@MNupdate

FO CIO. Markets, global economy, local (Minnesota) news. Opinions expressed are my own and do not express the views or opinions of my employer

 Minneapolis, MN
Joined September 2011
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Yup. Confirmed.
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Leopold to Citadel part deux? A legendary L/S HF manager (now in mid 70’s) once asked me “how many hedge fund managers who blew up, blow up again?” The answer from him was, “all of them”.
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This must be what it feels like to be a Bessent LP. Positions bleeding out as the world redeems around you while the GP’s excuses keep changing. Maybe another Blaise Pascal quote will help?
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Version with just the spread and a LT average - 2021 level of earnings optimism
Kevin Gordon
@KevRGordonOct 2
There's about a 5-point spread between the S&P 500's forward and trailing 12m P/E
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Saw this chart and had to run it myself. 3-month correlation breakdown of SP500 vs SP500 EW is more extreme now than tech bubble.
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Long Garbage Trucks (early AI adopters) / Short AI CapEx spenders, seems logical at this stage.
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Replying to @biancoresearch
@biancoresearch
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Replying to @jimwpaulsen
The Russell 1000 Value return was driven primarily by AI. It's the same trade, Jim. Below are the largest 2yr contributors to the Russell 1000 Value's outperformance versus the SP500.
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Great timing after 4yrs of absolute factor dominance. Now is the time for momentum? Ride the lightening, Fido retail.
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