Views expressed r mine only.

Sarasota, Florida
Joined May 2009
Yay ! Great ad for @KellyKirschner ! If you’re in Vern Buchanan’s Florida district ( FL-16) , don’t let Sydney Gruters ( yup , Joe’s wife) snooker you. She’s in the pockets of developers like Pat Neal and a devotee of trump.. who has made your life increasingly less affordable
2
9
16
456
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
NEWS The Republican panic is on clearest display at the various political organizations in Washington charged with spending hundreds of millions of dollars on House races. GOP lawmakers from around the country, many in deep red seats, are approaching super PACs with polls showing them losing or on the brink of being down. Meanwhile, Democratic PACs are swimming in data showing opportunities in seats that were never on their radar. The map keeps expanding into deeper red territory. Democrats have seen evidence of margin-of-error races in Indiana’s 5th District, GOP Rep. Victoria Spartz’s district that President Donald Trump won by 17 points; New York’s open 21st District, which Trump won by 21 points; Nevada’s open 2nd District, which Trump won by 14; and Kentucky’s open 6th District, which Trump won by 15. Democrats have also seen evidence of tighter-than-usual races in North Carolina’s 3rd District, GOP Rep. Greg Murphy’s seat that Trump won by 14; North Carolina’s 9th District, NRCC Chair Richard Hudson’s seat, which Trump won by 16; and Nebraska’s 1st District, Rep. Mike Flood’s seat, which Trump won by 13 points. Both parties have polls with Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Ala.) in a tight race against Republican State Rep. Rhett Marques in an Alabama district Republicans redrew themselves. Sydney Gruters, the wife of RNC chair Joe Gruters, is also in a tight contest with former Sarasota, Fla., Mayor Kelly Kirschner, in Florida’s 16th District. Kirschner vastly outspent Gruters on TV this week. Republicans have started spending in South Carolina’s 1st District, where GOP candidate Jenny Costa Honeycutt is trying to hold outgoing Rep. Nancy Mace’s (R-S.C.) seat. Also in play is GOP Rep. Brad Finstad’s southern Minnesota district that Trump won by 12 points. Democrat Jake Johnson is giving Finstad a tough challenge.
☀️ AM: THE HOUSE REPUBLICAN PANIC HAS SET IN Inside the House Republican Conference, there’s panic, anger and resignation. The political environment is “certainly toxic for Republicans,” said Rep. Dave Joyce (R-Ohio), a 13-year veteran of Congress. Voters “were promised things in ‘24, and none of those things are really coming to fruition,” Joyce added. “My thing has always been, just be truthful with folks. Don’t go out there and tell them that it’s rosier than what it is.” Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), locked in one of the toughest races in the country, is puzzled by one dynamic: why did his leadership pretend this election would be good for Republicans when history says otherwise? “It’s an historical precedent that is rarely defied,” Fitzpatrick said of losing the majority in the midterms. “Moreover, a second midterm is historically more challenging than the first … Look at when history has been defied. After 9/11 — a major, major event that completely changed our country. In order to buck history, there has to be a reason history is bucked. Those factors are not present.”
58
253
38
1,502
367,181
A Super PAC, heavily funded by Friends of Joe Gruters (~$1.2mm in 2026 with most of that in the past 90 days), along with developers, US Sugar, private equity execs, and Trulieve, is dumping money on scare-tactic, culture war attacks on @KellyKirschner in the finals weeks of the Florida #CD16 election. Got a mailer from this group yesterday implying Kelly wants drag queens to teach in schools. 🙄 So, a PAC, that’s supposed to be independent of the candidate, is being funded by the spouse of the candidate. Their polling must be terrible right now.
GOP group spending $600k on TV opposing Dem Kelly Kirschner in #FL16 (Trump+14) against GOP nominee Sydney Gruters, wife of RNC chair Joe Gruters. I may be wrong but I think this is the first major spend by either side here in the general, although there have been smaller buys.
3
3
7
833
I sat with the @BradentonTimes on their podcast yesterday to discuss why Florida Republicans need to vote for common sense and good governance this cycle. We spoke specifically on my endorsements and support for three critical votes on the ballot November 3: @davidjollyfl for Governor (start - 0:27) @KellyKirschner for FL CD16 (0:27 - 1:00) Local impact of #Amendment3 (1:00 - end) Link to podcast ⬇️⬇️⬇️ thebradentontimes.com/storie…
4
2
9
366
Over at @PunchbowlNews they’re discussing the inflow of funds to CD16 as the RNC rightfully worries about the strength of the @KellyKirschner campaign as we hit the final three weeks of voting!
4
1
1
5
264
Congratulations to the Tampa Bay Rays! ⚾ The Yankees may have the bigger payroll, but money doesn’t win games. Talent, preparation, and execution do. In FL-16, we face a similar financial playing field against Sydney Gruters and her dark $ PAC supporters.
The Rays opened 2026 with an $88.7 million payroll, 26th in baseball, coming off a season spent in a spring training park after a hurricane tore apart the roof at Tropicana Field. They clinched the AL East anyway. The Mets spent $352.2 million, almost four times as much, and were eliminated. Tampa has done this for so long that it barely registers anymore. It should.
1
2
6
310
Different playing fields. Different budgets. Same underdog spirit and solid reminder: Money isn’t everything. @kenbabby @RaysBaseball @Fla_Pol #raysup #letsFixThis
1
88
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
Just a reminder that the Trump Administration is currently pushing forward a proposal to reduce FEMA reimbursements to states from 75% of disaster costs to only 50%
0z GFS has moved a tick east from 18z. Landfall looks to be Gulf Breeze.
13
46
1
78
1,722
I got ahold of some polling earlier today. Not only does it reflect an incredibly tight race for Florida CD16; it shows just how critical it is for everyone to be an informed voter at a time where heavily-funded campaigns can spread misinformation through texts, the mailbox, and even the media. Summary and polling info in the linked Substack. @KellyKirschner georgekruse.substack.com/p/i…
2
12
2
31
9,358
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
NYTimes: Private School Vouchers are higher cost, less effective as a strategy for student outcomes. What happened to “accountability for taxpayer funded education?” In Florida we spend more on private school vouchers (closing in on $5B) than any other state, and it’s not close.
What are the most effective methods of improving student achievement? An NYT investigation. For me, the data point in the bottom left quadrant is absolutely critical to understanding why student achievement goes wrong so often: teachers making up their own curriculum. nytimes.com/2026/09/28/upsho…
16
61
7
107
3,435
Humble & proud to have the support of Bowzer and millions of American retirees as we seek to fix critically important issues like ensuring the stability of social security for every individual who paid into the plan. Thank you @JonBowzerBauman for coming to #FL16 #letsFixThis
In my time in Florida we @SSWorks PAC endorsed several great candidates. One is @KellyKirschner in FL-16, an open seat centered in Manatee County. This Georgetown grad is the real deal, former Mayor of Sarasota running against unqualified Sydney Gruters, wife of the RNC chair.
5
244
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
If you’re in Vern Buchanan’s FL-16 district in Florida , you can’t let this happen “Naming rights to nothingness. Sydney Gruters' campaign is backed by more than $200,000 from development interests — including Carlos Beruff and his wife, who maxed out their federal contributions right after she resigned as head of the New College Foundation, where Beruff and Pat Neal had pledged $1.5 million. New College's "Field of Dreams" ballfield, bearing a donor's name, sits on ground where oaks were felled and mangroves mangled. Now Beruff wants to do it again: his "Sea Spray" project would fill three acres of one of Sarasota Bay's last natural shorelines at Long Bar Pointe, disrupting mangrove hydrology so badly that Suncoast Waterkeeper is fighting it — while Beruff's fix is to buy mitigation credits at a preserve 100+ miles away instead of repairing the damage here. As a state senator, Joe Gruters voted for SB 180 — sold as hurricane relief, now used by developers like Beruff to block local wetland and growth protections. He's using it to challenge $14 million in Manatee County impact fees for roads, parks, and public safety, and lobbyists for him and Neal quietly killed a legislative fix to the law this year. When land-use policy is written for donors instead of communities, residents inherit the flooding, pollution, and permanent loss” The only choice is @KellyKirschner .. the only one with a proven track record .Stop electing people who are ruining our counties while enriching themselves with developer money that is irreversibly taking away our natural resources
1
28
2
31
712
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
Audits aren't my job, says THE CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
The audits are MIA. State law says Florida should’ve audited the billions DeSantis spent on “Alligator Alcatraz” and elsewhere - years ago. Yet not a single audit has been released. And CFO Blaise Ingoglia says it’s not his job to ask questions about this. orlandosentinel.com/2026/09/…
6
123
7
295
14,779
Kelly Kirschner is the Democratic nominee for FL-16 and promises that protecting healthcare and retirement security are among his first priorities if elected in November. Let’s send Kelly to Congress! @KellyKirschner
3
27
1
60
1,351
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
Race to succeed @VernBuchanan in CD 16 is getting increasingly interesting Reporting by @MitchPerry18 of @FLPhoenixNews #FlaPol floridapolitics.com/archives…
4
3
8
5,859
#inflation causation...
🚚On the major Los Angeles-to-Dallas freight lane, a typical truckload now requires roughly $1,430 of diesel, based on the national average diesel price—up about $600, or 72%, from the day before the Feb. 28 strikes on Iran.
2
238
From a FB friend … well done @GWKruse ( again )… country over party DON’T sleep on Florida “Friends, today I was witness to something big. I was one of a small number of Democrats in a room full of Republicans at the Republicans for Kelly Kirschner kickoff event held in downtown Bradenton. As a Democrat, I already knew we found the right candidate for the FL-16 Congressional race. What I needed to see for my own confidence and, frankly, hope in the country, was one Republican community leader after another saying we need a change in Washington and Kelly is the person they trust with the important work of representing this community. In laudatory speech after speech, they said that Kelly was a familiar, longtime community presence; an independent voice of integrity and courage; and someone who will actually answer your questions and return your phone calls, no matter what side of the aisle you are on. 🏆Kudos to Manatee County Commissioner George Kruse in particular for being a leading voice. He is a longtime friend of Kelly's since high school and says Kelly helped him by sitting down to chat over coffee when he ran the first time, even from the other side of the aisle. He said that the Republican Party has experienced a "hostile takeover" and no matter how many people go to Washington to say they will push back on the direction of the party, no one ever does that. He said that Kirschner was even the only candidate on either side of the aisle who had contacted him about the upcoming election. I want to note how important Kruse's voice is here. In 2024, he got more votes than any elected official and is therefore arguably the most popular elected official in Manatee County. He has been an independent voice on the county commission and thoughtful writer and critical thinker about policy on his Substack. Other leading voices who were present or who couldn't make it to have lent their voices of support and endorsement include retired Judge Blue, former Manatee High School football coach Joe Kinnan, Holmes Beach Mayor Judy Titsworth, football legend Ray Bellamy, former Manatee Schools administrator and environmental advocate Merrie Lynn Parker, Longboat Key Commissioner B.J. Bishop, former Republican Congressman Dan Miller, Manatee community leader Xtavia Bailey, environmental advocate Rusty Chinnis, former Manatee County Commissioner Betsy Benac, and a former Georgia Lt. Governor who now lives most of the year in St. Pete. These are the Republicans willing to speak openly today. Chinnis, as emcee of the event, indicated that more Republicans will openly endorse later and they encourage others to join the movement. I was particularly taken by the concerns voiced today by those who spoke today at the event about the direction of the country. The spoke more about US foreign policy than anything else. They said they were concerned about high prices, tariffs, wars of choice, deteriorating relations with neighbors like Canada -- all of it unchecked. As an international relations professor, I worry about these things the most, too. They noted that this district is R+7 which makes it winnable. The only other time Kelly ran for office before, he was elected in a nonpartisan race to the Sarasota city commission and he won by beating special interest money and the Republican establishment. Once elected to the city commission, he became mayor and passed strong campaign finance measures and fought special interest development interests. Kelly's going to face a tidal wave of special interest dark money in this election, and he needs our support. I'm going to make another donation to Kelly's campaign today and I will be signing up for canvassing volunteer shifts because he needs people power to spread the message too. I hope you will join this broad, beautiful coalition for change in our country” VOTE @KellyKirschner FL-16 ( Vern Buchanan seat where Sen Joe Gruters (RNC committee chair) wife Sydney is running
8
12
676
My newest Substack explains why Republicans in Florida should support @davidjollyfl for Governor and why Republicans in D16 should support @KellyKirschner for Congress. Vote for your best interests. Not for the best interests of a party that doesn’t care about you beyond your vote and your donations.
1
2
7
190
Kelly Kirschner retweeted
Sarasota, Florida
18
35
4
118
8,537