
CEO, Board Chair, ex-CMO, change agent | ex-@onechampionship @oneesports @activision @ATVI_AB @atari @motortrend @liveone | board & advisor
Los Angeles, CA
Joined April 2007
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I grew up on the East Coast surrounded by over-educated, under income-earning hardcore progressives. I knew these people deeply. They are my family. That prior existing skew has only gotten deeper as “bitterness” and anger and resentment has grown as they have realized their non-income earning degrees and debt hasn’t put them “ahead” of those they believe they are intellectually superior to. They refuse to get value creation and market value isn’t IQ or credential-based (they don’t understand @profgalloway’s point for example on why sales people deserve to make so much). So now they are turning to the DSA to “force” their ascension in the hierarchy by punishing higher income lower credentialed people. We are now beginning to see this crash into higher income POC who lived the American dream and were rewarded fiscally for it. My gardner in LA runs 4 crews each driving $100k 2025 trucks. He crosses the southern border monthly bringing goods to family there unafraid of ICE. He isn’t voting for the DSA candidate for mayor and he voted red in 2024.
Amazing @kevinolearytv wisdom drops. Indeed, one of the things I love best about American capitalist business is it changes every 20 minutes. And love that he’s a @gibsonguitar man.
Mr Wonderful (@kevinolearytv) has become the face of American capitalism.
He is a straight-shooter known for the villainous character he plays on Shark Tank, but what if there is more to the story?
@polinapompliano's latest profile of Kevin is A+
READ: readtheprofile.com/p/kevin-o…
Jonathan Anastas retweeted
we gave @colossusmag a look at what @mvernal @pranavreddy @igarciacamargo me & team @conviction are trying to do — find and arm the most extraordinary founders at a moment when technology molds a malleable future
feels like a mission! but yes, acting with belief is also a wager
In 2018, Sarah Guo became the youngest general partner in Greylock's 60-year history. She was 28. Four years later, she quit to launch Conviction, a firm staked entirely on AI.
Before ChatGPT shipped, she seeded Baseten and Harvey; each is now worth over $11 billion. In Conviction's first year, she wrote early checks into Sierra, Cognition, and Mistral; those three companies are now worth, together, $54 billion.
Andrej Karpathy worked out of Conviction's office until Anthropic hired him in May. Guo has been close to Jensen Huang for over a decade. Her first two calls after starting the firm were to Sam Altman and Nat Friedman.
And yet the investor closest to the AI frontier is betting against its biggest companies.
The two big frontier labs, worth close to a trillion dollars apiece, no longer just want to build the models. They also want to build every product and company on top of them, leaving nothing for anyone else.
The market is paying as though they might succeed. Of the $300 billion in venture capital deployed in the first quarter of 2026, the biggest quarter in the history of the trade, 65% went to only four companies: Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, and Waymo.
Guo is betting the labs can't build everything, and she spends her days making sure of it. She won Harvey its first client. She flew across the country to take a single Baseten candidate to a four-hour lunch. On one wedding anniversary, she spent the whole weekend on back-to-back calls, keeping two founders on the line so they couldn't speak to rival firms. Twice a year, she flies the world's brightest young founders to San Francisco and inducts them into the fight.
In the months @domcooke spent reporting this piece, @saranormous had her fourth child, walked the Met Gala in 45 pounds of chainmail, and still answered her founders' texts within minutes.
Guo's parents arrived from China in 1987 with $50, built a company, and took it public at $1.2 billion. Then it went bankrupt. Guo grew up inside that startup. She built its first website, did her homework in a cubicle, and slept over for bug bashes. She loved it.
If two labs build everything, no one gets to do that again.
Welcome to Sarah's Wager. Read it below.
Luddites.
New York governor Kathy Hochul’s decision to place a one-year moratorium on data center construction in the state is “short-sighted,” writes @wolfejosh, the managing partner and co-founder of Lux Capital.
“The New Yorkers left behind—upstate especially—will be told that they were protected from high prices, when really they missed out on their piece of the future,” he writes.
Read the full analysis here: bit.ly/4yxyv5x
Jonathan Anastas retweeted
The backlash against data centers is the most blatantly misinformation-driven technophobic panic I've ever seen in my decade covering politics & policy.
The new Luddites call themselves "progressives."
Math. Is math. The one part that is left out, though is really a fair comparison would be buying the S&P 500 on 5X leverage margin and getting a $500,000 tax-free get out of jail free card on the Gains at the other end.
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Jonathan Anastas retweeted
My latest with the amazing team at @TheFP
NY and Gov. Hochul made a terribly unwise call
Jonathan Anastas retweeted
This is the intellectual version of a COVID Mask. You may think you’re doing something smart but you’re not.
Great advice once again to people who want to be thought leaders. They better be your thoughts. And if they are your thoughts, they better not be so filtered through a machine that they no longer look like your thoughts.
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Around this time in 2019, I started conversations with Chatri Sityodtong about joining ONE as Group CMO. It turned into riding a rocketship for more than two years of massive growth, fundraising, and moving across the globe just months before the pandemic. Facing nearly five months of no live events, due to COVID, we made the decision to double down on short form digital video, ahead of nearly every sports league on the planet. Necessity bred innovation and leadership. We had no new linear content to build from as live events were banned. With this new focus, we went from the seventh biggest sports league in total video views to the second. Similarly, we started on Turner (Turner Broadcasting System, Inc) in the US and ended up on Prime Video & Amazon MGM Studios - way ahead of the industry pivot to sports steaming as well. The National Basketball Association (NBA) followed us. When I joined the company, it was valued at $950 million USD and when I left it was valued at $1.45 billion USD. You learn many things about yourself in every stage of your career, every success, every mistake, every decision. One of the key things that I learned is the scale and scope that “fits” me best. I do my best most effective and rewarding work at organizations that have already scaled to roughly $50 million to $150 million USD and are valued at $1 billion plus. Why? If you have a big idea that can move the business, there are resources to fund those ideas. You are not “idea rich and executional cash poor.” Secondly, you can afford an effective experienced director and VP level team who came from places like Bain & Company or McKinsey & Company etc. Again, when resource constrained, organizations have amazing leaders and excellent doers, but if leadership is pulled into a fundraises or a deal closes that missing middle gap becomes apparent as executional quality falls off without hands on leadership. Lastly, despite having those scaled advantages, a single executive, a single individual can still see their impact on the overall organization and outcomes. As well, my muscle memory works best at scale. While, I loved my time at Activision Blizzard equally, and felt I made a difference, no one person is responsible for $3 billion in Call of Duty® revenue. I was part of an deep All-Star team and the company likely would have been equally as successful without me. I was reminded of all of this coming out of recent activations with the Ultimate Fighting Championship Freedom 250 and the Fighters Only World MMA Awards along side fight week in Las Vegas. More on leveraging this sweet spot soon.
My new “bubble” tell/short indicator: when the help and the kids and the grandparents are all in first class with the parents we are at peak froth. It used to be “what percent of the restaurant was ordering the seafood tower”. Or in Cannes, “what percent of guests at Mome ordered the $800 euro lobster entree.” Based on #1 and #3, sell! @AmericanAir
To key things here tied together: 1) is every single one of these DSA leaders, a trust fund privileged, white male? The “worker” revolution is all elites. The grandson of the founder of a top company was the Platner vetter who doesn’t want “lab grown” (safe) candidates. And 2) he - himself - has three sexual harassment claims and is banned from attending all events from the Black female congresswoman he helped get elected. Do the hypocrisies and ironies get any deeper?
This. There are economic levers. And there are feelings. They are not the same.
Socialists imagine a class struggle. In their made-up fantasy the CEO is in competition with low level workers, the wealthy entrepreneur is stealing from the underpaid nurse.
In reality, workers do not compete vertically they compete horizontally.
Entrepreneurs compete with entrepreneurs. Investors outbid each other. CEOs are benchmarked against other CEOs. Nurses are hired from a pool of nurses. Etc.
The CEOs pay has no correlation to the entry level workers. The Football star on £300K a week isn’t linked to the person selling drinks in the stadium. A biotech entrepreneur raising VC capital isn’t paid relative to a cleaner.
What is linked is the demand and supply dynamic of each role.
If a company places an ad for a qualified truck driver and 150 people apply for the role, then the company knows it does not need to increase wages for that role. If the company has an open role for months, it is forced to look at the compensation package.
Same for a CEO. A board representing shareholders would like to hire a CEO for a lot less if they could. Their dream scenario would be to hire a CEO who brings in institutional investors, attracts top executives, drives innovation and growth, keeps margins steady and is a good public face for the business even under pressure. It turns out there aren’t a lot of these people looking for work and if you want one you have to pay more than other companies are offering.
The class struggle isn’t vertical it’s horizontal. CEOs are in competition with CEOs. Retail workers are in competition with retail workers. Demand and supply dynamics set the price.
Sure you can say that a CEO want’s profitability and would like wages to be lower BUT it’s not up to the CEO - demand and supply tension sets the price of workers. An Airline like RyanAir would like free pilots if they could get them but they can’t… so they pay the market rate.
The reason incomes are rising at the top and falling at the bottom is not class warfare. It’s technology and globalisation.
Technology makes basic jobs simple, remote or fully automated. At the same time tech makes executive roles more leveraged, more important and more valuable.
A CEO used to run a smaller organisation. Today a CEO who’s 2% better on a $5B company is generating $100M more. Seems sensible to try and pay a few million to get $100M.
Globalisation has put workers from all over the world in completion with each other - downward pressure on wages. Globalisation has given CEOs more market opportunities to explore - upside opportunity to unlock.
The rich are not very interested in buying houses that poor people own. The poor are not buying up the homes the rich want. They are separate groups living separate lives. Try finding the genuinely rich people whose strategy is to hoard normal residential homes - it barely exists as a thing. About 85% of landlords are people who own 1-4 properties. Super-landlords (100+ properties) are 0.2% of landlords and own a tiny fraction of the 30M homes in the UK… and they’re heavily taxed.
Class warfare isn’t real. It’s an imagined war in the minds of socialists.
Demand and supply dynamics are real. To the degree it is measured in class, it’s a horizontal competition not a vertical one.
Jonathan Anastas retweeted
The profile I've been waiting to read about Steve Hilton's better, richer, quieter half — tech PR superstar Rachel Whetstone. Terrific reporting by @eshugerman
for @sfstandard. sfstandard.com/2026/07/06/ra…
On July 4th, a great reminder that this imperfect American experiment is - even today - a draw to immigrants from all over the world who prefer our form of self-deterministic, merit-based free market economy to the places they fled from, when looking for more opportunity. And for those who believe we don’t today offer opportunity for immigrants, 30 percent of (the percent of first and second generation immigrants) Americans are responsible for owning and/of founding nearly 60% of our unicorns. Immigrants bring value to America. America offers unprecedented opportunity to those immigrants. Don’t let anyone convince you otherwise. American capitalism is the greatest economic force the world has ever seen. Today let’s celebrate not degrade this country and the system we built. We are a nation of makers not takers.
Sadly spot on @MarcNovicoff
If you live in LA read this. And if you have not voted build this into your decision model.
There are two ways to look at today's abdication of responsibility by LA on Measure ULA:
1. It's discouraging because it yet another example of how utterly broken LA governance is.
2. But it does free up the legislature to negotiate transfer tax reform at the state level to a level well below what was being bandied about in LA (3%).
When we were fighting for a state legislative solution last year, part of LA's pushback was that the state shouldn't force a fix down LA's throat and the city should be allowed to fix ULA itself.
Those of us who do business with the city and know our way around city government knew there was no way LA would fix ULA. But LA was allowed the grace to try and do so.
Now of course nine months later the result is in. LA cannot fix ULA. (Same as LA govt can't fix much of anything.)
LA's failure now gives the governor and the state legislature license to act.
There are tense transfer tax negotiations playing out in Sac right now. Only the Jarvis backers can pull their ballot measure and their offer at present time is too low. How the negotiations play out is anyone's guess.
But LA's failure today provides more negotiating room for the governor and legislature to cut a deal and they will be willing to do so at a level well below the 3% that the nimrods in LA had been talking about.
So @shooterjennings this may be driving what you worry about, agree?
























