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Brisbane, Australia
Joined May 2009
Optuma retweeted
Today is September 22. According to historical seasonality, we’re entering the ugliest stretch of the month. Seasonality is context, not a signal. Let’s see which way the wind blows. $SPX $SPY $QQQ @Optuma
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Sure, Breadth has waned a tad in the last month, but honestly, Utilities, REITS, Staples going down DOESN'T concern me.. RUSSELL 3k A/D still at the highest levels in years.. This "AINT" late 2021, nor 2018, early 2025, nor 2026. Chart from #OPTUMA @Optuma
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Optuma retweeted
Really exciting week at Optuma as we are finally opening up access to the new web-based platform. This was a complete rebuild of Optuma, bringing AI into the platform from the start, designing a visual node-based system for building backtests and scans, and creating a model builder that runs on a proprietary quantitative engine. You can read more about it here, and if you want to get hands-on with the new platform, just let us know. optuma.com/blog/optuma-web-a…
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Optuma retweeted
I’ve had a few people ask about the candle colors on my charts. They are part of my Gann Swing Rank Color System. Instead of staring at dozens of indicators, I combine just two things: • Trend • Swing That instantly tells me whether I’m looking to buy strength, buy a pullback, build a watchlist, or simply stay away. The whole point is to make decision-making faster and remove as much subjectivity as possible. The best systems simplify the decision. They don’t complicate it. @Optuma
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Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @Optuma The bulls keep stacking evidence, with the S&P 500 Advance / Decline Line making new record highs. Get the full breakdown in today's report plus more great charts. ⬇️ thechartreport.com/06-15-26
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Optuma retweeted
Replying to @strategytraderE
A/D line still below highs, but the $SPX Breadth Thrust (10D EMA of A/(A+D)) is back above 55:
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In the last almost 30 years, the number of times there's been at least 7% of stocks making a 52-week low when the S&P 500 was at a 52-week high: Two
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Optuma retweeted
Replying to @optionflys
Beneath the surface of the $SPX... Stocks within 20% of their 12M highs: Falling Stocks within 20% of their 12M lows: Almost 50%
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Optuma retweeted
Weekly RRG rotation snapshot - structure > noise. ✅ 🔵 CYCLICALS - early leadership, now cooling 🔥 $XLE (Energy) → still leading but momentum rolling over ✅ $XLB (Materials) → fading inside leading, losing strength ⚠️ $XLRE (Real Estate) → improving but not leadership ❌ $XLY (Discretionary) → weak, lagging 📌 Conclusion: Cyclicals led the bounce. Now they’re cooling, not breaking. 🟣 GROWTH — rotation starting, not confirmed ✅ $XLI (Industrials) → clear leader, strong RS + momentum ⚠️ $XLC (Comm Services) → improving, early rotation ⚠️ $XLK (Tech) → lagging but trying to hook up ❌ $XLF (Financials) → weak, late rotation 📌 Conclusion: Growth is rotating, but not broad leadership yet. Industrials still leading this phase. 🟢 DEFENSIVES — holding, not panic ⚠️ $XLU (Utilities) → still leading but flattening ⚠️ $XLP (Staples) → rolling inside leading ❌ $XLV (Healthcare) → weak participation 📌 Conclusion: No rush into safety. Defensives not confirming fear. 🧠 BIG PICTURE (Weekly RRG) • Cyclicals → led, now cooling • Industrials → leadership intact • Tech + Comm → attempting rotation • Defensives → not risk-off behavior 📌 Final take: This is rotation, not breakdown. Market already reset ~10% and held higher timeframe structure. Leadership is shifting, not collapsing. If growth joins → expansion. If not → pullback, then higher. Weekly rotation tells the truth. ✅ $SPX $SPY $QQQ @Optuma
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Optuma retweeted
OPTEX just fired. This isn’t random. Look at the rhythm. November: –5.5% → V bounce December: –3.4% → continuation January: –3.1% → higher high February: –3.2% → structure holds Every dip was controlled. Rotational. Bought. Now March: –5.5% That’s the shift. We’re no longer in a 3% pullback environment. This is expansion. Acceleration. Same category as November - not noise. Optex = an extreme/mean reversion tool. It flags when price is stretched too far from balance and likely nearing exhaustion. Now you have that signal firing into a –5.5% move. That’s confluence. 6550 is the level. Hold → bounce + base Break → continuation lower Not calling bottom — this is where reactions happen. Let price confirm. $SPX $SPY $QQQ @Optuma
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The S&P 500 is <0.5% above its 200-day moving average after 211 days above it. What happens when runs this long finally break? Find out here: dropbox.com/scl/fi/julpxt5q8… redcedarresearch.com
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Pitchforks identify the vector of price moves in price and time like no other technical tool. To learn about the application of Andrews Pitchfork go to the three part Pitchfork series at themarketscompass.com
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Optuma retweeted
The breakout scan shows 22 $SPX stocks closed Friday above their previous 10 week pivot highs, incl this double-top in $MCO:
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Optuma retweeted
Replying to @DavidCoxRJ
80% of stocks in $XLV are above their 50MA vs 50% for the $SPX (only 25% for $XLC):
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Optuma retweeted
Replying to @FrankCappelleri
Correct. Of the 8 previous times 4 times it was higher 1 month later and 4 times lower:
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Optuma retweeted
$SPX just triggered a fresh Optex Bands exhaustion reading. The last time this signal fired was at the April low. The daily swing is still DOWN, but this entire flush is happening inside structure, not breaking it. Optex only fires when momentum reaches a true extreme, and this is one of those zones. Optex Bands is a proprietary tool from @Optuma and when it fires, I pay attention. $SPY $QQQ
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Optuma retweeted
$SPX Quarterly Structure (from the Credit Crisis Low) • 2009–2015: +220% in 25 quarters → 15% quarterly resets. • 2016–2022: +166% in 24 quarters → 27% cyclical resets • 2022–Now: +98% in 12 quarters — mid-cycle advance 🌀 Rhythm & geometry intact. 📏 200% Fib projection (1810 → 4818 → 3491) = 9500 target. Every cycle run ~6 yrs before reset — next top could align with 2027–2028. Started at the Credit Crisis low (666.79) — this is not a trader’s chart; it’s an investor’s map. $SPY $QQQ @Optuma
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Optuma retweeted
📊 $SPX Seasonality Alert 🚨 Today is Sept 19th. History shows the last week of September is the weakest stretch of the year. From Sept 24–30, markets average -0.40% to -0.60% per day 📉 Even with the swing still UP, seasonality warns of selling pressure into month-end. 🗓️ Quarter-end flows + weak seasonality = caution zone. Trade what you see, not what you think. ✅ Have a great weekend. Thank you. $SPY $QQQ @Optuma
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