
Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
Excited by this week’s flip in PA?
With 75 days to go, I’m helping launch 12 for a Trifecta — easy way to give to 12 key races so PA gets a legislature that can get more shit done with @JoshShapiroPA to make lives better. Let’s win! Donate and share now: secure.actblue.com/donate/tr…
lmao
You’ve seen the memes – now own a piece of the Blue-berry victory 🫐 Hot off the presses, grab a set of stickers for yourself! Each purchase supports our fight to defend our newest member of the majority, Brandon Dukes, now available at store.pahdcc.com!
Tonight let us recognize Speaker Joanna McClinton, who for 42 months held together an ideologically diverse Democratic caucus to maintain a one-vote majority in the PA House. Surely one of the most talented legislative leaders in the country.
Finally she has some breathing room.
One of the last two precincts to report turned out to be Dukes' biggest overperformance. He now leads by 88 votes, a margin which provisionals and overseas ballots is very unlikely to change. Huge, huge result in the Pittsburgh exurbs, as Dems gain a foothold in Butler County.
I have data on 25/27 precincts in HD-12. Dukes (D) beating his benchmarks in 13, Timko (R) beating his in 12. Very close.
50.5% of Stanford's votes came from precincts that gave Rabb more votes than Street
Not a definitive answer to what would've happened under RCV, but an indication that Stanford's base wasn't a perfect overlap with Street's
Before I reveal the answer...
Did the majority of Ala Stanford's votes come from:
55%Rabb>Street precincts
45%Street>Rabb precincts
20 votes • Final resultsIf @PHLDems don't ensure a fair election in the 22nd Ward they can't call themselves the Democratic Party with a straight face anymore
Councilmember Cindy Bass declared herself the winner of a Philly Democratic ward election — and may have violated party rules ebx.sh/uNvQaK
Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
The 2026 PA-03rd Congressional Democratic Primary, a contest between DSA Representative Chris Rabb, Former Dem Senate Leader Sharif Street, and Pediatric Surgeon Ala Stanford resulted in a strong 15% win for Rep. Rabb, besting both major moderate candidates.
Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
Last week in #PA07, Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association President Bob Brooks was able to win the Democratic primary for this ultra-competitive district.
He won with 41% of the vote over three other candidates who had scattered support throughout the district.
The kind of structural transformation Rabb is talking about might not happen this year, but it’s coming sooner than later. I don’t think folks have reckoned with how much influence Rabb will have in Philadelphia politics by 2030.
In Larry Krasner’s first primary win in 2017, Black voters were lukewarm on his candidacy. But once he got into office and started delivering, they became his strongest base of support.
It was a competitive race this time, but going forward I expect Rabb to sail to re-election.
Pennsylvania Maps retweeted
In Pennsylvania on Tuesday, longtime Democratic incumbent Greg Vitali lost his #HD166 to Judy Trombetta.
Running on a platform of generational change and being backed by the Delaware County Democrats (over the 30+ year incumbent), Trombetta destroyed Vitali by 23 points.
