FO CIO. Markets, global economy, local (Minnesota) news. Opinions expressed are my own and do not express the views or opinions of my employer

Minneapolis, MN
Joined September 2011
Leopold to Citadel part deux? A legendary L/S HF manager (now in mid 70’s) once asked me “how many hedge fund managers who blew up, blow up again?” The answer from him was, “all of them”.
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PB desks have to be busy today. Wow. HF favorites getting nuked.
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Advance notice: Friday’s GS Prime Services Weekly Report will show today as a bigly HF deleveraging day
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Now benchmarking to Situational Awareness LP #dynamicbenchmarking
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CIO of The North retweeted
I don’t think you have a dog in this fight but if you did you would have shot it.
I’ll take @ellalangleymsic over Kacey Musgraves any day. And if I’m choosin’ Texas, I’ll take Ken Paxton over James Talarico.
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This must be what it feels like to be a Bessent LP. Positions bleeding out as the world redeems around you while the GP’s excuses keep changing. Maybe another Blaise Pascal quote will help?
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Version with just the spread and a LT average - 2021 level of earnings optimism
There's about a 5-point spread between the S&P 500's forward and trailing 12m P/E
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Never been easier to diversify within a single asset class?
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Saw this chart and had to run it myself. 3-month correlation breakdown of SP500 vs SP500 EW is more extreme now than tech bubble.
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87.7% of the SP500 is >10% below ATH. 61.9% are > 20% below ATH, and 43.3% are >30% below ATH. Meanwhile, 45% of the index has NEGATIVE 3-month beta and moves inversely with the SP500. Wild.
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CIO of The North retweeted
All time for real 30s (TIPS).
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Howard appears to be the same age as Warren.
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As Clark Griswold said, “If I woke up tomorrow with my head sewn to the carpet, I wouldn’t be more surprised than I am right now.” #vikings
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CIO of The North retweeted
This image of Trump in the catering cart is going to be hard to shake. You know he’s livid that it got out. If he wasn’t a coward, he would’ve told them, no chance I’m doing that.
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CIO of The North retweeted
Leopold’s $400m investment went to Source Foundry, a semicap startup recently valued at $5B that’s seeking to compete with $ASML according to the WSJ “Source Foundry aims to fix the core bottleneck in AI computing: chip manufacturing. It plans to develop new machines, equipment and software for manufacturing AI chips to challenge Dutch firm ASML Holding.”
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Long Garbage Trucks (early AI adopters) / Short AI CapEx spenders, seems logical at this stage.
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