Wall Street brain. Main Street heart. Investor and operator. Cash flow over ego. Long game always.

Joined June 2016
Amol Desai retweeted
In my early 20s, I wrote a list of ambitious things I wanted to do in life. Go bungee jumping. Create a movie. Start a business. That sort of thing. I did a few of them, but not most. Looking back, however, that list was incredibly valuable because it taught me the usefulness of chasing bold ideas—even if they never materialize. The dreams that didn't happen changed shape and led me down other interesting paths. The important thing isn't to achieve all your dreams, but to keep dreaming. Your desires change as you learn and grow. Old dreams will spawn new dreams. And eventually, one of these newer, more refined visions will find its moment and become reality.
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As a career chartist who has made my living trading into my sixth decade trading, here are the things I disregard: -Complex narratives (if interest rates do X, then stocks should do Y and metals should do Z). I find creating cross asset narratives to be a complete waste of my time -Indicators. These are derivatives of price. Why study a derivative of price when I can study price directly? -Seeking perfection -Thinking that economists know anything useful -Day trading -Pyramiding -Believing that CNBC or Bloomberg or any You Tuber have anything to offer me -Government reports. They simply create volatility, not meaningful direction -Day to day volume. I only pay attention to massive spikes in volume, which are either ENDING or BEGINNING volume -Trendlines -Symmetrical triangles (except every so often) -The idea that charts predict the future -The idea that charts provide a meaningful edge -Win rate as an important metric -ROR as an important metric
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Amol Desai retweeted
Elon Musk
@elonmusk5 Jun 2025
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Amol Desai retweeted
Elon Musk
@elonmusk24 Apr 2025
😂
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Amol Desai retweeted
FWIW I think FSD has more or less solved autonomous driving in a practical sense. I am now able to start in my garage let the car back out of the garage, and then do a three point turn to back out of our cul-de-sac and proceed to drive itself to almost any destination in NYC or Westchester without any intervention 95 or maybe 99% of the time. I think we are extremely close to the technology being ready for robotaxi of regulation allows. I honestly didn’t expect us to get here so quickly even just a few months ago. The progress has been nothing less than impressive. Future is here.
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Jeff Bezos, “What Matters More Than Your Talents:”
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Amol Desai retweeted
Replying to @dickiebush
Great relationships are built on proactive generosity. Full stop.
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“Disagree and commit is a really important principle that saves a lot of arguing.” — Jeff Bezos
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Wise words from @naval on success and happiness:
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Stocks in the highest quintile of 9 month price momentum are now on a run equal to 2021 and 1999 🚀
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ignore the hype there will be short term volatility this week but longer term, markets don't care about who the President is
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Naomi Gleit, 29th employee at $META, mentioned some cool anecdotes on her work experience with Zuck over the last 20 years.
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I miss this America.
In 2009, George W Bush Invited President Elect Barack Obama and All Living Former U.S Presidents For Lunch
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Phil Donahue died today at the age of 88. I never get tired of watching one of Milton Friedman’s greatest Donahue moments:
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Apple WWDC, explained
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Amol Desai retweeted
Databricks outbids Snowflake and Confluent on Tabular, the open-core company behind Apache Iceberg that we covered before. The competition in the modern data stack is still red hot. Quite a surprise to see Tabular exiting so quickly, previously I thought they are of great potential, albeit with monetization challenges. This is a super aggressive move from Databricks because clearly $SNOW and $CFLT are better buyers with clearer synergies. This is more of a defensive strategy for Databricks because it already owns Delta Lake. But as we've analyzed last Feb, it is not going well vs. Iceberg who is destined to become the industry standard, and Delta Universal Format doesn't help that much. The listed goal is to bring in better interoperability between Iceberg and Delta Lake. This is weird because if everything goes well, they should centralize on Delta Lake only, and if it is SNOW or CFLT buying it, they can further supercharge the Iceberg capabilities rather than maintaining two routes. $1bn+ price tag is quite expensive for this purpose. So it seems like Databricks is seeing a huge threat and pressure from Iceberg because it is a true open and flexible standard vs. Delta Lake. Also, this doesn't look like a sound capital allocation strategy, also MosaicML at the benefit of the hindsight isn't of that high ROI. This makes me worry about Databricks' operating efficiency and capital allocation strategy, especially for future public stockholders. But I do think Databricks is better off by buying Tabular, it is just that this is quite expensive as a defensive move. Would be interesting to track what's their next move. Maybe part of the reason why SNOW didn't chase Tabular deal that aggressively is because they have already announced Polaris Catalog and making it open-source. That is killing Tabular's open-core business, and also threatening Databricks' Unity Catalog that is not open-source, and was leveraged as a hook to keep Delta Lake open in surface but close for enterprise usage. For this round 2 of open-source play, it looks like SNOW has played it better and targeting Databricks' pain point. But it is continuously evolving so Databricks will possibly fight back too.
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"The SSI is at a 2+ year high ... [but] remains below levels of bullishness reached in 2021 when it was a hair’s breadth from triggering a contrarian 'Sell' signal at 59.8%." - BofA Savita
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"Almost 40% of US homes don't have a mortgage." - Apollo Slok
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Amol Desai retweeted
Follow these accounts to upgrade your timeline: Branding: @scott_bair B2B/LinkedIn: @morganjingram Business: @mussaverse Biz Coaching: @apentz Real-Estate: @FasterFreedom Cancer Research: @T4Cancer CMO: @MichCreative Markets: @LatticeworkInv Email & SMS: @RetainsAbdul
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