Author, “It’s Earnings That Count." Next book: "Expected Value: How Superinvestors Decide." Hint: ((BPT - SP) x COS) / ((SP - bPT) x COF) ≥ 3x. 🌲

United States
Joined May 2018
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
"Break up Berkshire Hathaway?" That was the headline on something I wrote in 2014 about what may have been the late Ted O’Glove’s most controversial, boldest call. It may be more relevant than ever today. I explain.. cc @HewittHeiserman herbgreenberg.com/p/break-up…
1
3
1
13
5,219
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Here's how you can read $CCXI's 300+ page S-4, filed 09/04/2026 in minutes, not hours (for completely free). 1) Sign up to my SEC reading tool (it's free): secsift.com 2) Search "CCXI" or just click here to access the filing: secsift.com/?t=CCXI&a=000121… 3) You'll get 100 free credits on sign up, so you can run the "SIFT" AI analysis (button on the top right). 4) Navigate to "Routine" on the SIFT tab. Select "Fade" or "Hide" to ignore all legal-speak and generic risk factors. 5) Navigate to the "Filter." Uncheck "Skip" sections the AI labels as not important. You can also collapse skipped sections from the filing. 6) Wait ~1 minute for SIFT AI to grade each section. It'll take you ~15 minutes to read everything important there instead of several hours. Screenshot shows just a handful of the risks.
1
1
1
3
1,258
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
For six thousand years, every government that gained control of money supply eventually debased it. Every single one. The Romans clipped coins. Henry VIII sweated the silver. The Federal Reserve has destroyed roughly 97% of the dollar's purchasing power since 1913. The state and money have been inseparable partners in a very one-sided relationship, and you have always been the one paying the bill. Bitcoin changes this at the protocol level. When Satoshi Nakamoto launched the network on January 3, 2009, he embedded a message in the genesis block referencing a bank bailout. The 21 million coin limit is enforced by mathematics and consensus, not by the goodwill of appointed technocrats sitting on the Federal Open Market Committee. No treasury secretary calls Satoshi. No emergency session votes to expand the supply. The issuance schedule simply runs. Free market thinkers from Mises to Hayek spent careers arguing that sound money requires separation from political control. Bitcoin executes that separation instead of petitioning for it. You hold your keys, and no Jerome Powell successor can inflate your savings to fund a war you never voted for. Church and state were once inseparable too. The separation felt radical, then obvious. Monetary policy is too consequential to leave to governments. Bitcoin delivers the institutional answer we never had. You don't need permission, and nobody is coming to fix it. It already works.
41
141
18
517
14,872
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Be Like Ken
2
1
12
1,845
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
The Wright brothers invented powered flight at Kitty Hawk in December 1903, and then they spent the next decade making sure nobody else in America could improve on it. After building the first airplane, they built an army of lawyers, not better airplanes. Orville and Wilbur secured U.S. Patent 821,393 in 1906, a patent so broad it claimed the very concept of lateral control, and they used it as a club. When Glenn Curtiss developed ailerons (a genuinely superior system to the Wrights' wing-warping), they sued him into oblivion. The litigation dragged from 1909 through 1917. Curtiss burned his energy on courtrooms in Buffalo instead of wind tunnels. Let's measure the result. By August 1914 France fielded roughly 1,400 military aircraft. Germany had around 1,000. The United States, birthplace of the airplane, mustered fewer than 30 serviceable machines, and most of them were obsolete. Patents are state grants of monopoly, and monopoly does what monopoly always does: it freezes the incumbent in place and taxes everyone who wants to build on his work. In France, Louis Blériot, Gabriel Voisin, and the Farman brothers competed openly, copying and refining each other's designs. Competition compounds knowledge. Legal privilege hoards it. Washington eventually noticed that its "arsenal of democracy" couldn't produce a decent warplane. So in 1917 the government forced a patent pool, the Manufacturers Aircraft Association, to break the logjam it had created in the first place. The government fixed the wreckage of its own privilege. You will see that pattern again. The lesson holds. Patents stifle innovation. It always has and always will. Innovation is not a thing you protect. It is a thing you permit. As always, government intervention makes things worse, not better.
74
171
29
626
21,423
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
I can't stop listening to this song. Best thing that came out of the World cup being in the United States this year. 🇺🇸 Watching this compilation of fans from all over the world at the 2026 World Cup in America is so heartwarming. USA USA USA 🇺🇸
727
3,210
430
22,982
2,073,772
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Currency Boards. Two countries pegged their currencies to the dollar. One built a fortress. The other built a fraud. The difference tells you everything about why a currency board works only when the people running it refuse to cheat. Hong Kong set up its board in October 1983. The rule was brutally simple: 7.8 Hong Kong dollars per US dollar, and every note in circulation had to be backed by actual US dollars sitting in the Exchange Fund. No printing without reserves. No clever interventions. When money flowed out, the monetary base contracted and rates rose automatically. Painful? Sometimes. But the peg held through the 1997 Asian crisis, when speculators threw everything they had at it and walked away with nothing. It holds today, 41 years later. A board that actually behaves like a board does its job because nobody gets to override the arithmetic. Argentina copied the form and skipped the substance. Domingo Cavallo's Convertibility Plan launched in April 1991, one peso to one dollar, and for a few years the inflation that had hit 3,000 percent in 1989 vanished. You could believe it was real money. Buenos Aires kept borrowing in dollars while spending in pesos it pretended were dollars, and the provinces issued their own quasi-currencies (Patacones, Lecops) the moment Cordoba ran short. A true currency board cannot do that. Argentina's could, because politicians treated the peg as a marketing slogan rather than a discipline. So the reserves never fully covered the liabilities. The state ran deficits and prayed. When Brazil devalued the real in 1999 and Argentine exports priced themselves out of the market, the peso was stuck at parity with a dollar that kept climbing. The government froze bank accounts in December 2001 (the corralito), people rioted, five presidents passed through the Casa Rosada in two weeks, and the peg shattered in January 2002. Savings denominated in dollars got forcibly converted to pesos at gunpoint rates. A currency board is a promise to obey rules you cannot bend. Hong Kong meant it. Argentina lied. Money does not forgive liars, and it does not accept excuses. @steve_hanke
11
46
3
199
6,448
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Imagine starting with a block of stone and ending up with this...
161
1,238
78
12,154
254,177
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Tokenized Tesla ≠ Tesla. Many buyers own a position in a vehicle that tracks the stock. The architecture determines counterparty risk, dividend delivery, & what happens when any layer fails. Here’s why the wrapper matters 👇
3
5
1
37
4,052
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Hewitt Heiserman
@HewittHeiserman7 Feb 2025
Everyone who owns $GOLD is in the green. For now, the path of least resistance is up. Bullish.
3
1
3
279
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Most investors trust earnings to tell them if a company is profitable, even though Enron and WorldCom both reported "healthy profits" right before they collapsed. The problem goes beyond fraud—GAAP accounting omits information about true cash generation and value creation. So how can we separate companies with authentic earnings power from accounting mirages? @HewittHeiserman's solution in "It's Earnings That Count" (2005) was to build two alternate income statements that fix these omissions, then plot the results on a four-quadrant scatter chart: 🧵
2
1
5
444
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Julian Robertson once called Steve Mandel, founder of Lone Pine Capital, "probably the greatest analyst of all time" For 25+ years, Lone Pine has returned 15% annually vs. 9% for the S&P 500. They did this by focusing on one key trait. Let’s study their strategy & top stocks:
5
22
1
421
101,293
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Me and my book were on NBC bay area! Apologies for the bland background, the kids were home so I had to sneak off and record in the only spot I could find that was both quiet and had strong wifi :) youtube.com/watch?v=hW8DRccj…
2
1
5
919
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Elon Musk
@elonmusk3 Jun 2025
I’m sorry, but I just can’t stand it anymore. This massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill is a disgusting abomination. Shame on those who voted for it: you know you did wrong. You know it.
53,785
77,840
18,567
628,929
144,724,953
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
1
2
419
One of the most important insights for fundamental investors According to McKinsey >80% of companies with a high ROIC continue to have a high ROIC ten years later.
8
37
5
410
38,143
Corporate Strategy books that every investors should read
6
36
1
334
26,371
Hewitt Heiserman retweeted
Hewitt Heiserman
@HewittHeiserman17 May 2025
Replying to @porterstansb
Agree (pg.91) sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…. Worse, our bank of banks is even more levered, as assets are 146 times capital. A paltry 68 basis point decline in the value of the Fed's assets wipes out its equity cushion (pg. 6) federalreserve.gov/aboutthef…
2
2
931
Ben Graham’s investment in Geico wasn’t merely a value play—it was a strategic allocation into a business with asymmetric upside and a structural distribution advantage. Geico’s direct-to-consumer model bypassed traditional insurance brokers, unlocking lower customer acquisition costs, superior unit economics, and scalable operational leverage. It compounded value not just through margin expansion but by structurally outpacing competitors. In much the same way, businesses building on Avalanche are capitalizing on foundational infrastructure arbitrage: 🧵
2
1
2
364