New Delhi, India
Joined November 2010
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Joby Alias retweeted
75 stocks which had very bullish concalls (Q1 FY-27) and can double their revenue in next 2-3 years:
🔹1. SG Mart (#SGMART): 118% EBITDA growth (₹300 cr EBITDA) guidance in FY-27
🔹2. Senores Pharmaceuticals (#SENORES): 50-60% PAT growth & 30-40% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹3. Sakar Healthcare (#SAKAR): 50%+ PAT growth & ~25% revenue CAGR guidance (oncology parenteral ramp)
🔹4. SG Finserve (#SGFIN): 43% PAT growth (₹225 cr PAT) guidance in FY-27
🔹5. Shadowfax (#SHADOWFAX): 38-40% revenue growth guidance in FY-27 (upgraded from 28-30%)
🔹6. Neogen Chemicals (#NEOGEN): ~40% revenue growth guidance in FY-27 (battery chemicals ramp)
🔹7. HFCL (#HFCL): 40% revenue growth guidance in FY-27 (upgraded from 20%)
🔹8. Sahasra Electronics (#SAHASRA): 100% revenue growth (₹275-300 cr revenue) guidance in FY-27
🔹9. Sangam India (#SANGAMIND): 100% PAT growth guidance in FY-27
🔹10. Jana SFB (#JSFB): 80%+ PAT growth, 19-21% loan (GLP) & 23-25% deposit growth guidance in FY-27
🔹11. Motilal Oswal (#MOTILALOFS): 20%+ housing finance AUM growth guidance for next 2-3 years
🔹12. Borosil Renewables (#BORORENEW): 60% revenue & EBITDA growth guidance in FY-27 (600 TPD expansion by Q4)
🔹13. Madhya Bharat Agro (#MBAPL): >50% revenue growth guidance in FY-27 (Dhule SSP ramp-up)
🔹14. Atlanta Electricals (#ATLANTAELE): 40% CAGR revenue growth guidance for next 3 years
🔹15. Netweb Technologies (#NETWEB): 35-40% revenue growth guidance (13-14% EBITDA margin, 10%+ PAT margin)
🔹16. Syrma SGS (#SYRMA): 30-35%+ revenue growth (~₹700 cr EBITDA) guidance in FY-27
🔹17. Jubilant Ingrevia (#JUBLINGREA): 32-40% EBITDA growth (₹750-800 cr) guidance in FY-27
🔹18. Krishana Phoschem (#KRISHANA): 30-35% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹19. Anand Rathi Share & Stock Brokers (#ARSSBL): 30-35% PAT growth guidance in FY-27
🔹20. Capri Global Capital (#CGCL): 30%+ AUM CAGR guidance in FY-28
🔹21. Sobha (#SOBHA): 30%+ pre-sales growth guidance in FY-27
🔹22. Suryoday SFB (#SURYODAY): 30% deposit growth + doubling CLOU customer base guidance in FY-27
🔹23. Himadri Speciality (#HSCL): PAT doubling from ₹555 cr (FY25) to >₹1,100 cr by FY-28 (~26% CAGR)
🔹24. Tatva Chintan (#TATVA): 25-30% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹25. Smartworks Coworking (#SMARTWORKS): 28-30% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹26. Greenply Industries (#GREENPLY): 25-30% MDF volume growth guidance in FY-27
🔹27. CCL Products (#CCL): 25-30% domestic branded B2C volume growth guidance in FY-27
🔹28. Dynamic Cables (#DYCL): 25-30% solar/renewable cable revenue growth for next 3-4 years
🔹29. Aye Finance (#AYE): 25-30% AUM growth guidance in FY-27
🔹30. Gravita India (#GRAVITA): 25-30% PAT CAGR guidance for next 4-5 years
🔹31. GRSE (#GRSE): 25-30% revenue growth guidance (per Q2 FY-26 call; qualitative confidence reiterated in Q1)
🔹32. Avalon Technologies (#AVALON): 24-27% revenue growth guidance in FY-27 (double revenue to ~₹3,200 cr by FY-29)
🔹33. Tinna Rubber (#TINNARUBR): 23-28% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹34. Menon Bearings (#MENONBE): 23-25% revenue growth (>₹360 cr revenue) guidance in FY-27
🔹35. Ramkrishna Forgings (#RKFORGE): 22-25% CAGR revenue growth for next 3 years
🔹36. Acutaas Chemicals (#ACUTAAS): 25% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹37. Transformers & Rectifiers (#TARIL): 25% revenue growth guidance in FY-27 (16% EBITDA, 9-10% PAT margin)
🔹38. M & B Engineering (#MBEL): ~25% revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹39. Prostarm Info Systems (#PROSTARM): 25%+ revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹40. Heritage Foods (#HERITGFOOD): ~25% VAP growth guidance (annual)
🔹41. APAR Industries (#APARINDS): 25% cable value + 10% conductor volume growth guidance in FY-27
🔹42. Ujjivan SFB (#UJJIVANSFB): ~25% advances & deposit growth guidance in FY-27 (RoA 1.8-2.0%)
🔹43. CreditAccess Grameen (#CREDITACC): 20-25% AUM growth guidance in FY-27 (RoA 4-4.8%)
🔹44. Anand Rathi Wealth (#ANANDRATHI): 20-25% revenue & PAT growth guidance in FY-27 (₹1,415 cr rev, ₹460 cr PAT)
🔹45. RBL Bank (#RBLBANK): 23-24% retail deposit growth guidance over next few quarters
🔹46. Fedbank Financial / Fedfina (#FEDFINA): 20-22% growth guidance in FY-27
🔹47. Shyam Metalics (#SHYAMMETL): 20%+ revenue & EBITDA growth guidance in FY-27
🔹48. Steel Strips Wheels (#SSWL): 20%+ revenue growth guidance in FY-27
🔹49. Bandhan Bank (#BANDHANBNK): 20%+ non-EEB loan book growth guidance in FY-27
🔹50. L&T Finance (#LTF): 20%+ CAGR book growth guidance by FY-31
Follow @AdityaMittal795 for more such educational posts.
Joby Alias retweeted
#Religare Valuation Thesis
Many investors see Religare as a 8600 cr financial services company. I think they are missing the hidden value.
I believe Religare deserves 13000cr+ valuation. Let me explain why:
1. Credible promoters and governance turnaround: For years, Religare traded with a governance discount due to promoter issues. The Burmans (Dabur promoters) fought a 17-month battle to acquire controlling stake in Feb 2025 and have continuously increased their stake. They now have strong incentives to rebuild trust and create long-term shareholder value.
2. Value unlocking through demerger: In Feb 2026, Religare approved separate listing of Care Health and Religare Finvest. Religare owns 63% in Care Health, one of India’s leading health insurance companies.
3. Simple valuation math: Market experts anticipate Care Health valuation of ₹15,000–20,000 crore. Religare’s 63% stake alone could be worth ₹9,000–12,000 crore.
Current Religare market cap: ₹8,600 crore.
So, investors are effectively getting Religare Finvest and other financial businesses almost for free.
What to watch out for:
- Demerger and listing timeline
- Care Health business performance
- Growth and profitability of Religare Fin-vest
Of course, this thesis needs validation. The businesses have to execute well and value unlocking has to happen. Only time will tell whether this becomes 2x or remains a value trap.
I am invested because the risk-reward appears favourable.
Joby Alias retweeted
INDIA 🇮🇳 is entering a decade of deep transformation & these new-age industries can grow at 15–25% CAGR.
These are not just fancy trends, they’re big changes shaping India’s future. For each theme, here's a few important stocks you should study.
Detailed 🧵👇... Bookmark it !
Joby Alias retweeted
Big boost to India’s defence manufacturing from Odisha!
Odisha Govt approves ₹210.10 Cr investment by Solar Industries India Ltd in Deogarh under the 146th Single Window clearance.
Defence-grade explosives plant
910 jobs expected
Deogarh, Odisha
#Defence #MakeInIndia
Joby Alias retweeted
Dynamatic Technologies , mapping the business
disc: invested, biased at 7500 , no fresh reco, no financial advice !
Joby Alias retweeted
37 High-Quality Small-Cap Stocks to Study Closely ❤️🔥❤️
Quality Power
Anant Raj
TD Power
TARIL
Blackbuck
Interarch
Transrail
Krishna Defence
Syrma SGS
Vintage Coffee
V2 Retail
Tenneco Clean
Netweb
Yatharth Hospital
Pondy Oxides (POCL)
SKM Egg
Shilchar
Apollo Micro Systems
Lumax Auto
ACME Solar
Knowledge Marine
Pricol
Fiem Industries
Aditya Infotech
Yatra Online
CCL Products
Jain Resource Recycling
Astra Microwave
Atlanta Electricals
Acutaas Chemicals
Dr Agarwals Health Care
Can Fin Homes
Krishana Phoschem
Frontier Springs
Pace Digitek
Senores Pharma
Ashapura Minechem
How Investors Should Use This List 📒👇
This list is not about quick trades or short-term excitement.
It’s about quality businesses that deserve serious study ✅
As markets prepare for the next phase of the bull cycle, the real edge won’t come from chasing momentum - it will come from preparation. Studying businesses before they are in the spotlight is where long-term wealth is quietly built.
Every company in this list operates in a segment with structural tailwinds, policy support, or long visibility of demand. These are businesses where management execution, balance sheet strength, and industry positioning actually matter.
📌 But remember - not every stock is for everyone.
The purpose is to track, study, and filter ✅
Go through their 👇
1. Annual reports
2. Conference call transcripts
3. Balance sheets and cash-flow statements
4. Industry trends and competitive positioning
Understand how the business makes money, where it reinvests, and how it handles cycles. Over time, a few names will naturally start making more sense to you than others - and that’s exactly where your focus should be.
👍 The next bull run will reward:
1. Those who did the work early
2. Those who tracked patiently
3. Those who waited for the right entry, not the perfect story
📌 Quality businesses don’t need daily validation from prices. They need time, discipline, and clarity of thought.
📌 Study first. Track deeply. Capital will follow clarity.
Disclaimer: This post is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
Focus on 10 Extra High Voltage Opportunities to study 🔥📙🖊️
1. Hitachi Energy India
2. GE Vernova T&D
3. Siemens Energy India
4. Quality Power
5. Atlanta Electricals
6. Yash Highvoltage
7. CG Power
8. Rajesh Power
9. Transrail Lighting
10. Bharat Heavy Electricals
Extra High Voltage (EHV): Where the Real Power Transmission Growth Is Emerging
The companies listed above operate in the Extra High Voltage (EHV) segment - the most critical and capital-intensive layer of India’s power transmission ecosystem.
EHV systems enable:
🔸 Long-distance bulk power evacuation
🔸 Lower transmission losses
🔸 Grid stability across regions
🔸 Integration of renewable energy at scale
What makes the EHV segment structurally attractive is its high entry barriers - technical expertise, execution capability, certifications, capital intensity, and long project cycles. This naturally limits competition and creates operating leverage during capex upcycles.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Stock market investments are subject to market risks.
Joby Alias retweeted
Losses are Shrinking,
Profits are Emerging!
Some or most of these businesses could be entering a healthier + more durable phase 💹
Joby Alias retweeted
Metals Supercycle & DXY — Connecting the Macro Dots 🧵📊
Explained 👇🏻
- First, what is DXY?
DXY is the US Dollar Index, a weighted measure of the dollar against major global currencies. It reflects global liquidity conditions, capital flows, interest rate expectations, and risk appetite. Since commodities are priced in dollars, DXY directly impacts them.
- Why DXY goes UP
A rising DXY usually means
Tighter monetary policy or higher US real yields
Global risk aversion
Capital flowing into US assets for safety
When this happens, global liquidity tightens. Emerging markets feel pressure. Commodity prices struggle because a stronger dollar makes them more expensive in local currencies. Financial conditions contract.
- Why DXY goes DOWN
A falling DXY generally signals
Easing monetary conditions
Falling real yields
Improved global risk appetite
Capital rotating out of the US
Liquidity expands. Commodities become cheaper for the rest of the world. Demand improves. Speculative and institutional flows move into hard assets.
- How metals benefit when DXY falls
Metals are globally traded and dollar denominated. When the dollar weakens. Buying power outside the US increases
Commodity demand strengthens
Inflation hedging flows increase
Emerging markets and infrastructure cycles accelerate
And that’s when metals tend to outperform.
- Now look at what’s happening in 2nd chart.
DXY has fallen sharply from 109 to 96. Markets are pricing softer US growth, potential policy easing, and relative strength shifting globally. On the monthly chart, DXY is near a decadal support breakdown zone. If that confirms, it’s structurally significant.
Now Let’s go back to 2002–2008. DXY fell roughly 41% over 6–7 years.
On the first chart I’ve attached
Blue = SAIL
Pink = Tata Steel
Grey = Silver
Purple = Vedanta
Green = National Aluminium
Notice how their rallies accelerated as DXY collapsed. What did metals do in that period?
National Aluminium → 1200%
Tata Steel → 2300%
Vedanta → 18,000%
SAIL → 6200%
Silver → 400%
Those weren’t random rallies. They aligned with dollar weakness and global liquidity expansion.
Now look at today.
DXY threatening a major breakdown.
Nifty Metal index breaking out of multi-month consolidation and showing relative strength versus other sectors.
Out of all sectors right now, Metals look structurally strong. Not because of hype. Because macro + technicals are aligning.
I’m not an economist and this is not a call to go all in.
Cycles take time and volatility is part of the game.
But when the dollar weakens and metals strengthen together, history says pay attention. Samjhe ?
#StockMarket #Metals #DXY #Investing #Ratecut #Rupee #Commodity #Trading
Joby Alias retweeted
Ujjivan SFB - Barring any negative surprise in Q4, this might be loading for a very good FY27!
NIMs expand, expect further COF improvement in 4Q - Management expects the cost of funds to decline further in Q4, led by recent 25 bps-50 bps rate cuts in lower savings account buckets (INR 1-5 lakh), which account for ~50% of total SA deposits
Cost ratios impacted by one of wage provision - The C/I ratio remained elevated at 66%, largely due to a one-off wage provision of INR 180mn (pre-tax) and higher disbursement-linked expenses. Management expects cost ratios to remain elevated in Q4 amid strong disbursement momentum, with a gradual decline anticipated from FY27 as operating leverage kicks in.
Credit cost springs a positive surprise - Calculated credit costs declined sharply by 60 bps q-q to 2.2%, driven by a reduction in slippage. Management attributed the improvement to easing stress across the MFI portfolio, which was broad-based in nature and is expected to sustain into Q4. Management further expects credit costs in Q4 to trend below Q3 levels, with full normalization likely by 2HFY27.
Credits: Systematix
Joby Alias retweeted
Pulak Prasad(Nalanda Capital) on why he never and will never invest in Amazon
And that doesn’t bother him
I constantly get comments saying : “By using those metrics , you would have missed out on Amazon”
Yes I would have and I don’t care, you can not be an investor and have FOMO.
Joby Alias retweeted
Copper Is the Next Gold/Silver but No Direct Option for buying??
Here’s the 10 Stock Alternative🔥🔥👇
1. Hindustan Copper – Copper mining & refining
2. Hindalco – Copper smelting products
3. Vedanta Limited – Copper smelting business
4. Precision Wires India – Copper winding wires
5. Bhagyanagar India – Copper rods & pipes
6. Madhav Copper – Copper wire rods
7. Cubex Tubings – Copper tubes manufacturer
8. Rajputana Industries – Copper alloy products
9. Parmeshwar Metal – Recycled copper rods
10. Bonlon Industries – Copper wires & ingots
Bookmark it🔖
Joby Alias retweeted
HDFC bank vs ICICI bank , comparing some key KPI's and key ratios from recent earnings , mostly we are expecting better times for private banks in the coming year
Joby Alias retweeted
60 Part video on Financial Statement analysis by IIT Professor Mr. Anil K Sharma.
Financial Statements for anyone... If you are new to investing and wish to learn, this channel is a treasure.
youtube.com/watch?v=OT5RdoJA…
Joby Alias retweeted
• If you like "Passive Income," listen up. SEL is famous for giving back.
• Last year, they paid a massive dividend of ₹104.5 per share. With a yield of ~2.9%, it’s a cash-generating machine for shareholders.
(9/10)
Joby Alias retweeted
🧵 The "Twin-Engine" Growth Story: A Deep Dive into Fedbank Financial Services (Fedfina)
Ever wondered how a regional player becomes a national powerhouse? 🚀
Fedfina (Fedbank Financial Services) is doing exactly that. Backed by the massive trust of Federal Bank, they’ve built a "safe-yet-fast" lending machine.
Let's break down why investors are watching. 🏦👇
(1/10)
Joby Alias retweeted
SOBHA's Q3 FY26 reported financials declined due to accounting methods, but operational performance was superior with record quarterly real estate sales value of ₹21.15 billion, growing 52.3% YoY.
This strong sales execution, coupled with a turnaround in the Contractual and Manufacturing segment and debt reduction, provides high visibility for future revenue and profitability.
Positive Factors
Highest-ever quarterly real estate sales value of ₹21.15 billion, a growth of 52.3% YoY.
Contractual and Manufacturing segment reported a profit of ₹316.67 million, a turnaround from a loss of ₹(106.71) million YoY.
Finance costs decreased 35.96% YoY to ₹302.82 million.
9M FY26 revenue grew 14.46% to ₹32,026.63 million.
Standalone PBT grew 7.59% YoY and PAT grew 11.40% YoY.
Strategic entry into the Mumbai market and expansion to 13 cities.
Risk Factors
Consolidated revenue from operations declined 22.95% YoY and 33.00% QoQ to ₹9,431.13 million.
Consolidated PAT declined 28.85% YoY and 78.73% QoQ to ₹154.28 million.
EBITDA margin compressed to 5.14%, lower than Q2 FY26 (10.7%) and management's guidance (15%-18%).
Contingent liabilities related to ongoing matters with ED and Income Tax Department remain monitorables.
Joby Alias retweeted
Found a potential 10x bagger!
Over the last 11 years of stock investing, I've had 3x to 10x baggers ( I'll write separately about these with proofs)
So, I've successfully identified and held onto these to enjoy multi-fold returns.
This time, it's Tembo Global Industries. Let's understand it in detail 👇🧵
The company operates mainly in 4 verticals (FY26 revenue share --> FY27 revenue share)
1. EPC (47% of the business --> FY27 to be 60%)
2. Textile (53% of business --> FY27 to be 10%)
3. Defense (Capacity building --> FY27 to be 20%)
4. Power (Monetization from Q4 26 --> FY27 to be 10%)
And each of the sectors has a trigger
1. EPC - Capacity increasing to 6x in Q4FY26 and current order book of 1.5x of FY26 revenue
2. Textile - Zero capex, pure profit contribution - FY20-24 business growth CAGR 78%!
3. Defense - 100 acres of land allocated in Maharashtra to build a defense production capability
4. Power - 120 MW PPA contract commencing Q4 26 with 70 cr revenue potential in FY26 with 70-75% EBITA ~ 25-30% PAT
How did I discover this company? - This is where the mother of all triggers came in,
📅 18 Dec
Promoters invested ₹14.8 Cr by buying ~1.3% stake
(via convertible warrants)
This is skin-in-the-game capital allocation.
Now, let's understand why this company is unique and can be a multi-bagger
1. Micro cap - ~900 Cr MCAP at a 12.8 PE, so the journey from a small base with attractive valuation has multi-fold potential.
2. EPC scope - The EPC is super diverse and has multiple triggers like shipbuilding, recent gov policy, and auto customers they cater
3. PPA contract - 120MW PPA contract on 75% utilization with 20% PAT can contribute 90Cr PAT in FY27; FY26 total PAT estimate is ~85Cr. Strong PEG
Typically, we see winners that associate themselves with one sector like power, auto ancillary, etc., but Tembo is unique not because of the dreams they're showing but due to its track record of diversified execution
Other important metrics
1. Sales CAGR - 5Y: 57% (TTM FY26 - 76%)
2. PAT CAGR - 5Y: 84% (TTM FY26 - 159%)
3. ROCE - FY26: 31.4%
4. OPM - 13%
5. Cash flow - Measily +ve
6. Corporate governance with a diverse promoter group and Big 4 consulting firms for audit
7. Diverse independent directors and senior management
Risks (No matter how great a company, we can't ignore this)
1. EPC risks - If the projects are stuck, payment is stuck
2. Defense capex but no orders risks
Let's understand why the entry price makes sense
PE - 12.8
Valuation cool off by recent correction
- This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation
- Not a paid post
- No connection to the company or promoters
Recent price weakness is due to:
- Weak technicals
- Merger announcement (~4–5% Mcap impact)
Markets hate uncertainty—even when fundamentals stay intact.
Please do your research carefully before investing.
Now let's discuss allocation,
Having given such robust research, should you go all in on your portfolio, especially when the broad small-cap market is struggling, absolutely not, do not invest more than 2-5% of your portfolio.
What's the upside?
Comment "Valuation" and I'll send you the valuation analysis and share price growth analysis
#IndianStocks #StockMarketIndia #TemboGlobal
Joby Alias retweeted
How AMCs invest matters more than what they invest.
Each mutual fund house operates with a distinct investment & fund management philosophy — value, growth, quant, passive, risk-managed or hybrid approaches.
This infographic captures the core philosophies followed by major Indian AMCs, sourced from official disclosures and scheme documents.
A handy reference for investors and advisors evaluating process, discipline, and long-term alignment.
📌 For educational & research purposes only.
Source: AMCs Websites
📲 Join for Full PDF: t.me/+MVCmKWU5l6BiYzFl
#MutualFundResearch #AMCPhilosophy #InvestingBasics
