Official Home of #GrindingTheMocks. Predict the Draft, Don’t Guess It. Grinding Since 2019. Created by @benj_robinson.

Silver Spring, MD
Joined June 2021
Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Go to @GrindingMocks and see just how many Longhorns are projected to get drafted early. That shows you exactly how unacceptable these last two losses are for #Texas.
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Draftniks put way too many QBs in their early Round 1 mocks! '26 and '27 are outlier classes, especially when the base number of QBs drafted in Round 1 is ~3. More on this and a first look at the #GrindingTheMocks Top 32 at grindingthemocks.substack.co… and my chat with @EdWithSports.
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It's good to be the King! More to come. #GrindingTheMocks
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Replying to @Stat_Ron
It’s been begun, haha! We’re already at 150 plus EDP-eligible players at @GrindingMocks.
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Rest easy, baby girl.
Last night, our cat Leia, who is listed fondly as “Chief Feline Officer” of @GrindingMocks, succumbed to the cancer that she was fighting and walked the Rainbow Bridge. I’ll miss her so much.
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Was excited to make my triumphant return to @WMoneyball! Pretty cool to share an episode with @R_Thaler. Also, I’m happy to announce that @GrindingMocks worked with 7 teams out of 32 in the NFL last year. Onward and upward!
Today's show is available in Podcast Form NOW! Richard Thaler, Nobel Laureate and Professor at the University of Chicago, and Benjamin Robinson, Founder of Grinding the Mocks discuss the impact of cognitive bias, valuation frameworks and data strategies on NFL draft selections. Listen HERE: 👇👇👇 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
You can see from this chart why the Draft Probability Model thought that Nuss, Allar, and Klubnik would follow in Ewers' footsteps. Turned out it was just Nuss!
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
In my Draft Probability Models' numbers, the biggest reach in the 2026 NFL Draft was, in fact, the Steelers drafting Drew Allar. That model thought that Allar, Cade Klubnik, and Garrett Nussmeier were all going to follow in the footsteps of Quinn Ewers last year
Replying to @GrindingMocks
Top 3 Draft Capital Over Expected Reaches: 1. Nate Boerkircher, TE, Texas A&M (EDP: 191, Pick: 56, Jacksonville Jaguars) 2. Albert Regis, DT, Texas A&M (EDP: Undrafted, Pick: 81, Jacksonville Jaguars) 3. Zavion Thomas, WR, LSU (EDP: Undrafted, Pick 89, Chicago Bears)
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I present to you my pride and joy: Draft Capital Over Expected for the 2026 NFL Draft. The Jaguars are giving the 49ers a run for their money in the chase for consensus boards, while the Colts and Raiders are rewarded for halting some prospects' big falls!
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Top 3 Draft Capital Over Expected Reaches: 1. Nate Boerkircher, TE, Texas A&M (EDP: 191, Pick: 56, Jacksonville Jaguars) 2. Albert Regis, DT, Texas A&M (EDP: Undrafted, Pick: 81, Jacksonville Jaguars) 3. Zavion Thomas, WR, LSU (EDP: Undrafted, Pick 89, Chicago Bears)
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Top 3 Draft Capital Over Expected Fallers: 1. Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee (EDP: 22, Pick: 101, Las Vegas Raiders) 2. Deion Burks, WR, Oklahoma (EDP: 89, Pick: 254, Indianapolis Colts) 3. Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU (EDP: 90, Pick 249, Kansas City Chiefs)
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
We can do this now, but with the Jaguars and almost any of their other picks! Still the G4, though. Speaks to the lack of depth in the class. And yes, I know Jake Slaughter was announced as a guard!
If the 49ers draft EMW, people will say: "If only they just switched those picks around..."!
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Welp. This is very Ruben Hypolite-esque! Yuck. 7th Round Value.
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Surprised that Kaelon Black went before Mike Washington and Jonah Coleman! Will be a pretty decent overdraft here, too.
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
It's always easy to see Iowa players as Steelers players for some reason...
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
Go off, king!
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
An alternative metric for mock draft quality is the pick-adjusted mean squared error. By that number, this mock by @1TimMurray is our top mock of the cycle! Will publish some of this data on GrindingtheMocks.com at some point in the future. vsin.com/nfl/tim-murray-2026…
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Grinding the Mocks retweeted
According to @GrindingMocks data, and given that Jermod McCoy is still waiting to be drafted, this mock from @jamfed is my pick for the "most accurate" in this year's cycle by our pick-adjusted rank correlation. Oh, and he published it on 3/23! nationalfanatic.com/2026/03/…
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