I use the power of the chart pattern to find extremes in price to identify reversal and breakouts https://xitter.cf/t.co/PhH0LBMcgR
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Chris Kimble retweeted
The Warren Buffet indicator (market cap to GDP) hit a new all time record of 288%.
The 2000 peak = 172%.
The 2021 peak = 240%.
Chris Kimble retweeted
While China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea work against the West, let's pause and appreciate how beautiful our nation is. Yesterday, I hosted several recently retired U.S. military leaders, and we were lucky enough to encounter this magnificent white-tailed buck. 馃嚭馃嚫 馃挭
#Texas
Chris Kimble retweeted
The Nikkei 225 trend is up within this steep channel.
What it does at (1) could be important, as a possible bearish reversal is taking place at (2)!
Chris Kimble retweeted
Everyone is trying to position for "the inevitable rebound rally." Alternative scenario: Lower until the bottom pickers puke (mid-November?), THEN a bounce. @sentimentrader
THIS IS ABSOLUTELY MIND-BLOWING:
Call-option volume on the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, $TLT, has exploded to a record 14.9 million contracts over the last month.
This is TRIPLE the levels seen in January.
This signals rapidly growing bullish positioning toward long-term Treasuries, as call options give traders exposure to a potential rise in bond prices if yields fall.
The bet comes after the 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields spiked to 5.33% and 5.73%, their highest levels in 24 years.
Meanwhile, $TLT is down -8.5% so far in 2026 and fell -9.0% in Q3 alone.
Options traders are increasingly betting that the historic rise in yields is approaching its limit.
Risky bets on long-term Treasuries are skyrocketing.
Chris Kimble retweeted
Rising rates and a collapse VC funding could threaten 25% of frontier AI labs' recurring revenue.
That could then trigger a sell off in the broader AI trade.
@WarrenPies unpacks the bear case.
The AI trade is accelerating on record earnings, massive compute demand, and high rental rates for chips.
I sat down with @WarrenPies to discuss the under-the-radar indicators he's tracking in the market right now, his favorite sectors and opportunities for the year ahead, and his latest views on the macro setup.
This conversation will make you think critically about the AI trade.
TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 - Overweight equities
3:30 - Tech-heavy market and AI leadership
5:29 - Macro shocks
11:05 - Low correlations and pair trades
13:37 - Semis and broadening trade
17:35 - GPU availability and rental rates
21:22 - Compute indicators flashing bullish
25:08 - Frontier lab ARR
30:08 - Hyperscalers leadership
32:34 - AI CapEx and the Fed
36:38 - What ends the bull run?
40:32 - Favorite sectors
41:46 - @3F_Research
Chris Kimble retweeted
One of the main reasons so many breadth indicators are off the charts is because the concentration in the index is like nothing we've ever experienced.
The top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 are equal to the bottom 434. (67-500)
Chris Kimble retweeted
Individual stock drawdown is something @michaeljburry wrote about recently and is a chart I've shared a couple of times as well. Despite the new 52-week high in the S&P 500, more than 75% of stocks are down double digits. and over 37% are down 20% or more.
Chris Kimble retweeted
Poof!
There goes the outperformance of small caps over large caps ytd
On June 26th, the R2k exceeded S&P 500 ytd returns by 13.85%-points
Today: The S&P 500 hits an all-time new high, and exceeds R2k ytd for the first time this year
@CarsonResearch @RyanDetrick
