This is crazy to think about. Bonds may add perceived safety to an investment portfolio by bringing less volatility, but longer term, they can be the real risk.
In the last 10yrs, $1 invested in bondsāincluding interestā is down to $0.80 after inflation!
This is a worse result than the S&P 500 during lost decade or the 1930s
Having 70%+ of a retirement portfolio in bonds has been one of the greatest wealth destroying moves in history, all because one confuses volatility (as opposed to purchasing power loss) with risk.
We are super excited to share that this week we added a new teammate!! š
Somehow, we convinced @mollycover to join our small but mighty team! Molly builds operating procedures in her sleep, manages task lists like an air traffic controller, and loves doing everything possible to ensure clients feel seen and cared for.
We spent the first half of this week feeding Molly years of info, thoughts, challenges, and opportunities ... and as of now, we haven't scared her off yet! We are all excited about adding this new and very needed skillset to our team!
Simple, and true.
Ignore headlines.
Invest long-term money.
Protect short-term money.
Repeat.
Warren Buffett:
āThereās always going to be some news, good or bad, every day. In fact, if you go back and read all the papers for the last 50 years, probably most of the headlines tend to be bad. But if you look at what happens to the economy, most of the things that happen are extremely good.ā
In volleyball, āout of systemā (OOS) refers to a team being out of sync, or out of their designed formation. On offense, your goal is to get the opposing team OOS, so they are not as effective against you.
On the flip side, and what I find most interesting, is what happens to your team when you find yourself OOS.
It is estimated that at the collegiate level, teams are OOS 35% to 45% of the time! For this reason, the best teams train over and over how to handle themselves when they are OOS. They prepare for that!
What an amazing analogy for investing.
When we build an investment portfolio and a financial plan, we have expectations on how it might perform.
Then, a war happens. A pandemic occurs. A new law or policy is announced out of nowhere. What do we do then? How do we react?
How we react has the potential to set our goals back years or decades.
Our plan MUST come with the expectation that it will be pushed OOS at times, and the plan should be built to navigate through it.
"'Casual competence' is such a great turn of phrase. It's not ostentatious, it's not gaudy, it's not in your face, but you can tell it was crafted with love and care, by humans, for humans. ... It just exudes competence and care."
Found this gem in my friend, @aarondfrancis's newsletter from way back.
It is in reference to a picture of a residential dining room (which is beautiful), but it applies to much more than a room.
Casual competence is the opposite of arrogant intelligence in any field of study.
It is wisdom wrapped in humility. It is approachable, and welcoming of new information and interesting ideas.
Casual competence for the win. šŖ
"Chop wood, carry water."
Show up. Do the hard thing.
Show up. Do the hard thing.
Show up. Do the hard thing.
That's how you get where you want to go. It's also a never ending journey.
Embrace it.
Today is Tim Cook's last day as CEO at Apple.
I first met Tim in 2014 and I've been fortunate to call him a mentor and friend ever since. I want to share something about him that I've found remarkable.
He's the best example I've seen of an old Zen saying:
"What do you do before enlightenment? Chop wood, carry water. What do you do after enlightenment? Chop wood, carry water."
When we met, I was just starting my career in finance. I was getting to the gym at 4:45am so I could get to the office by 6:30. Tim happened to be one of a tiny group of others who showed up every morning at that early hour.
For the first six months, I had no idea who he was. I wasn't in tech and, having played college sports, I was frankly quite oblivious to the entire business world.
I remember being shocked after someone told me that the guy I was talking to in the mornings was the CEO of Apple.
For two reasons:
1. He had zero pretension about him. I never would have known how important or powerful he was.
2. He was already successful. Why the hell was he waking up at 4am to go to the gym?
Now, to be fair, in 2014, there were still questions about whether he was going to be an impactful successor to the legend that was Steve Jobs. A lot of people weren't sure he would be able to fill those enormous shoes.
But a few years later, he was still there. He had created a trillion dollars of value. People were calling him one of the best CEOs in the world. And he was still showing up at 4:45am. Still doing the same thing.
Chop wood, carry water.
As you start to experience success, notoriety, and achievement, itās easy to lose sight of the work that got you those things in the first place. Itās easy to get distracted by results. By recognition. By the illusion that success somehow exempts you from the basics.
It doesnāt.
The outcomes may change. The titles may change. The scale may change. But the work doesnāt.
Chopping wood and carrying water means showing up when no one is watching. Doing the boring work well. Being reliable. Executing consistently. Returning to fundamentals even when you think youāre above them. Especially then.
Tim has been an example of that in my life. I'm grateful for having been able to see it up close.
And I also know that whatever he does next, the same thing will apply.
Chop wood, carry water.
The ability to control your emotions is a massive competitive advantage, in sports and business.
Is sports, you can train, you can be a top tier athlete.
But if you can't manage your emotions when things go wrong, your mind can defeat you without your opponent doing a thing.
Be chalant! Actually care, and act like you do.
Heard SMU volleyball savant @SamFish9 use the word 'chalant,' and it resonated.
If nonchalant is acting like you don't care ... be chalant! The work you do matters. Whatever your role or your job, it can be done with excellence.
The outcome may not always produce what you hope, but the inputs matter and you can control them!
In a world that says it's cool to be nonchalant, choose to be chalant!!
You are uniquely wired.
Be you.
There is no competition when you are 1 of 1.
If you're going to be wildly successful, you have to be wildly unusual. Your life won't resemble the lives of the people around you.
You can learn a lot from Outliers, but you can't copy them.
Warren Buffett studied at the feet of Ben Graham, but rarely copied him. He did his own things with his own rules.
The style of your success has to fit who you are.
This post by @SahilBloom was so good, I couldn't not share.
How we do the small things turns into how we do the big things.
A reminder to be intentional with ALL the things ... particularly the small things when nobody else is looking.
sahilbloom.com/newsletter/hoā¦
Debt magnifies binary outcomes for small businesses (and investors) ... good and bad.
Having no debt increases the odds of business survival, which allows for unexpectedly wonderful things to happen.
I prefer the latter.
Your "luck" tends to increase the more you show up.
Showing up, consistently, authentically, and intentionally is a luck magnet.
I've seen a lot of very costly investment decisions made in order to "save on taxes."
Just a reminder, it's not a win if you lose 30% from the investment, but save 10% in taxes.
Don't let the tax tail wag the investment dog.
Be mindful of the tax implications, but taxes should not unilaterally make the investment decision.
Just came across this Buffett quote.
āNever, ever have clients. You may call them that, but in your mind, they must be partners. Set it up so if they win, you win ā in that order. If you do that, youāll be successful forever.ā
This is in fact, the way.
H/t - @kejca š«”
Last week a client asked me if "the craziness of the stock market is driving me crazy?"
Fair question. My response. ā¬ļø
"Honestly, it does not make me crazy! I am very neutral on it ... only b/c I know this is 'normal' for the markets.
A 10% or 15% drop in stocks is like turbulence on an airplane flight.
The turbulence isn't something we enjoy, but it's necessary to get where we want to go, AND the plane is totally built for it.
Our portfolio and our plan are built for these drops. Not to avoid them, but to withstand them, while still delivering cash to you when you need it, without being impacted!"
Yes!! This!
Note, you donāt need to be the smartest and you donāt need the most advanced degree.
You need enough passion that you keep going. You keep showing up.
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