Münster in Westfalen
Joined March 2020
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Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
While there is increasingly strong evidence that global warming is accelerating, we need to be careful about how we detect it. Unfortunately a newly published paper on the topic makes a number of mistakes in it approach, as I discuss over at The Climate Brink: theclimatebrink.com/p/how-no…
The preliminary OISSTv2.1 data suggest that the SST plateau in the Niño 3.4 region has come to an end.
Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
New paper in Nature Communications led by Lander Van Tricht: glacier models run with daily instead of monthly climate data project 5 to 10% more glacier ice loss by 2100. That adds 20 to 33 mm to global sea-level rise.
doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-7…
Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
Very useful:
Review of all (?) storminess reconstructions from coastal sediments published in 1985-2025 in Europe incl. several from our paleo-storminess group @Stockholm_Uni. A systematic large-scale storminess reconstruction remains on the to-do-list.
#storms #paleotempestology
Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
The central equatorial Pacific is experiencing its *strongest westerly wind burst* of this entire El Niño event — the 13th distinct burst across the wider Pacific this year.
It should help push Niño 3.4 temperatures toward 4°C above average by late November.
New review: Since 2009, climate fingerprint evidence for human-caused warming has grown far stronger across many variables, contradicting the 2025 DOE report used to rescind the EPA Endangerment Finding.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.…
IAPv4.2 ocean heat content data for September is in. Shown here are the anomalies for the upper 2000 meters of the ocean.
Another visualization of the September 2026 lower-tropospheric temperature anomalies, based on satellite measurements.
The dataset is NOAA-STAR. It has better coverage near the South Pole and does not exclude high mountain ranges. The baseline here is 1991–2020.
Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
“Here we analyze the latest observational temperature records through 2025 and identify a statistically significant doubling of the global warming rate during 2011–2025 (0.40 °C per decade) compared to 1971–2025 (0.20 °C per decade). Extrapolating this accelerated rate projects a crossing of the 1.5 °C threshold by 2028, nearly a decade earlier than previous estimates.” 1/ link in reply…
Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
Will this year's record-shattering El Niño event be the strongest in a millennium?
In a new piece over at The Climate Brink I review the paleoclimate literature from tree rings and corals and argue that may well turn out to be the case.
(link below)
Summer 2026 temperature anomalies of the lower troposphere, derived from satellite-based microwave radiometry.
Data source: Remote Sensing Systems (RSS).
The Relative Atlantic Niño Index using OISSTv2.1, following the method described by Tan et al 2023. It is the ATL3 region minus the global-mean SST anomaly and then rescaled to restore the share of the signal that the subtraction removed.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.…
Indonesisches Bergwiesel retweeted
The October runs for dynamical El Niño models are now all out, and its a mixed bag. Some revise the event downward, some upward, but on average its still expected to peak at ~4C, albeit with the peak more likely to occur in December than November:
Since there was a request: Here is an Indian Ocean Dipole index based on OISSTv2.1.
bom.gov.au/climate/iod/
