@GenStilicho

Jacob Urowsky Professor of Strategic Studies at Hustlers University. Former CIA station chief for the Heard and MacDonald Islands.

stilichoreads.substack.com
Joined August 2021
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A thread with excerpts from The Grand Strategy of the Habsburg Empire by A. Wess Mitchell:
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"Don't worry guys, we still have allies"
Ragıp Soylu
@ragipsoyluOct 18
Netanyahu apparently displayed this map as part of his national security policy presentation.
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Protestantism seems like the obvious confounder here but it's interesting that the Dutch Republic was such a huge exception.
nephew jonathan
@nephew_jonathanOct 17
why do early modern witch-hunts do a pretty good job of predicting early industrialization and present-day high GDP
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Stilicho retweeted
D.Inkwell@DownInkwellOct 16
Anti FDR cartoons go insanely hard, wtf
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
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Stilicho retweeted
Aleph
@woke8yearoldOct 16
Honestly not really, Russia has been greatly weakened in realist terms. Invading Ukraine was irrational and silly from a realist pov. It made sense if you were a romantic Russian nationalist that has been disconnected from reality for decades like Putin has
John Ganz@lionel_trollingOct 16
Well, first of all, for some reason, Mearsheimer predicted that Russia would not invade Ukraine, because it wasn't smart, which was at variance with his own model. Ukraine only abandoned non-alignment after Russian moves in Crimea and Donbas
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אקדח מעשן: "השפעה ישירה על החלטת חמאס ליזום את מתקפת ה-7 באוקטובר": המסמך שכתבו אנשי נתניהו - ומאשים את הממשלה בניגוד לקמפיין שמאשים את ראשי מערכת הביטחון, מסמך דרמטי שכתבו אנשיו אחרי הטבח חושף את אחריות הדרג המדיני וההנחיות לצה"ל לפני 7/10: "שימור חמאס ככתובת שלטונית אפקטיבית, מרוסנת ומרסנת", לצד ויתור על הכרעה צבאית. נתניהו המציא גירסה- ושכח שהותיר מאחוריו שורה ארוכה של ראיות מפלילות אפשר להכריע בקלות את הויכוח בין נתניהו וראשי קהילת המודיעין ומערכת הביטחון אודות מי אמר שהחמאס מורתע, מי לא רצה להכריע את החמאס, ומי שאף להסדרה, כי ביקש להותיר את החמאס כשולט בעזה. תגובת משרד ראש הממשלה, בשמו של נתניהו, לטיוטת דו"ח מבקר המדינה היא ראייה מפלילה ישירה וחדה נגד הגירסה שאותו נתניהו מנסה למכור כעת. וכך נאמר שם, בין השאר: "הנחיות הדרג המדיני בנושא עזה בשנים האחרונות"כללו, בין היתר: דחיית עימותים; הסתמכות על המכשול; מהלומות עיתיות; שימור חמאס ככתובת שלטונית אפקטיבית, מרוסנת ומרסנת" . עוד נאמר כי "וכי גישה אסטרטגית זו של ממשלות ישראל "חלחלה לתוך התפיסה המבצעית של צה״ל בכל הנוגע להימנעות מהכרעת חמאס ועודדה חיפוש של 'תחליפי הכרעה'״. ועוד נאמר שם כי בנושא תפיסת הביטחון של ישראל, על רבדיה עלתה מסקנה מרכזית ולפיה עקרונות היסוד שגובשו על ידי בן-גוריון "נותרו תקפים אך בפועל )הם( לא יושמו בשנים שקדמו ל־ 7.10" וכי ישראל התרחקה מיישומן במהלך השנים. למשל, בכל הנוגע להרתעה בסיסית, ישראל לא עמדה על מספר מרכיבים "שנראה שהיו להם השפעה ישירה על החלטת חמאס ליזום את מתקפת ה- 7 באוקטובר". עוד צוין במסמך כי אחד המרכיבים הנוגעים להרתעה הבסיסית שישראל התרחקה מיישומו במהלך השנים הוא "תפיסת ההכרעה הקלאסית". ישראל, לפי המסמך, רידדה בעשורים האחרונים את חשיבות התמרון הקרקעי ההתקפי כמרכיב ליבה בהשגת הכרעה ויישמה ״תחליפי הכרעה״ בסבבים מול עזה מאז מבצע ״עופרת יצוקה״ בשנת 2008 , וזאת "ללא בחינה אסטרטגית באשר להשפעת עניין זה על ראיית הצד השני באשר לעוצמת ההרתעה הבסיסית של ישראל ונכונותה להילחם על הקרקע". [עוד על המסמך- בציוץ הבא:] ynet.co.il/news/article/b1tr… @YRubovitch @YediotAhronot @ynetalerts
🤖 Made with AI
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Red flags someone is about to bullshit you "History shows..." "History teaches us..." "Historians agree..."
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A thread with excerpts from War and Society in Early Rome: From Warlords to Generals by Jeremy Armstrong:
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During the early iron age (specifically 850-730 BC) Latin society began to split into two strata - an agrarian lower class rooted in specific settlements and a more mobile martial elite defined by clan identity. This parallels early medieval Europe.
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Regal and early Republican Roman warfare was waged by clan warbands. Settlements and their assemblies gave the leaders of these warbands imperium - ritual permission to conduct violence on their behalf - but did not control them.
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John Ma's Polis argues for a similar process in Archaic Greece - a struggle by settled communities to create institutions which could control elites and their warbands.
Stilicho@GenStilichoOct 15
Replying to @GenStilicho
Early Rome was defined by conflict between a settled urban population and the warbands of its mobile aristocratic clans (gentes); later Roman writers inaccurately saw this in terms of the patrician/plebian devide of their own times.
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The story of Gautama Buddha made its way into the hands of a Georgian monk, who rewrote it into a Christian story of "Barlaam and Josaphat." The story spread throughout Christendom, ultimately being translated into English by the Parliamentary General Thomas Fairfax.
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William the Conqueror, who won the Battle of Hastings on this day in 1066, is depicted on this silver penny. This coin was struck at the Hastings mint within two years of the decisive battle that bears the town’s name (1066-1068). From the Hunterian collection.
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Stilicho retweeted
Mariam@GaismairOct 13
Fukuyama description of the gulf resonates with me: a society who skips 2-3 levels of development is a husk. You have never heard of a Kuwaiti political theorist, or a Qatari writer, or an Emirati noble peace prize winner. They’re stage sets impersonating nations.
Ryo ࣪𖤐@wondassieOct 13
The dehumanizing of any gulf people by white people just because “they’re rich and have oil” needs to be studied
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🔒🔄; "the only notion of Great Power relations he could fit into was one that was essentially a giant bondage dungeon, and he was the one with the whip and everyone else was made to crawl around on all fours" is too perfect not to share.
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One of Paul Schroeder's arguments in The Transformation of European Politics is that, for all his military and administrative brilliance, Napoleon's strategy was just thuggish bullying and humiliation of other countries with no clear end state in mind.
Aaron Rupar
@atruparOct 12
Q: You said Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire, but both sides said they have not agreed to that TRUMP: Well they agreed, you know why? Because I said 'you agree.' That's why.
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The most interesting part which he highlights is that the other great powers, every time he defeated them, wanted to establish some sort of stable, institutionalized French hegemony in Europe. And he never went along with it!
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Stilicho retweeted
Ryan Geddie@RyanGeddieOct 8
This is actually how some early American politicians saw themselves. Daniel Webster once told an Austrian diplomat in 1848 that the U.S. didn’t have anything to do with the revolutions, but the U.S. takes responsibility for all revolutions everywhere.
James Eisen 🇲🇪@JamesEisen1891Oct 8
In reality, the US is the center of the world left and always has been.
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love this show bc it's just him doing this absurd machiavellian larp, having his schemes instantly blow up in his face, plunging into despondency, being rescued by sheer luck or his opponents' even greater incompetence, and then resuming the larp without any reflection at all
read spalm 91@ericisajokeJun 26
every episode of Son of the Century has Mussolini telling his goons "stop being rabid dogs. be disciplined. no more random violence" and they go "absolutamente boss, we can be molto molto professionale" and then they club a guy to death and he does a Jim Office face at the camera
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"The whole of the world of culture was bound up in city-ness, civilitas in Latin, from which come our words ‘civilized’ and ‘civilization’, and which precisely implied city-dwelling to the Romans." - The Inheritance of Rome, Chris Wickham.
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