Professor at the University of Utah; opinions are my own. Written some books about marriage & divorce. NAGA winner. Pot-bellied pig owner. No Substack.

El Cerrito, CA & SLC, UT
Joined October 2014
I'm pleased to announce the publication of Professors Speak Out: The Truth About Campus Investigations. Its participants tell stories about Twitter mobs, trumped up charges, & institutional bad faith from folks like @LiamOMaraIV, @PsychRabble, @eweissunburied, & @natehoneycutt.
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In fairness, it was only a mini-investigation this time.
New guest post by @NickWolfinger, who is being investigated AGAIN (for nothing, really). Link in reply. "Last week my department chair, whom I’ll call Eleanor, requested an urgent meeting ... Eleanor informed me that there had been six complaints about me. These complaints had been received at the university’s Office of the Dean of Students and communicated to the Office for Faculty ..."
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Spot anything misleading about this chart?
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Truly devastating news for family formation in America. Median mortgage payments doubled since just 2020 (!) from ☑️ $1040 in 2020 ☑️ $2056 in 2025 This matters because we know the cost of SFHs is a powerful predictor of marriage and childbearing.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
“Recent college graduates are now more likely to be unemployed than the workforce as a whole, a reversal of the usual pattern, and roughly 4 in 10 are working in jobs that don’t require their degrees,” by @ariel_kalil in the @chicagotribune: chicagotribune.com/2026/09/2…
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Over time, fewer married people reported one lifetime partner, while more reported between two and 10 partners. Higher levels of promiscuity remain relatively uncommon. High promiscuity is more common for men than for women, but it has been increasing for women and decreasing for men. Chart via @NickWolfinger
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Support for same-sex marriage really hits an inflection point for most religious groups when comparing weekly attenders vs everyone else. For evangelicals, support goes from 49% to 21% when comparing monthly attenders to weekly attenders. It drops 13 pts for mainline. 14 points for Black Protestants. For Catholics, it's down 16 points. Orthodox Christianity is a 33 points decline. But it's the largest among Jews - 37 pts.
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Quantitative types only: can anyone make an intelligent case for why either fractional polynomial regression or LASSO regression exist? It appears that fractional polynomial regression has been used in a single empirical paper. Did I miss something? jstor.org/stable/26538632?ca…
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Do the “universities are hotbeds of Marxist indoctrination” people have a favored explanation for why all of these alleged vipers dens of anti-capitalism primarily produce graduates that staff the Fortune 500?
When a large majority of graduates have a better opinion of socialism than capitalism, I think whether their professors identified as Marxist is missing the point. It's obviously leftist economics and history they were taught. Is that strictly "Marxism"? Choose your Scotsman.
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Thread, & some qualifiers. 1, these numbers cry out for denominators. 2, the presence of these terms may reflect Mellon’s priorities, not those of grant recipients. More than once I’ve added gratuitous boilerplate to mollify a journal or foundation.
On the academia is full of Marxists debate: it’s illustrative to look at Mellon, the largest source of academic humanities funding by orders of magnitude. Projects tagged w/ Marxism in their grant database? 0 Gender studies? 46 Black studies? 25 Social Justice? 42 Latinx? 451
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RIP Rep. Barney Frank, a modern icon of liberalism.
Barney Frank was one of a kind. For more than three decades in Congress, he fought tirelessly for the people of Massachusetts, helped make housing more affordable, stood up for the rights of LGBTQ+ Americans, and helped pass one of the most sweeping financial reforms in history designed to protect consumers and prevent another financial crisis. Barney’s passion and wit were second to none, and our thoughts are with his family today.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
$22,567 per day. That’s what Perry County, TN will pay Larry Bushart for every day it kept him in jail over a Trump meme. He lost 37 days of his life and his job, and missed his anniversary and the birth of his grandchild. All for speech the First Amendment protects. Proud that @TheFIREorg helped Larry fight back and win, and even prouder that the First Amendment still has teeth.
Last year, the police jailed Larry Bushart for 37 days on a $2M bond for posting a meme after Charlie Kirk’s murder. With our help, Larry sued Perry County, TN, and its sheriff for violating his rights in retaliation for his protected speech. He has received a $835K settlement.
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Thread, with an interesting result about marriage intentions. Question: are there differences between lottery players and non-players? NB @BradWilcoxIFS
Newly published: men who win the lottery are more likely to get married and have children. Women who win the lottery aren't. As in the Baby Boom: there was good income for young men (but not women) which boosted marriage and fertility.
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For what it's worth, here's what @claudeai thinks 86 means.
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Who's lamenting the falling teen birth rate? This seems like a strawman to me.
🧵In an upside down world, we are currently lamenting the fact that the teen birth rate is low, that teens are not having sex, and that teens are drinking less (as if these bad things). The only drinking teens do is binge drinking, btw. Yes, phone isolation is a problem but. . .
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
It would be terrible. A huge proportion of women would not be able to find mates, they would end up bitter & then take out their bitterness on the world. Anything outside a 50/50 ratio is a recipe for trouble. xitter.cf/lost_nomad__/status/20…
Of course, I don’t approve of this negativity toward men. It’s repulsive But the effect of having a gender skew toward female might be positive. Is there a reason to believe we wouldn’t all be happier with, say, 55% women and 45% men?
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"Although we tend to worry more about girls’ disadvantages in math and science, boys’ disadvantage in reading is much larger and more consistent."
"For reading and science as personal strengths, they found larger sex differences in more gender equal nations - an example of a common phenomenon known as the gender-equality paradox, and a decisive refutation of the social-constructionist view." stevestewartwilliams.com/p/t…
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The UK trend seems like an obvious Brexit hangover, but what's happened with South Korean men?
Replying to @MichaelAArouet
An ongoing ad global pattern
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
I did not realize that Egypt, India, and Malaysia were hard into "late-stage feminism." Birth rates are declining everywhere.
You cannot have widespread late-stage feminism AND high birth rates. It's not complicated. Economic conversations are tertiary at best.
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Nicholas H Wolfinger retweeted
Budget modelers going to be the last ones still paying federal income tax
Thank you so much to the Clark County Sheriff’s office for taking me out for a ride along. It’s an honor to get a chance to see what you’re up against firsthand. In DC, I’m working to provide tax relief on the first $100,000 of federal income tax for law enforcement. We need to think creatively about how to support law enforcement and first responder health and wellness. Read the full story: tinyurl.com/4ncmssvj
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