Good Morning Dockside Dispatch Monday, 19 October 2026 Cainhoy Peninsula, South Carolina From the Cainhoy dock. Gray light comes up slow over the Wando. The wind has eased off the spartina, and the river lies flat and pewter. An egret lifts from the far bank and drifts downstream. The watcher holds. Quick Pulse S&P fut 7739.75 VIX 18.63 Brent 108.44 DXY 101.88 Diesel 6.3187 Regular 4.2953 10-year 5.08 Geopol Whisper Day 234 of the U.S.-Iran conflict. Hormuz. IRGC Navy says an unidentified oil tanker struck a mine, exploded and caught fire in the southern strait Sunday. No crew account or independent confirmation. Diplomacy. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned President Donald Trump against renewed strikes Sunday: “Be careful; we have unfinished jobs too.” Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is due in Tehran Monday. He says the talks aim to prevent a return to large-scale war. Count. UKMTO recorded ten attacks on commercial vessels in and near Hormuz last week. October is already the worst month there since the early days of the war in March. Tropics Atlantic. NHC’s 8 AM outlook places a storm-force non-tropical low a few hundred miles off the Southeast coast. It could briefly become subtropical later this week. Formation odds: near 0 percent in 48 hours, 40 percent in seven days. High winds, coastal flooding and dangerous surf are expected along parts of the East Coast regardless. South Carolina. NWS Charleston keeps a high rip-current risk in effect through this evening for Charleston, Beaufort, coastal Colleton and coastal Jasper beaches. North Carolina. Coastal Flood Warnings remain for Hatteras and Ocracoke islands through Tuesday afternoon. Wind Advisories cover the Outer Banks and Eastern Currituck. Virginia and Maryland. Coastal flood advisories cover Virginia Beach and parts of Hampton Roads. Coastal Flood Watches are posted for the Maryland beaches and Virginia’s Eastern Shore. Western Pacific. NWS Guam’s 7 PM Monday advisory places Category 5 Super Typhoon Champi about 470 miles west of Guam, moving west-northwest at 9 mph with 160 mph winds. It forecasts strengthening through Tuesday, followed by gradual weakening. Taiwan’s weather agency says a sea warning could come Wednesday night. Eastern Pacific. Trudy is weakening at 60 mph. A separate disturbance south of Guatemala has a 50 percent chance of development in 48 hours and 90 percent in seven days. NHC expects it to remain well south of Mexico. Lowcountry Lesson A flat river after a blow is a good time to walk the dock and look. Loose boards show themselves when nothing is moving. Grateful for everyone holding the line this morning. DYOR. NFA. Throne fortified. Kingdom vigilant. Unbroken. 🔥 King of Cainhoy🇺🇸🔥 Operation Lowcountry Wildfire Intelligence Cainhoy Peninsula, South Carolina 🔥👑 The Fixed Perch holds.

Night Dockside Dispatch Sunday, 18 October 2026 Cainhoy Peninsula, South Carolina From the Cainhoy dock. The Wando is dark beyond the dock light. Wind moves through the spartina, and water presses softly against the pilings. A heron calls once down the bank. The watcher holds. Quick Pulse S&P 7748.25 VIX 19.99 Brent 108.05 DXY 101.84 Diesel 6.3224 Regular 4.2988 10-year 5.10 Geopol Whisper Day 233 of the U.S.-Iran conflict. Hormuz. JMIC’s 18 October advisory finds no substantiation for IRGC Navy claims that two supertankers struck mines. Independent tracking shows single-digit transits. U.S. naval data puts assisted traffic at roughly 28 daily over 72 hours. CENTCOM. Spokesperson Capt. Tim Hawkins says roughly 97 percent of ships seeking passage transited without being hit. U.S. forces report redirecting 138 commercial vessels under the blockade of Iranian ports. Arabian Gulf. JMIC raised its threat level to SUBSTANTIAL following the 16 October tanker attacks off Al Jubayl and navigation interference. Seatrade Maritime identifies one vessel as the VLCC ST3, managed by an AD Ports Group subsidiary. Crew safe. Tropics Atlantic. NHC’s 8 PM outlook raises seven-day development odds to 40 percent for a storm-force non-tropical low forming off the Southeast coast. Forty-eight-hour odds remain zero. Subtropical development is possible later this week over the Gulf Stream. High winds, coastal flooding and dangerous surf remain concerns regardless of development. North Carolina. Coastal Flood Warnings cover Hatteras and Ocracoke. High wind watches and a wind advisory cover portions of the Outer Banks. Coastal flood advisories and watches also cover Currituck. Virginia and Maryland. Coastal flood advisories and watches cover portions of Hampton Roads, Virginia Beach, the Maryland beaches and the Eastern Shore. Western Pacific. NWS Guam places Typhoon Champi 345 miles west of Guam, moving west-northwest at 14 mph with 140 mph winds. Renewed super typhoon strength is possible. No Marianas watches or warnings. Mexico. NHC reports Trudy at 100 mph. All warnings discontinued; rapid weakening expected tonight. Lowcountry Lesson A sound knot holds because of the care taken before it carries weight. Grateful for everyone holding the line tonight. DYOR. NFA. Throne fortified. Kingdom vigilant. Unbroken. 🔥 King of Cainhoy🇺🇸🔥 Operation Lowcountry Wildfire Intelligence Cainhoy Peninsula, South Carolina 🔥👑 The Fixed Perch holds.

Good Morning Dockside Dispatch Sunday, 18 October 2026 Cainhoy Peninsula, South Carolina From the Cainhoy dock. Clear morning on the Wando. A cool wind moves through the spartina, and sunlight reaches the far bank. The watcher holds. Quick Pulse S&P 7659.44 VIX 19.99 Brent 109.86 DXY 101.84 Diesel 6.3224 Regular 4.2988 10-year 5.10 Geopol Whisper Day 233 of the U.S.-Iran conflict. Hormuz. IRGC Navy claims a second laden supertanker struck a mine Saturday. Vessel unidentified. Claim unconfirmed. UKMTO’s reported count reached at least 10 vessels attacked in seven days through Saturday, a wartime weekly high; 23 since 1 October. UAE. Two unknown projectiles struck a tug northeast of Khor Fakkan Sunday. One minor injury, vessel damage. Tug continued its voyage, UKMTO reports. Diplomacy. Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi says Iran’s reopening proposal remains available: lift the U.S. port blockade and oil sanctions, end regional hostilities. He claims passage could resume within six days of acceptance. Washington wants nuclear concessions addressed first. No agreement announced. Tropics Atlantic. A storm-force non-tropical low is expected off the Southeast coast today or tonight. Seven-day subtropical development odds: 30 percent. High winds, coastal flooding and dangerous surf remain threats regardless of classification. Guam and Rota. Champi passed just south of Guam as a Category 4 super typhoon. Its compact core concentrated typhoon-force winds over southern Guam. NWS’s midday update retained Typhoon Warnings for Guam and Rota; tropical cyclone warnings for Tinian and Saipan were canceled. Taiwan. Possible approach later this week. A crossing remains among forecast scenarios. Track unresolved. Mexico. Trudy carries 105 mph winds. Hurricane Warning: Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes. Heavy rain, flash flooding and mudslides remain threats as the center tracks near the coast. Lowcountry Lesson Low water shows you where the footing ends. Pay attention while you can still see it. Grateful for everyone holding the line this morning. DYOR. NFA. Throne fortified. Kingdom vigilant. Unbroken. 🔥 King of Cainhoy🇺🇸🔥 Operation Lowcountry Wildfire Intelligence Cainhoy Peninsula, South Carolina 🔥👑 The Fixed Perch holds.