Joined January 2022
Hang in there... With $IREN, and so many other AI / data center stocks getting absolutely destroyed in the market, it’s imperative to stay focused on the fundamentals and not get swayed by price action. $IREN's fundamentals have only gotten stronger this year, and its capital strategy is built to weather exactly this kind of financing backdrop, with rising yields and increasingly selective lenders. NFA, but $IREN below $30 is an absolute STEAL if you ask me, and I’ve been in the stock since ~$4.80. To all our subs: I’m currently working on a very interesting post breaking down where $IREN could be headed from here over a multi-year period. Will be out next week. More on this soon. Hang in there, and keep your eye on the fundamentals. Think long-term. Cheers ✌️
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Dallas Brodie and One BC won this debate tonight.
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Doing an $IREN themed space this Sunday at 9PM ET. Join me and @bitcoinbutcher1 for an hour of everything IREN and AI. RSVP below, will be recorded. xitter.cf/i/spaces/1AKEmvLabQgKL…
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.@lukepbeasley challenges @Timcast and @JackPosobiec at the University of Chicago's @ThinkerChicago Forum: "Do you agree that all of the major economic metrics have gotten WORSE since Trump took office?" Tim fires back with a defense of Trump's accomplishments, as they go back and forth over the president's economic record.
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DMG is now trading under asset value, by a lot, and their BTC HODL is once again 47% of their entire market cap. This, with a $1B potential data center deal sitting in the hopper. Just amazing. Laughable really. @dmgblockchain CC: Sheldon and Steven $DMGI $DMGGF
Google has to halt datacenter work in Finland… Then there was the Oracle site halted in New Mexico, and other issues in Wisconsin. Canadian land, power, and shell looking really good. $DMGI $DMGGF @dmgblockchain
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Replying to @SemiAnalysis_
“and Mackenzie”… do you guys have no shame? That site isn’t even live yet. And as Kent Draper clarified in response to your recent hit piece, their CUSTOMERS preferred faster access to compute and were willing to compromise on redundancy as $IREN upgraded the Prince George site from mining to AI cloud. $IREN didn’t “cut corners”… customers wanted quicker access to compute and were willing to eat some temporary downtime in exchange as the site was being upgraded. That’s why companies like TogetherAi, which you referenced in your original hit piece as your primary source, RENEWED / extended their contract with $IREN… oh the irony. This is so misleading. Very convenient for you to leave this context out. Honestly, I think it’s time for you to get sued for libel. Truly the TMZ of the data center industry... extremely pathetic.
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You love to see it. 🧡
The world's attitude to Bitcoin mining is changing rapidly For example, I just spent the weekend visiting 3 landfills where that country's government's environmental ministry identified that Bitcoin mining is the best solution to remove their hazardous methane emissions
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$WULF just increased its contracted power pipeline. Due to strong customer interest, TeraWulf has secured the next 500 MW of planned power capacity at its Muskie site in Eastern Kentucky with an amended and restated electric service agreement with Kentucky Power. Planned delivery for the additional 500 MW has now accelerated to 2029. 👇
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Bitcoin/gold performing marvelously for a global bond meltdown
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Best $IREN TA: Kishan Patel $IREN is a stock heavily influenced by market makers and @kishawn07 reads counter position very well. Kishan > Dylan.
$IREN Aight, I’m the other Patel. Not the wannabe SemiAnalysis guy who likes spreading FUD. Found some interesting data here…to create a potential crazy theory. IV ( Image 1) - We’re sitting near the floor of our historical IV range. The data shows an IV percentile around 2%—meaning IV was lower on only about 2% of trading days over the past year. Roughly five sessions. That’s low. -If I were selling covered calls here, I’d think twice about how much I’m getting paid to cap my upside. Collecting pennies while potentially handing over the good part of the move isn’t exactly my idea of a great deal. - On the buying side, this makes me interested in looking at LEAPS. Potentially more bang for your buck if those contracts’ own IV is also depressed. - Bottom yellow line lines up with the early-January rally and the April moves into and after earnings rally . The most recent IV spike started September 3, alongside the first rally wave of this current uptrend the last two weeks. . Now we’re back around the IV level from just before that move. What happens next??? Triangle TA ( Image 2) - Look at this giant triangle. -On the topside : three rejections around $49.30: the Horizon 1 release, the September 8th peak, and the latest Wednesday rejection. Underneath is the support line for the rally that started September 3. - Same ceiling, rising floor, less room to move. - We dropped to $46 in two days. Would it be shocking if we got it back in one day? Not really the craziest thing this stock has done. Open interest ( Image 3) -Then there’s the 18K+ open interest at the $50 call strike for the expiry shown. -If we push into $48.50–$49 and keep pressing toward $50, and dealers are net short those calls, increasing delta could make them buy more shares to hedge. That buying could help fuel the move = can someone say GAMMA SQUEEZE fuel. GEX + Shorts ( Image 4) - Now add potential short covering. Shorts ( 82 million shares currently short) have been adding off the $49.3 over and over again on each attempt. If IREN goes for this again= can someone say SHORT SQUEEZE fuel. COMPRESSION + LOW IV + GAMMA SQUEEZE + SHORT COVERING. Time to cook. We got enough ingredients together to make a run at that $50 wall. Oh don't forget about the potential end of the Iran war, a China-USA deal, a possible Anthropic S-1 drop any day now ( Fridays are more likely then most days for that if you wanted to know). Calm before the storm? Now let’s see if this thing actually lights the fuse. 💣💥
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$IREN: SemiAnalysis crossed a line… If you recall my post from yesterday, I wasn’t going to keep dragging this topic out. $IREN clearly intends to handle the situation pragmatically and collaboratively instead of turning it into a public fight with @SemiAnalysis_, and I didn’t want to stand in the way of that by pouring gasoline on the fire. However, after hearing what none other than Kent Draper, $IREN's Chief Commercial Officer, had to say yesterday, I don’t think I can stay quiet on it anymore... There are several parts of Semi’s portrayal of $IREN that deserve additional context, because once you hear IREN's side of the story, some of the claims in Semi’s ClusterMAX report start to look very different. Kent went on @McnallieM yesterday for a 1 hour interview and, toward the very end, directly addressed the new ClusterMAX ranking and the accusations surrounding $IREN's Prince George site. I’ve attached his full response below because I think everyone should hear it for themselves. But read this post first, then watch the clip... It hits much harder with the full context and my added commentary. The first issue starts with the ranking methodology itself. ClusterMAX explicitly says it is ranking managed Slurm and Kubernetes clusters. Yet as Kent confirmed, $IREN does not even have a live managed-services environment today. Investors following the company already knew this. Managed services are a capability IREN is only now building out following the @MirantisIT acquisition, which brought in the orchestration layer and enterprise cloud expertise needed to move beyond predominantly bare-metal compute. That immediately raises a pretty obvious question: If ClusterMAX is specifically a ranking of managed clusters, and $IREN does not currently have a managed cluster product available for Semi to test, why is IREN being ranked as "Underperforming" in the first place? The fair classification was always "Unavailable". That may technically sit below Underperforming on the ranking, but the implication is completely different. Unavailable simply tells the reader that there was no qualifying product available to test. Underperforming tells the reader that Semi tested $IREN's managed offering and found it poor. According to Kent, they couldn’t have done that because the product isn’t live yet. This becomes even stranger when Semi goes as far as recommending that $IREN “stop pretending to offer managed clusters and inference endpoints” because of the supposed shortcomings of those services. How exactly do you reach a conclusion on the quality of a managed service that has not launched? If anything, the limited evidence we currently have around $IREN's forthcoming managed-services capabilities points in the opposite direction. Kent specifically said IREN has already signed managed-services clusters with NVIDIA for its own internal R&D workloads. That sits alongside NVIDIA’s broader five-year, $3.4B cloud agreement with $IREN across 60MW of capacity. NVIDIA obviously understands GPU infrastructure better than virtually anyone on the planet, and as Kent pointed out, they conducted extensive diligence around $IREN's ability to deliver before signing a contract of that size for their own workloads. So before $IREN's managed-services platform has even properly launched, one of the first companies willing to underwrite it is NVIDIA itself. Semi somehow found room to tell IREN to stop marketing a service that isn’t live yet, but apparently didn’t find that worth discussing... Then we get to Prince George, which is where most of the really aggressive language in Semi’s write-up comes from. Kent did not deny that Prince George has experienced issues, nor did he try to pretend the site was built from day one like IREN's newer AI infrastructure. He explained that Prince George was originally a Bitcoin mining facility that $IREN has been retrofitting for AI compute, and the company was installing additional power redundancy as part of that process. The important part is WHY the GPUs came online before all of that redundancy was finished. According to Kent, customers wanted access to the compute as quickly as possible. $IREN therefore brought the GPUs online while the redundancy buildout was still progressing, and those customers were fully aware of the setup from the beginning. That is a very different picture from IREN secretly cutting corners, handing customers an inferior product and then getting caught after the fact. It was a known tradeoff... Customers wanted the GPUs immediately, $IREN had the capacity available, and they were willing to accept reduced redundancy during the retrofit in exchange for getting access to scarce compute sooner. And today, the very power redundancy Semi criticized as “missing” is already being commissioned. There is also a pretty funny detail here that I think deserves more attention. The only customer relationship Semi actually names in connection with the Prince George problems is TogetherAI (@togethercompute). Semi tested Together capacity running out of Prince George and says it knows of multiple unhappy Together customers using that infrastructure. Semi also claims to have heard complaints from customers renting directly from $IREN, but none of those customers are identified. Meanwhile, Kent confirmed in the exact same interview that Together recently renewed or expanded its relationship with IREN. In other words, the one company sitting between Semi and the Prince George cluster they use as their clearest example of $IREN's supposed unreliability decided to do more business with IREN. That doesn’t mean an outage never happened or that every downstream Together customer had a flawless experience. It does, however, make the broader portrayal of Prince George as some completely dysfunctional operation rather difficult to square with the commercial behavior of the customer Semi itself links most directly to the site. If the experience was truly as irredeemable as the language in ClusterMAX suggests, why is Together signing up for more? The fiber accusation gets even more interesting... Semi specifically mocked Prince George for supposedly having a single Internet Service Provider (ISP) with no redundancy. Yet, Kent directly contradicted that. $IREN does have redundant fiber at Prince George. What happened over the summer was that wildfires in British Columbia damaged parts of the surrounding fiber network, temporarily reducing the level of redundancy available to the site. Those are two very different things... A site being architected without redundant fiber is an infrastructure decision, while a site having redundant fiber and then temporarily losing portions of that redundancy because wildfires physically damaged external lines is an operational event. Yet if you only read Semi’s version, you would walk away believing $IREN simply built the site with one ISP and called it a day. Prince George also tells you very little about how IREN’s next generation of infrastructure is being built. Kent confirmed that Horizon, the future Childress deployments and Sweetwater will incorporate full power, mechanical and cooling redundancy from day one, including full concurrent maintainability. Semi itself even acknowledges that Childress and Sweetwater look considerably better than Prince George. Which makes the attempt to use a retrofitted Bitcoin mining facility in Northern Canada as some sweeping indictment of where $IREN's cloud platform is heading even more questionable. Reporting genuine outages, reliability problems or customer complaints is completely fair game. I want publications like Semi digging into that stuff. But there is a difference between reporting those problems and taking issues at one transitional retrofit site, assigning an Underperforming rating to a managed service the company doesn’t even offer yet, telling $IREN to stop pretending it offers that service, calling Prince George the “#1 worst site in the industry according to some anonymous users”, and then suggesting NVIDIA’s involvement might help IREN “cut less corners this time around.” That is where, in my opinion, the report crossed from analysis into grandstanding... Especially when a considerable amount of the missing context could have been cleared up with a direct conversation with $IREN. And that brings me back to how IREN itself handled this. I have never shied away from criticizing $IREN's investor relations and communication when I thought they deserved it. I dedicated an entire section of our latest earnings report to the issue and have raised it publicly numerous times over the past year. But I’ve also been equally vocal in recent weeks about the improvement I’ve seen. There has been a meaningful uptick in investor communication, more context coming directly from management, and a much greater effort to shape the company’s own narrative before somebody else shapes it for them. This situation is another example where I genuinely could not have asked for a better response. $IREN didn’t put out some dramatic press release attacking Semi. They also didn’t start throwing accusations around on social media, and they didn’t turn a research report into a corporate feud that would only give the entire story more oxygen. Instead, their Chief Commercial Officer went onto an investor podcast, answered the question directly, explained the facts behind the situation and left it there. No grandstanding, no personal attacks, just context. At the same time, as I mentioned yesterday, IREN appears intent on working more closely with publications like Semi as its managed-services platform actually rolls out, which is exactly the right approach from a corporate perspective. There is zero reason to burn bridges with an influential industry publication when you can instead give them access to the real product once it exists and let the results speak for themselves. As a shareholder, I couldn’t be happier with how $IREN handled this. And massive credit to @McnallieM for hosting another excellent interview and asking Kent the question directly. This entire discussion would have remained one-sided without it. Now everyone has both sides of the story. Watch Kent’s full response below. Cheers! ✌️
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Amazing interview today as we were joined by @IREN_Ltd CCO @kentpdraper! A lot of info covered on this interview including AI pricing & power allocations, Horizon 1-4, and the international expansion in Spain & Australia!!! 🔥🔥🔥 $IREN youtu.be/W1Z_O1zlZlc
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Issues with ClusterMax 3.0 1. $ORCL had a huge security breach today (1) and is somehow ranked above AWS and Azure. 2. Firmus AI has a grand total 32 racks / 256 GPU H200s (2) generating 32m ARR and is a better AI cloud than AWS. 3. Cursor’s Composer Model was trained on FireworksAI (3), ChatGPT was trained on Azure, and Claude trained on AWS. None of these are apparently top AI Clouds. None of the top AI models are from “top AI clouds”. Hmm… ClusterMax is clearly pay to rank ad. (1) xitter.cf/rdd147/status/21026490… (2) firmus.co/newsroom/ai-singap… - site taken down but you can get the archived info from ChatGPT (3) cursor.com/blog/composer-2-t… (list FireworksAI and Colfax as collaborators)
ClusterMAX 3.0 is here! ClusterMAX 3.0 debuts with a comprehensive review of the neocloud industry, covering 77 providers. We increase our market view to cover 323 providers, up from 209 in ClusterMAX 2.0, 169 in ClusterMAX 1.0, and 124 in the original AI Neocloud Playbook and Anatomy article. We have now interviewed well over 200 end users of neoclouds as part of this research. We update our itemized list of criteria across 10 categories, and update our direct descriptions of our expectations for Slurm, Kubernetes, Standalone Machines, Monitoring Dashboards, and Health Checks. All of this content is live on our website. We encourage providers to use these lists when developing their offerings. We still consider these lists as an amalgamation of our experience interviewing end users, making them representative of the features that end users expect from their cloud providers. Nebius joins CoreWeave in the Platinum tier. While CoreWeave still sets the technical bar for others to follow, Nebius is now established as a provider that consistently commands a premium pricing over others. Strong business decisions by Nebius have put them in a position to serve an entire class of neolabs at seller’s prices. Google Cloud joins Oracle in the Gold tier. Azure moves to Silver, Fluidstack moves to Unavailable, and Crusoe drops to Bronze. Lambda, Firmus and TensorWave remain in Silver, while GMI moves up to Silver from Bronze. Many companies drop from Silver (or Gold) to Bronze or lower. We raise the bar this round as only 19 neoclouds globally achieve a Medallion rating. We establish a tier between Bronze and Underperforming: the Participation Ribbon tier. 15 providers join this rating, which more accurately describes our opinion that they do the bare minimum to get by.
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Today’s action in UST markets was simply the latest and most glaring example of the “Powell’s Dilemma” that Warsh now faces 👇
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WHAT A TIMING FOR $IREN SWEETWATER BEING INCLUDED IN ERCOT’S BATCH ZERO ON SEPTEMBER 8. This is the most tolerant state for data center halting all state issued permits until grid audit is complete. "Pending data centers are required to report on their plans for electricity use, water use, neighborhood impacts, and more." $IREN has been ahead of the herd since 2018.
🚨BREAKING🚨 $IREN 2GW Sweetwater Hub Included as Base Load in ERCOT Batch Zero
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$IREN is working together with the city of Childress to distribute FREE cases of drinking water to locals that need it @nicoletakespics and Meals on Wheels will even deliver it to the people that can't pick it up themselves @IREN_Ltd stepping up to do the right thing Bravo 👏
Wake up America! This is Julie Waters. An actual lawyer with a degree at the Texas Bar. This woman is hired by the anti Data Center machine to sway the minds of the working people to believe in the AI boogeyman. Julie is very sad, as you can clearly see in the picture. Nothing suggests that this was acting, so without further evidence, she will be declared sad until proven secretly happy. And she's not sad because she's poor, oh no, she's actually doing very well for herself, which is remarkable giving her last name, in this day and age. But let's not focus on her fortune for now. Yes sir, Julie Waters is here to tell you how bad the situation is in Texas, and it's all the fault of the Data Centers! Did you not know that Data Centers are responsible for global warming, drought, covid, and basically the only reason for inequality in the world? AI won't even have to kill you if you live in Texas, because according to Julie Waters you will already be dead well before that from boiling your water every day to take a shower. Be empathetic please, this is a very serious situation. $IREN and @Lancium are in Childress to steal your water, and apparently not to help America dominate China and the CCP in the global race to ASI. Well you know what? I say we expose this CCP pion, and make sure that Texas stays open for business, and this psyop about data centers ends here. We need representing at the bottom of the barrel, give her your all, link below 👇
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Great context Dan. Few have this much visibility into the different demand / supply dynamics across the AI industry than you guys. This sort of transparency goes a long way!
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