Replying to @gangbearegg
@grok whatβs the best way to clean ears
π HITRATELAB NFL
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Sun 9:30 AM ET
π Historical Hit Rates
MAIN LINES
PASSING YARDS
Trevor Lawrence 226+ -113 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 β’ L10 8/10 β’ L15 10/15
Jalen Hurts 187+ -113 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 7/15
PASSING TD
Jalen Hurts 1+ -185 BETMGM | L5 4/5 β’ L10 8/10 β’ L15 12/15
Trevor Lawrence 2+ -114 CAESARS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 8/15
PASS COMPLETIONS
Jalen Hurts 19+ -112 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 7/15
Trevor Lawrence 20+ -105 ESPNBET | L5 1/5 β’ L10 4/10 β’ L15 6/15
PASS ATTEMPTS
Trevor Lawrence 30+ -104 DRAFTKINGS | L5 1/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 8/15
Jalen Hurts 32+ +100 BOVADA | L5 1/5 β’ L10 4/10 β’ L15 5/15
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 7+ -109 BOVADA | L5 2/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 8/15
Bhayshul Tuten 15+ -124 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 4/10 β’ L15 4/15
Trevor Lawrence 4+ -108 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 9/15
RUSHING YARDS
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 27+ -113 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 9/15
Bhayshul Tuten 65+ -125 ESPNBET | L5 4/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 5/15
Trevor Lawrence 14+ -110 BETMGM | L5 1/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 10/15
RECEPTIONS
Brian Thomas Jr. 2+ -183 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 β’ L10 9/10 β’ L15 14/15
Parker Washington 5+ -125 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 7/15
Jakobi Meyers 4+ -121 CAESARS | L5 2/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 11/15
RECEIVING YARDS
Brian Thomas Jr. 25+ -111 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 12/15
Brenton Strange 32+ -110 BOVADA | L5 3/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 9/15
Jakobi Meyers 40+ -130 ESPNBET | L5 3/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 9/15
π§± BEST ALT FLOORS
π₯ ELITE β Brian Thomas Jr. 2+ Receptions -185 BOVADA
L5 4/5 β’ L10 9/10 β’ L15 14/15
π₯ ELITE β Brian Thomas Jr. 15+ Receiving Yards -229 DRAFTKINGS
L5 4/5 β’ L10 9/10 β’ L15 14/15
β
STRONG β Chris Rodriguez Jr. 6+ Rushing Attempts -208 DRAFTKINGS
L5 5/5 β’ L10 10/10 β’ L15 12/15
Historical hit rates only β not a guarantee.
#NFL #NFLProps #HitRateLab
Replying to @char_cliff
@grok what is concussion protocol and how do you get out of it
π§± BEST ALT FLOORS
π₯ ELITE β Juwan Johnson 30+ Receiving Yards -175 ESPNBET
L5 5/5 β’ L10 10/10 β’ L15 14/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 10/10 last 10.
π₯ ELITE β Juwan Johnson 3+ Receptions -245 FANDUEL
L5 5/5 β’ L10 10/10 β’ L15 14/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 10/10 last 10.
β
STRONG β Austin Hooper 1+ Receptions -490 FANDUEL
L5 5/5 β’ L10 9/10 β’ L15 14/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 2/2 this season.
β
STRONG β Brian Robinson 20+ Rushing Yards -360 FANDUEL
L5 4/5 β’ L10 9/10 β’ L15 12/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
β
STRONG β Austin Hooper 10+ Receiving Yards -192 FANDUEL
L5 4/5 β’ L10 8/10 β’ L15 12/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 2/2 this season.
π HITRATELAB NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Mon 8:15 PM ET
π Historical Hit Rates
MAIN LINES
PASSING YARDS
Tyler Shough 255+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 4/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 7/14
WHY: L10 average is 271.5, giving the 255+ floor a +16.5 cushion.
Michael Penix Jr. 221+ -112 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 8/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 1/1 this season.
PASSING TD
Tyler Shough 2+ -152 CAESARS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 4/10 β’ L15 5/14
WHY: season average is 2.7, giving the 2+ floor a +0.7 cushion.
Michael Penix Jr. 2+ +135 CAESARS | L5 1/5 β’ L10 2/10 β’ L15 3/15
WHY: Historical stability is 91% across available windows.
PASS COMPLETIONS
Tyler Shough 24+ +103 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 7/14
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Michael Penix Jr. 21+ -102 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 β’ L10 3/10 β’ L15 4/15
WHY: Historical stability is 85% across available windows.
PASS ATTEMPTS
Tyler Shough 33+ -108 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 7/14
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Michael Penix Jr. 31+ -102 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 7/15
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bijan Robinson 20+ -130 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 6/15
WHY: Historical stability is 90% across available windows.
Alvin Kamara 13+ -140 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 β’ L10 2/10 β’ L15 5/15
WHY: Historical stability is 88% across available windows.
RUSHING YARDS
Kendre Miller 21+ -109 CAESARS | L5 3/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 9/15
WHY: L10 average is 24.0, giving the 21+ floor a +3.0 cushion.
Brian Robinson 34+ -112 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 β’ L10 3/10 β’ L15 6/15
WHY: season average is 44.0, giving the 34+ floor a +10.0 cushion.
Bijan Robinson 87+ -112 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 β’ L10 4/10 β’ L15 5/15
WHY: L10 average is 104.4, giving the 87+ floor a +17.4 cushion.
RECEPTIONS
Chris Olave 7+ -155 ESPNBET | L5 5/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 8/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Austin Hooper 2+ +119 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 β’ L10 7/10 β’ L15 9/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 2/2 this season.
Juwan Johnson 4+ +104 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 β’ L10 8/10 β’ L15 11/15
WHY: L10 average is 4.9, giving the 4+ floor a +0.9 cushion.
RECEIVING YARDS
Juwan Johnson 38+ -110 DRAFTKINGS | L5 5/5 β’ L10 9/10 β’ L15 12/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Chris Olave 86+ -113 CAESARS | L5 5/5 β’ L10 6/10 β’ L15 8/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Austin Hooper 15+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 β’ L10 5/10 β’ L15 8/15
WHY: L10 average is 18.9, giving the 15+ floor a +3.9 cushion.
9/29/26 π NHL HIT RATE LAB
π§± BUILDERS
DraftKings OFFICIAL 3-LEG | -147
Filip Hronek + Aleksander Barkov + Rasmus Andersson
=====================
[GAME 1]
π NYR vs BOS β HIT RATE BOARD
β J.T. Miller β 1+ SOG | DK -575
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 2.00 | TOI 17.9 | Hist 90.5%
======================
[GAME 2]
π FLA vs CAR β HIT RATE BOARD
β Aleksander Barkov β 1+ SOG | DK -500
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.30 | TOI 19.3 | Hist 90.5%
β Carter Verhaeghe β 1+ SOG | DK -700
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 2.60 | TOI 19.2 | Hist 90.5%
β Logan Stankoven β 1+ SOG | DK -750
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.80 | TOI 16.7 | Hist 90.5%
β Sam Reinhart β 1+ SOG | DK -900
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 2.70 | TOI 21.0 | Hist 90.5%
β Sebastian Aho β 1+ SOG | DK -1000
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 20/20
Avg 2.90 | TOI 18.7 | Hist 90.5%
===================
[GAME 3]
π VGK vs CHI β HIT RATE BOARD
β Rasmus Andersson β 1+ SOG | DK -600
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.40 | TOI 23.2 | Hist 90.5%
β Mark Stone β 1+ SOG | DK -750
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 17/20
Avg 2.40 | TOI 19.3 | Hist 90.5%
β Patrick Kane β 1+ SOG | DK -800
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.40 | TOI 19.1 | Hist 90.5%
β Mitch Marner β 1+ SOG | DK -1000
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 2.50 | TOI 19.8 | Hist 90.5%
β Jack Eichel β 2+ SOG | DK -575
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 20/20
Avg 3.20 | TOI 20.8 | Hist 79.8%
=====================
[GAME 4]
π VAN vs EDM β HIT RATE BOARD
β Filip Hronek β 1+ SOG | DK -500
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.60 | TOI 27.4 | Hist 90.5%
β Brock Boeser β 1+ SOG | DK -900
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 2.20 | TOI 20.0 | Hist 90.5%
β Connor McDavid β 2+ SOG | DK -800
L5 4/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 4.50 | TOI 22.6 | Hist 79.8%
===================
[GAME 5]
π MTL vs TOR β HIT RATE BOARD
β Ivan Demidov β 1+ SOG | DK -800
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 17/20
Avg 2.00 | TOI 16.7 | Hist 90.5%
β Darren Raddysh β 2+ SOG | DK -235
L5 4/5 | L10 8/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 3.20 | TOI 22.1 | Hist 79.8%
β Auston Matthews β 2+ SOG | DK -700
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 3.40 | TOI 20.7 | Hist 79.8%
β Cole Caufield β 2+ SOG | DK -575
L5 3/5 | L10 8/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 4.10 | TOI 18.5 | Hist 79.0%
HOU @ IND β Week 3 Game Pack π
Full matchup overview, positional edges, and player usage for both teams.
Team + player deep dives below π
#NFL #HitRateLab
CIN @ PIT β Week 3 Game Pack π
Full matchup overview, positional edges, and player usage for both teams.
Team + player deep dives below π
#NFL #HitRateLab












