@LineMatching

https://xitter.cf/t.co/lraSjbQ84H https://xitter.cf/t.co/xtBcmekGzq

linematching.ca
Joined January 2020
  • Tweets8.2K
  • Following1
  • Followers457
64Media
alright here we are: - will be a website this year, not a google sheet - on-site chat instead of discord - same shit as every other season with projections, ranks, etc. - same price as last year ($60/mth, $300/season) - 15% discount on the first month on patreon til Oct 10th
2
3
3
15
20,891
just FYI: with all the added stuff on the site and (almost) everything being exportable by .CSV, there are rate limits in place Stats pages: 30/minute, 600/day CSV exports: 3/minute, 40/day Page loads: 200/10 minutes
1
1
1
239
they're pretty generous limits given the csv exports warning comes once you hit 150 in a 10m period 1st time you hit 220 in 10 minutes: blocked for 10 minutes after that, escalating measures escalation is pretty quick
20
a few more changes to the site: - scoreboard at the top of the page, resets at 1pm (or 12pm if there's a 12pm game) - game recaps (mostly data but also a look back at what the site got right/wrong); matrix shift chart with teammates and opposition
1
1
249
more replies
- compared to industry projections in terms of DK points, ranking is tied w/ industry (r=0.387) and the average miss is 4.83 compared to industry 5.00 - i've got scheduled runs in November at the 400 game mark that should tighten these up
1
20
- the accuracy % on Own and DK pts will be posted publicly at some point in late November and will be updated daily except for the nights i forget to download live contest .csvs in time (which has only happened once when i was at the bar)
21
props! props now include goals, assists, points, blocked shots in addition to shots on goal & saves that were there already goals are only graded vs. Pinnacle's 2-sided lines, because one-sided Yes bets are a scam
1
48
more replies
impact rating! based on RAPM (Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus) from the NBA and Evolving Wild for the NHL, gives every player an impact rating based on the pbp data
1
44
linematching.ca :)
31
betting changes! model's now backtested through 2009-26, with the raw model results as well as the raw model + rules i created based on the data learned through backtesting (pic: 1st is with learning, 2nd is with no hindsight)
1
29
OK here's the advertising thread (with screenshots!) of improvements & changes made to the site recently:
1
1
1
2
297
more replies
example from tonight: MTL3's most common matchup is actually opp. 2nd line, but the difference is 40% vs. 37% MTL2's most common matchup is 54% vs. opp 2nd line, so they officially get the matchup vs. SJ2 and MTL3 slides to SJ3 impacted lines get a * with the breakdown
1
30
line matching changes! matchups now gets fed automatically so you don't have to rely on me manually adjusting them every five games upside - way, way more accurate on matchups downside - sometimes there's overlap on matchups, in which case lines will go to their second matchup
1
39
first minor one: pages load faster - about 3x faster depending on the page second minor change: menu cleanups so the site's a lil more organized third minor change: csv exports for more sections fourth minor change: bankroll staking to record bets
1
49
Load more