Obsessed with all things Energy; Data guy; $EOSE is my retirement plan (I study it); $1.50 DCA; $100 target for 2030;

Joined May 2021
$EOSE Roadmap to $40+ โ€“ Redbird Unlocked, Catalysts Loading! Ultra-bull PT $40+ in sight. News drought shattered TODAY: Bimergen advances Redbird to Ready to Build (RTB) stage with JDA approval + Eos Z3 selection (permitting & interconnection cleared, financing next). Milestones I believe drive us there: โ˜‘๏ธ Bimergen gets JDA approval & permit advancement for the 400 MWh Redbird project (announced TODAY โ€“ Eos Z3 selected, milestoneโ€‘based capital now flowing!) โฌœ Bimergen publicly places a firm order for the Redbird project โฌœ Q4 earnings โ€” Q4 revenue ~$95mm โฌœ Backlog exceeds $1B โฌœ 2026 guidance $500mmโ€“$750mm โฌœ Frontier makes it through the next gate (early spring) with all 11 GWh intact โฌœ The 2.4 GWh NYC Navy Pier project is announced โฌœ NextEra announces they are going to use a significant amount of $EOSE BESS starting immediately โฌœ IEP announces the Robena Data Center project has achieved FID (tenants + full funding secured) โฌœ A large Z3 Indensity order is announced โฌœ Q1 earnings (early May) โ€” ~$125mm for Q1 โฌœ Line 2 imminent SAT at Marshall โฌœ Line 3 announcedUltra-bull PT $40+ in sight. โฌœ Backlog exceeds $3B Redbird box checked โ€” next one incoming? $EOSE to $40+ feels inevitable if these hit. #EOSE #BESS #ZincBattery #EnergyStorage
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$EOSE felt I continue to take October with a huge grain of salt. But, the numbers are the numbers. Look at the Oct bar in particular. It is leaving all other months in the dust!
$EOSE ๐Ÿšจ FELT DELIVERED ๐Ÿšจ 19,474 KG of felt delivered to EOS on 10/19/2026. 2 containers @philroberts @FreemyerGreg
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
$EOSE Also remember that last quarter they had a 9 point margin improvement from tariff refunds, which was one time, so this quarter is actually a 26 point margin improvement, which is amazing
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
European natural gas prices are currently 10x higher than the United States
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$eose Now that we have the JNTG financial info, we know 1.2 billion Korean KWR of felt was rejected in 2025 and/or late 2024. Putting that together with the Eos statement that they had a major supplier compliance issue in Q4 2025, my belief is Eos received non-compliant felt prior to Q4 2025, but detected it only when they went to use it. Further, Eos would have demanded replacement felt, but that would not have arrived until Q1 2026. 1.2 billion KWR is about 50 tonnes worth of felt. I have updated my quarterly chart to show 50 tonnes of the felt delivered in Q1 was replacement felt. To me, this chart looks more expected. Q1 purchased is much closer to the Q1 consumed amount. And the "excess felt" purchased in Q2 shrank slightly compared to Q1. I don't know about anyone else, but this chart adds a little more color in my opinion:
$EOSE felt Take this update with a healthy dose of salt. Seemingly Oct'26 is now the highest month for felt imports in the history of the company and this is only Oct 12. Caveats to consider: - These shipments suddenly don't reference Dancer or Eos, but they are the 750mm wide product (rolls? sheets?). Has a new buyer suddenly shown up in volume. That seems unlikely. JNTG has said all 7mm thick product is shipped to North America. And William says that prior to this last week, all JNTG US Customs docs have implied Eos (Hi-power and/or Dancer listed I think). William's statement is relative to all JNTG exports to the US, not just the 7mm thick product. - Even if this is going to Eos, they now have tremendous raw materials storage capacity at Thornhill. They didn't have that before. This could all be being brought in to move the raw inventory in Thornhill. Note that Eos has $50mm of raw materials inventory. Even $10mm of that would be 500 tonnes of felt. I have come to believe Eos keeps a large felt inventory at JNTG. Maybe these last 2 shipments are just the inventory being relocated.
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
Replying to @saschawull @grok
$EOSE WIP is partially assembled finished goods. I assume most WIP is Z3 modules that were produced but not yet assembled into Cubes/Cores. At present Eos has 3 production lines: - Line 1 makes Z3s - Line 2 makes Z3s - Turtle Creek Cube Assembly makes cubes. Below is a highly optimistic possibility of what happened in Q2. If you spend a minute with it you can see way knowing what Q3 revenue was isn't sufficient to know what Line 1+2 production was:
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$eose Without WIP we really don't know much. $20mm -> $0 Crying in our beer $20mm -> $50mm Ecstatic
i am thrilled with q3 preliminaries ! The stock was trading like $eose was having another containergate episode . what a relief !
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I suspect WIP was close to $50mm at Q3 end? $13mm contribution from Line 1 that cube assembly couldn't handle and $17mm from Line 2. Net $30mm growth. We find out in less than 3 weeeks!
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$EOSE Messaged some people this weekend and had a long phone conversation this morning to share notes. This has given me an opportunity to learn some new things, and also reinforce some existing beliefs: - Indensity has backlog and might be launching in Q1; new orders today for cores can likely be fulfilled no earlier than Q3 - Waiting for the next best mouse trap (Indensity) may be hampering sales of existing cubes; that's where FPUSA comes in - The company and Cerberus is very focused on achieving profitability first before chasing volume - More deals like Google are in the works. - The company is very aware of the PA, and is both horrified and confused - I believe a pre-release may still happen.
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$eose I have often wondered how long from order to delivery. @SpearfishingCap can you tell if that is 90 days from order to departing the JNTG factory, or 90 days from order to arrival at the Pittsburgh factory. Considering you have to allow 45 days just for transportation from factory to factory, my assumption would be it is 90 days from order to departing the JNTG factory. Add 45 days for transportation and it is 4 1/2 months from order to arrival. Thus a very meaningful lag.
Replying to @SpearfishingCap
JNTG's Master Supply Agreement with Eos provides a rolling 6-month forecast. Eos issues binding written POs 90 days before requested delivery. If JNTG delays delivery by more than 1 month, JNTG faces a liquidated damages penalty of 0.3% of the delivery amount per day (10% cap).
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
$EOSE Sounds like a job position for a company going bankrupt with no demand for product. โ€œOversee multiple, multi-plant projects simultaneously to support strategic scale up of manufacturing operations. Day-to-day coordination of multi-million-dollar capital equipment projects. Collaborate with internal manufacturing strategy and operations groups and external vendors on incorporating design improvements for next generation equipment deployments. Manage multiple, concurrent projects with different project teams, stakeholders, schedules, and deliverables.โ€
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$eose consuming all of America's titanium? I sure as hell don't want to hear about a titanium shortage! Fyi: each Eos Z3 uses 2 roughly 12" x 15" sheets of titanium and they are over a 2 million Z3s/yr run rate currently. That's over 4 million sheets of titanium a year. Presumably that is a small percentage of US titanium production? ==== Grok tells me that if Eos is buying 0.5mm thick sheet from a US manufacturer that in turn imports titanium sponge as a raw material, then they are consuming 1-2% of US Titanium production. Call me shocked it is that high and Eos is still early in their ramp!
How the hell is there a 62 week lead time for US made Titanium!?!?
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
Gemini 4 Argon is here! This new model helped us do a major refactor on web page handling across ~6M LOC in @googlechromeโ€™s 40M (!!!) codebase in weeks (vs. months) & eliminates an entire class of stability issues for our billions of users. โœจ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ’ช More here: goo.gle/4yabXGo
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
VLCC supply is no longer as constrained. The VLCC/ULCC orderbook has reached ~32.5% of the existing fleet, while 31 vessels have been delivered in 2026 so far, up from just 1 in 2024 and 6 in 2025. Thatโ€™s a major shift in the crude tanker supply outlook.
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
JNTG's IPO is greenlit. In the coming weeks JNTG will file an audited DART Filing, which will include details on customer concentration, order backlog, forward contracts, pricing & capacity. wowtale.net/2026/10/13/26614โ€ฆ $EOSE ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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๐Ÿ”‹Greg๐Ÿ”‹๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿคฒ retweeted
Cursor is now part of The X Subscription. Current Cursor subscribers can keep their plan or switch to The X Subscription. Paid plans share one usage pool across Cursor, Grok Build, and other Grok products, with twice the coding usage on Grok models as the equivalent Cursor plan. Premium, Super, and Ultra also include Grok Bot. To make room for more Grok usage, third-party models in Cursor move to API pricing on the new plans. We'll keep working to make your usage go further, with more compute, better inference, and more token-efficient models. The X Subscription is available at cursor.com/pricing.
We've unified plans across Grok, Cursor, and X Premium. Introducing The X Subscription.
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$EOSE felt Take this update with a healthy dose of salt. Seemingly Oct'26 is now the highest month for felt imports in the history of the company and this is only Oct 12. Caveats to consider: - These shipments suddenly don't reference Dancer or Eos, but they are the 750mm wide product (rolls? sheets?). Has a new buyer suddenly shown up in volume. That seems unlikely. JNTG has said all 7mm thick product is shipped to North America. And William says that prior to this last week, all JNTG US Customs docs have implied Eos (Hi-power and/or Dancer listed I think). William's statement is relative to all JNTG exports to the US, not just the 7mm thick product. - Even if this is going to Eos, they now have tremendous raw materials storage capacity at Thornhill. They didn't have that before. This could all be being brought in to move the raw inventory in Thornhill. Note that Eos has $50mm of raw materials inventory. Even $10mm of that would be 500 tonnes of felt. I have come to believe Eos keeps a large felt inventory at JNTG. Maybe these last 2 shipments are just the inventory being relocated.
$EOSE ๐Ÿšจ FELT DELIVERED ๐Ÿšจ 87,534 kg of graphite felt arrived on 10/11/2026 across multiple shipments and bills of lading. โ€ข Total packages: 309 PKG โ€ข Total weight: 87,534 kg โ€ข Average: ~283 kg per package (disregard the black line as it is the duplicate order verified by container numbers)
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$eose received a large 78 tonnes of felt at the Port of Los Angeles on Oct 8 because :
16%Thornhill needs inventory
5%Shifts A&C are kicking it
8%Shifts B&D starting soon
71%All of the above!
101 votes โ€ข Final results
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This is exactly right. I was shocked to learn about the lab vs field RTE when Joe finally shared it with us. The old system was NEVER going to win orders. Nobody would buy it. There's plenty of execution items to check off, but having a battery system that's competitive is done!
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