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Polar Vortex Day 2026
Why do we track the #PolarVortex ?
Watch and find out!
It was a pleasure meeting all the folks that came out to celebrate the return of the Polar Vortex to the Northern Hemisphere with the 6th Annual Polar Vortex Day at the North Pole inside Knoebels Amusement Resort
Winter Forecast Season has Officially Begun!
#winteriscoming
#wxtwitter #wxX
Woah now... Don't threaten me with a good time! 🤩
Both the latest GFS and European Ensembles are suggesting the Polar Vortex is going to be doing exactly what a winter lover would want to see from it in early November! Big stretch towards North America!
Will that pattern lock in??
If we can get these stretches to continue, Winter is going to be very exciting in the Eastern US.
#winteriscoming #PolarVortex #wxtwitter #wxX
I feel really bad for this meteorologist being forced to report on this “Dangerous Nor’Easter” for apparently an audience of fish. 🐟 🐠 🫧
#wxtwitter #wxX
NOAA's Winter Forecast has a clear bias during El Nino winters...
Ralph (@WeatherNut27) has created a visual comparison of their forecast vs what actually happened.
Here, I have created an approximate visual representation of the average forecast error (actual − favored/expected tendency) during El Niño winters.
Positive values (warmer colors) on this map indicate regions where actual temperatures were warmer than the forecast tendency implied; cooler colors indicate the opposite. Note: This is a qualitative composite for illustration, not a pixel-exact digitization.
Conclusion: NOAA is often way too warm across the Northern US and too cold across the Southern US with their winter forecasts during El Nino years.
NOAA's forecast error last winter was pretty dramatic for the Eastern US and the NW US. These two areas saw the complete opposite of what was forecast.
#winteriscoming #wxtwitter #wxX
The Polar Vortex is preparing to do a big stretch towards North America just before Halloween.
I'm sure Dr @judah47 will have much to say about this in his blog this week.
#PV #PolarVortex #wxtwitter #wxX
I’m currently under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch AND a Freeze Watch at the same time.
#NEPA #PAwx
#wxtwitter #wxX
The skies have cleared over the Wyoming Valley of NEPA, Central Susquehanna Valley of CPA, and much of SEPA this afternoon which has increased our chances for Severe Thunderstorms #PAwx #wxtwitter #wxX
⚠️Severe Weather Possible Today⚠️
Wind Damage is the primary threat.
Areas that are seeing some clearing ahead of the front are at an increased risk compared to cloudy locations.
#wxtwitter #wxX
I can't wait to be stuck in traffic and see a Tesla Roadster suddenly go rocketship mode over my head.
Halloween Storm?
The long range CFS Model seems to be eyeing up a high amplitude (+PNA/-NAO) storm around Halloween that could have snow on the NW flank. (This seems to be at least in part due to a stretching of the Polar Vortex just prior to Halloween.)
Now, as I'm sure you are all aware, just because a storm is shown on a model, doesn't mean it's going to happen, especially when we're looking at extremely long ranges like this...
However, the CFS can be a good tool when it shows a consistent signal (as it is now)... it won't get the storm details exactly right at this range, but every once in a while it sees something first that then gets handed off to the medium range models like the European, GFS, Canadian, etc...
I'll be interested to see if those other models start seeing a storm for Halloween once they are in range.
#wxtwitter #wxX
2 Things I like about October:
Spooky Season and the First Snows
We could see scenes like this in our area Friday night into Saturday morning!
#PAwx #NYwx #VTwx #wxtwitter #wxX
I hereby decree that from this day forward 10/10 will be regarded every year on my page as “Remember Jill Day”.
She was here for the start of my professional career, traveled with me on many of my snow chases, and I owe a big part of my personality to my experience raising her.
She is missed not just by me, but also her best fur friend Mister Kitty…
She will never be forgotten!
And lastly, to everyone who’s been reaching out with comments and messages:
Thank you from the bottom of my heart for your compassion, empathy, and support.
❤️
Who rescued who?
Some of my favorite memories with my sweet little girl Jill 🐶
Rest in Peace my cutie pie! 🥰
#dog






















