husband, father, grandfather, farmer, former president of Missouri Farm Bureau

Joined June 2012
Blake Hurst retweeted
Kevin Williamson - on Texas, from Texas. The best reported article I've read this cycle. Classic KW writing -- is there anyone better? -- and deep insights throughout. As enjoyable as a second helping of dessert and as nourishing as your veggies. thedispatch.com/newsletter/w…
21
53
5
282
30,551
blake8dd.substack.com/p/dont… I talk about stupid stuff. I leave a lot of stupid stuff out
1
63
Me and Angie once spent an afternoon in the Big City blake8dd.substack.com/p/sin-…
1
101
Mr. Trump, you are on the right path, but I don't think you have taken it far enough. If the nation loses $40 billion when we buy products from Canada, isn't it equally true that New York loses money when it buys products from Ohio? And isn't it true that I lose money when I buy products from my grocery store? There is so much more trade you could be stopping, thus making every household tens of thousands of dollars!
Trump: "We don't need their product. So if we cut off trade with that country, we just made $40 billion. You do a few countries like that, and we become a big money machine." 🙃
25
69
4
602
67,567
If people like myself and Scott, and a variety of free market conservatives who maintain affection for the classical economic principles we were raised on got together a couple of years ago to “worst case scenario” what could happen in the administration, we would not have come up with this. But here we are.
24
124
3
520
78,059
We are living in a Ross Thomas novel. The Fools in Town are all on Our Side.
1
167
Blake Hurst retweeted
A self-inflicted wound: Americans now pay 75% more for aluminum than the rest of the world, and 64% more for steel. The price of protectionism is to drive up the cost of living for ordinary citizens and to destroy businesses’ ability to compete. wsj.com/opinion/u-s-canada-s…
319
1,905
158
4,707
144,225
Blake Hurst retweeted
Druck nails it here. Its @EpsilonTheory’s common knowledge game, the standard dismissive public line is always “the debt has been an “issue” for 40 years” while privately they guilt-read @LukeGromen but theres nothing like sustained 6% deficits to force a shared, public reality.
Replying to @pineconemacro
Druck really made me feel sane today - some highlights from his WSJ Opinion piece: The market’s verdict was swift and correct: This wasn’t liquidity management, it was price management—and a mistake far larger than $4 billion suggests. There were no failed auctions, no dealer balance-sheet seizure, no forced unwinds, nothing resembling Treasurys in March 2020 or U.K. gilts in September 2022, the sort of genuine dysfunctional episodes that justify official action. Volatility was contained, and trading was orderly—not a malfunction but the machine doing its job. I have spent five decades trading on a simple premise: Markets aggregate information no committee possesses, and prices are how that information reaches decision makers. The long-term Treasury yield is the most important price in the world. It is also the only fiscal disciplinarian the U.S. has left. Democracies don’t repair their finances because a budget office publishes a table. They repair them only when the cost of inaction becomes visible and immediate, when mortgage rates bite, when auctions tail, when the political price of a rising long bond finally exceeds the political price of touching spending. Every basis point of artificial yield suppression is a subsidy to procrastination. Suppressed long rates sugarcoat the interest-cost projections, shrink the apparent urgency, and let incumbents assure voters the debt is someone else’s problem...Whatever this operation saves in basis points, it will cost multiples in delay. Yield management always begins as a technical operation and ends as a policy commitment. From 1942 to 1951, the Federal Reserve capped long Treasury yields to finance World War II. The cap outlived the war, financed deficits with printed money, and fueled double-digit inflation. It took the 1951 Treasury-Fed Accord to dismantle the cap, followed by years of financial repression that quietly taxed a generation of savers. U.S. policymakers built the wall between debt management and price management for a reason. This intervention starts dissolving it. Within a day of the announcement, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated the operations could grow beyond $4 billion, and analysts observed that Treasury can double them again and again. When the bond market didn’t respond to this threat, senior Treasury officials told reporters that the department could use the Treasury General Account to intervene. Once markets believe Treasury is defending a price, every rise in yields becomes a test of official resolve, and the operations must grow to survive the tests. These enlarged operations happen to run through the final stretch of a midterm campaign. Debt management that even appears to follow the political calendar spends the one asset that took two centuries to accumulate: the credibility of the Treasury market. That asset doesn’t regain its value so easily. Routine operations aren’t announced off-cycle, at double size, on the heels of the long bond’s hitting a two-decade high, with a signal that they can grow without limit. Judge an intervention by what it responds to. This one responded to a price, not to plumbing, which is exactly how the market read it, and why the effect evaporated within a day. You can’t buy your way out of a solvency conversation with liquidity tools. You can only postpone the conversation and raise the eventual price. If the 30-year must trade at 5.5% to clear, that isn’t a crisis. It is an invoice. Then do the only thing that durably lowers long-term yields: address the primary deficit. Governments defending prices against fundamentals always lose. The only variable is how much they spend before conceding. The U.S. shouldn’t put itself on the wrong side of that trade, not with the most important price in the world, and not when that price is trying to say the one thing Washington most needs to hear: Let the bond market speak. wsj.com/opinion/let-the-bond…
4
5
40
17,130
Ranchers are understandably furious about Trump messing in the cattle market . There was never this level of anger when he tanked soybean prices a decade ago. Maybe if we had been as angry then as we are now, farming might be in a better place. A lesson, if we learn it
3
202
If you’d like to build a data center, my farm is available. Who could be opposed to bringing business, jobs, and tax revenue to rural northwest Missouri? asks Blake Hurst on.wsj.com/4hAHTiC
5
2
1
9
3,142
Blake Hurst retweeted
Imagine Congress attempting to change the U.S. constitution and only receiving votes in California, Illinois, NY to successfully amend our sacred document. Sound ridiculous? Unfortunately that’s the situation Missouri is dealing with regarding our initiative petition process for constitutional amendments. Vote Yes on 4 to change this
41
26
4
106
3,679
And there it is (via REGIME CHANGE, ofc): the godfather of the Liberation Day tariff formula is none other than... Peter Navarro. And everyone else - including Lutnick, Bessent, and Trump - thought it was "f*cking stupid" (Shocking, I know.)
41
186
31
604
92,968
A story about a love story. Links in the comments
1
5
268
Bessent is wrong. Reagan had it right:
2
3
11
691
Their Coffee Is More Toxic Than Glyphosate Last week Del Bigtree (@delbigtree) and Food Babe (@foodbabe) rallied outside the Supreme Court against glyphosate. I've met these people. I exposed them in my films. They are not honest brokers. And they weren't alone. Cory Booker (@corybooker) and AOC (@aoc) are taking the bait on Glyphosate as evil— politicians I respect on a lot of issues. But not on this one. The science doesn't care about your team. The global scientific consensus is clear: the EPA, EU, Canada, Japan, and Australia have all concluded glyphosate does not cause cancer at real-world exposures. Oh — and their coffee is more toxic than glyphosate. Scientifically speaking. More receipts coming. Including a deep dive into IARC — the organization behind the "probable carcinogen" claim — and why they'll be front and center in my next project: TOXIC Stay tuned. @marklynas @bayer #Glyphosate #Roundup #FoodEvolution #ShotInTheArm #MAHA #PeopleVersusPoisin #FoodScience #ScienceMatters #Monsanto #IARC #SupremeCourt
7
31
9
79
78,174
A cry for help. Invest in my future open.substack.com/pub/blake8…
1
153