NFL • NBA • NHL • CFB Analytics 🧪 Hit rates • Prop research • SGP tools • Model picks Data-driven betting research.
Joined November 2025
- Tweets3.2K
- Following1.1K
- Followers988
- Likes887
🏈 HITRATELAB NFL
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Sun 9:30 AM ET
📊 Historical Hit Rates
MAIN LINES
PASSING YARDS
Trevor Lawrence 226+ -113 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 10/15
Jalen Hurts 187+ -113 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
PASSING TD
Jalen Hurts 1+ -185 BETMGM | L5 4/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 12/15
Trevor Lawrence 2+ -114 CAESARS | L5 3/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 8/15
PASS COMPLETIONS
Jalen Hurts 19+ -112 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
Trevor Lawrence 20+ -105 ESPNBET | L5 1/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 6/15
PASS ATTEMPTS
Trevor Lawrence 30+ -104 DRAFTKINGS | L5 1/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 8/15
Jalen Hurts 32+ +100 BOVADA | L5 1/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 5/15
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 7+ -109 BOVADA | L5 2/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 8/15
Bhayshul Tuten 15+ -124 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 4/15
Trevor Lawrence 4+ -108 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 9/15
RUSHING YARDS
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 27+ -113 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 9/15
Bhayshul Tuten 65+ -125 ESPNBET | L5 4/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 5/15
Trevor Lawrence 14+ -110 BETMGM | L5 1/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 10/15
RECEPTIONS
Brian Thomas Jr. 2+ -183 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
Parker Washington 5+ -125 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 7/15
Jakobi Meyers 4+ -121 CAESARS | L5 2/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 11/15
RECEIVING YARDS
Brian Thomas Jr. 25+ -111 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 12/15
Brenton Strange 32+ -110 BOVADA | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 9/15
Jakobi Meyers 40+ -130 ESPNBET | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 9/15
🧱 BEST ALT FLOORS
🔥 ELITE — Brian Thomas Jr. 2+ Receptions -185 BOVADA
L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
🔥 ELITE — Brian Thomas Jr. 15+ Receiving Yards -229 DRAFTKINGS
L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
✅ STRONG — Chris Rodriguez Jr. 6+ Rushing Attempts -208 DRAFTKINGS
L5 5/5 • L10 10/10 • L15 12/15
Historical hit rates only — not a guarantee.
#NFL #NFLProps #HitRateLab
🏈 HITRATELAB NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Mon 8:15 PM ET
📊 Historical Hit Rates
MAIN LINES
PASSING YARDS
Tyler Shough 255+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 4/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 7/14
WHY: L10 average is 271.5, giving the 255+ floor a +16.5 cushion.
Michael Penix Jr. 221+ -112 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 8/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 1/1 this season.
PASSING TD
Tyler Shough 2+ -152 CAESARS | L5 3/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 5/14
WHY: season average is 2.7, giving the 2+ floor a +0.7 cushion.
Michael Penix Jr. 2+ +135 CAESARS | L5 1/5 • L10 2/10 • L15 3/15
WHY: Historical stability is 91% across available windows.
PASS COMPLETIONS
Tyler Shough 24+ +103 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 7/14
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Michael Penix Jr. 21+ -102 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 3/10 • L15 4/15
WHY: Historical stability is 85% across available windows.
PASS ATTEMPTS
Tyler Shough 33+ -108 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 7/14
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Michael Penix Jr. 31+ -102 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bijan Robinson 20+ -130 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 6/15
WHY: Historical stability is 90% across available windows.
Alvin Kamara 13+ -140 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 • L10 2/10 • L15 5/15
WHY: Historical stability is 88% across available windows.
RUSHING YARDS
Kendre Miller 21+ -109 CAESARS | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 9/15
WHY: L10 average is 24.0, giving the 21+ floor a +3.0 cushion.
Brian Robinson 34+ -112 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 • L10 3/10 • L15 6/15
WHY: season average is 44.0, giving the 34+ floor a +10.0 cushion.
Bijan Robinson 87+ -112 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 5/15
WHY: L10 average is 104.4, giving the 87+ floor a +17.4 cushion.
RECEPTIONS
Chris Olave 7+ -155 ESPNBET | L5 5/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 8/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Austin Hooper 2+ +119 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 9/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 2/2 this season.
Juwan Johnson 4+ +104 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 11/15
WHY: L10 average is 4.9, giving the 4+ floor a +0.9 cushion.
RECEIVING YARDS
Juwan Johnson 38+ -110 DRAFTKINGS | L5 5/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 12/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Chris Olave 86+ -113 CAESARS | L5 5/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 8/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
Austin Hooper 15+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 8/15
WHY: L10 average is 18.9, giving the 15+ floor a +3.9 cushion.
🧱 BEST ALT FLOORS
🔥 ELITE — Juwan Johnson 30+ Receiving Yards -175 ESPNBET
L5 5/5 • L10 10/10 • L15 14/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 10/10 last 10.
🔥 ELITE — Juwan Johnson 3+ Receptions -245 FANDUEL
L5 5/5 • L10 10/10 • L15 14/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 10/10 last 10.
✅ STRONG — Austin Hooper 1+ Receptions -490 FANDUEL
L5 5/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 2/2 this season.
✅ STRONG — Brian Robinson 20+ Rushing Yards -360 FANDUEL
L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 12/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 3/3 this season.
✅ STRONG — Austin Hooper 10+ Receiving Yards -192 FANDUEL
L5 4/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 12/15
WHY: Cleared this floor 2/2 this season.
9/29/26 🏒 NHL HIT RATE LAB
🧱 BUILDERS
DraftKings OFFICIAL 3-LEG | -147
Filip Hronek + Aleksander Barkov + Rasmus Andersson
=====================
[GAME 1]
🏒 NYR vs BOS — HIT RATE BOARD
⭐ J.T. Miller — 1+ SOG | DK -575
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 2.00 | TOI 17.9 | Hist 90.5%
======================
[GAME 2]
🏒 FLA vs CAR — HIT RATE BOARD
⭐ Aleksander Barkov — 1+ SOG | DK -500
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.30 | TOI 19.3 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Carter Verhaeghe — 1+ SOG | DK -700
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 2.60 | TOI 19.2 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Logan Stankoven — 1+ SOG | DK -750
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.80 | TOI 16.7 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Sam Reinhart — 1+ SOG | DK -900
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 2.70 | TOI 21.0 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Sebastian Aho — 1+ SOG | DK -1000
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 20/20
Avg 2.90 | TOI 18.7 | Hist 90.5%
===================
[GAME 3]
🏒 VGK vs CHI — HIT RATE BOARD
⭐ Rasmus Andersson — 1+ SOG | DK -600
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.40 | TOI 23.2 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Mark Stone — 1+ SOG | DK -750
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 17/20
Avg 2.40 | TOI 19.3 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Patrick Kane — 1+ SOG | DK -800
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.40 | TOI 19.1 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Mitch Marner — 1+ SOG | DK -1000
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 2.50 | TOI 19.8 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Jack Eichel — 2+ SOG | DK -575
L5 5/5 | L10 10/10 | L20 20/20
Avg 3.20 | TOI 20.8 | Hist 79.8%
=====================
[GAME 4]
🏒 VAN vs EDM — HIT RATE BOARD
⭐ Filip Hronek — 1+ SOG | DK -500
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 19/20
Avg 2.60 | TOI 27.4 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Brock Boeser — 1+ SOG | DK -900
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 2.20 | TOI 20.0 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Connor McDavid — 2+ SOG | DK -800
L5 4/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 4.50 | TOI 22.6 | Hist 79.8%
===================
[GAME 5]
🏒 MTL vs TOR — HIT RATE BOARD
⭐ Ivan Demidov — 1+ SOG | DK -800
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 17/20
Avg 2.00 | TOI 16.7 | Hist 90.5%
⭐ Darren Raddysh — 2+ SOG | DK -235
L5 4/5 | L10 8/10 | L20 16/20
Avg 3.20 | TOI 22.1 | Hist 79.8%
⭐ Auston Matthews — 2+ SOG | DK -700
L5 5/5 | L10 9/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 3.40 | TOI 20.7 | Hist 79.8%
⭐ Cole Caufield — 2+ SOG | DK -575
L5 3/5 | L10 8/10 | L20 18/20
Avg 4.10 | TOI 18.5 | Hist 79.0%
HOU @ IND — Week 3 Game Pack 🏈
Full matchup overview, positional edges, and player usage for both teams.
Team + player deep dives below 👇
#NFL #HitRateLab
CIN @ PIT — Week 3 Game Pack 🏈
Full matchup overview, positional edges, and player usage for both teams.
Team + player deep dives below 👇
#NFL #HitRateLab
CAR @ CLE — Week 3 Game Pack 🏈
Full matchup overview, positional edges, and player usage for both teams.
Team + player deep dives below 👇
#NFL #HitRateLab
🏈 HITRATELAB NFL
ATLANTA FALCONS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS
Thu 8:15 PM ET
📊 Historical Hit Rates
MAIN LINES
PASSING YARDS
Michael Penix Jr. 206+ -111 BOVADA | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 7/14
Jordan Love 227+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 8/15
PASSING TD
Michael Penix Jr. 1+ -265 CAESARS | L5 4/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 8/14
Jordan Love 2+ -110 ESPNBET | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
PASS COMPLETIONS
Michael Penix Jr. 19+ -120 BETMGM | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 7/14
Jordan Love 19+ -138 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 8/15
PASS ATTEMPTS
Michael Penix Jr. 32+ -102 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 7/14
Jordan Love 30+ -127 BOVADA | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Bijan Robinson 19+ -101 BOVADA | L5 2/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 7/15
Jordan Love 3+ -132 FANDUEL | L5 1/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 8/15
Kaleb Johnson 10+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 0/5 • L10 0/10 • L15 0/12
RUSHING YARDS
Michael Penix Jr. 5+ +108 FANDUEL | L5 4/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 7/14
Brian Robinson 23+ -109 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 8/15
Bijan Robinson 80+ -110 ESPNBET | L5 2/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 8/15
RECEPTIONS
Jonnu Smith 2+ +140 BETMGM | L5 3/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 9/15
Bijan Robinson 5+ -114 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 8/15
Olamide Zaccheaus 2+ +144 BOVADA | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 10/15
RECEIVING YARDS
Jonnu Smith 8+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 8/15
Tucker Kraft 50+ +100 ESPNBET | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
Kyle Pitts Sr. 36+ -110 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 9/15
🏈 HITRATELAB NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS @ LOS ANGELES RAMS
Mon 8:15 PM ET
📊 Historical Hit Rates
MAIN LINES
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford 243+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 4/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 11/15
Jaxson Dart 213+ -111 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 5/15
PASSING TD
Matthew Stafford 2+ -200 ESPNBET | L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 13/15
Jaxson Dart 2+ +195 CAESARS | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 6/15
PASS COMPLETIONS
Matthew Stafford 22+ -106 FANDUEL | L5 4/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 10/15
Jaxson Dart 20+ -110 BOVADA | L5 4/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 6/15
PASS ATTEMPTS
Matthew Stafford 33+ -101 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 9/15
Jaxson Dart 32+ -103 DRAFTKINGS | L5 2/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 5/15
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Cam Skattebo 14+ +100 FANDUEL | L5 4/5 • L10 5/9 • L15 5/9
Jaxson Dart 6+ -147 DRAFTKINGS | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 9/15
Blake Corum 11+ +114 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 7/15
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Skattebo 51+ -110 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 • L10 6/9 • L15 6/9
Kyren Williams 50+ -295 BETMGM | L5 4/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 13/15
Blake Corum 46+ -113 DRAFTKINGS | L5 4/5 • L10 7/10 • L15 8/15
RECEPTIONS
Davante Adams 4+ -132 BOVADA | L5 4/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 12/15
Puka Nacua 7+ -130 FANDUEL | L5 3/5 • L10 6/10 • L15 10/15
Malik Nabers 6+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 10/15
RECEIVING YARDS
Malik Nabers 50+ -275 BETMGM | L5 3/5 • L10 8/10 • L15 13/15
Davante Adams 50+ -105 BETMGM | L5 3/5 • L10 5/10 • L15 10/15
Puka Nacua 86+ -114 FANDUEL | L5 2/5 • L10 4/10 • L15 7/15
🧱 BEST ALT FLOORS
🔥 ELITE — Davante Adams 3+ Receptions -340 FANDUEL
L5 5/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
🔥 ELITE — Davante Adams 25+ Receiving Yards -362 DRAFTKINGS
L5 5/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
🔥 ELITE — Kyren Williams 12+ Rushing Attempts -331 DRAFTKINGS
L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 14/15
🔥 ELITE — Matthew Stafford 2+ Passing TD -225 DRAFTKINGS
L5 4/5 • L10 9/10 • L15 13/15
✅ STRONG — Puka Nacua 5+ Receptions -500 FANDUEL
L5 5/5 • L10 10/10 • L15 14/15